Sunrise 6:13 AM   Sunset 7:49 PM Moonrise 9:58 PM   Moonset 6:29 AM

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ANZ654 Coastal Waters From Parramore Island To Cape Charles Light Va Out 20 Nm- 243 Pm Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
Through 7 pm - NE winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds. Tonight - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds. Sat - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds. Sat night - SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds. Sun - S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds. Sun night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 9 seconds and S 2 ft at 4 seconds. Mon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.Mon night - S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Tue night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.

ANZ600 243 Pm Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
strong high pressure will build east towards new england today. The high will become centered across the new england and mid atlantic coast Saturday, before moving offshore by Sunday.

FXUS61 KAKQ 261845 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 245 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure remains centered over New England today. High pressure slides off the New England coast tonight, moving south into early next week, with a ridge building over the area and temperatures well above normal through next week. An unsettled pattern sets up from Tuesday through late next week with daily chances for showers and storms.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
As of 1010 AM EDT Friday...

Late this morning, sfc high pressure was centered over New England. The sky ranged from sunny in the ern/SE counties, to partly sunny to mostly cloudy in the Piedmont. Temps were ranging through the 50s. Expect a generally partly to mostly sunny sky across the region this aftn, with highs in the mid 60s inland, upper 60s SW, and upper 50s to lower 60s along the coast. Otherwise, dry this aftn with increasing clouds tonight and a slight chance of a brief, light shower across far NW portions of the FA late tonight. Lows tonight will range through the 40s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 325 AM EDT Friday...

A ridge builds over the area Sat, building into early next week with a warmup expected. However, the warm air will be delayed until Sun due to high pressure lingering off the New England coast on Sat allowing for one more day of cool, onshore flow. A weak piece of shortwave energy moves towards the area Sat and may provide just enough forcing (combined with isentropic ascent over the cooler airmass in place) for isolated, light showers across N portions of the FA. Models continue to be in disagreement with global models showing more coverage than hi-res models. As such, have kept PoPs at slight chance. Any showers taper off Sat evening with dry weather Sun as the high moves S and winds become SW. Highs in the lower 60s NE to around 70F SW Sat and upper 70s to lower 80s Sun. Lows in the lower 50s (upper 40s across the MD Eastern Shore) Sat night and upper 50s to around 60F Sun night.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 340 AM EDT Friday...

The ridge builds over the area early next week, becoming less amplified by midweek, but lingering through the week regardless with well above normal temps expected. Highs in the mid-upper 80s Mon-Thu for most. The warmest days look to be Mon and Tue with highs potentially approaching 90F for some. Next week will not only "feel" Summer-like due to warm temperatures but also in the sense that an unsettled pattern develops from Tue-Fri with daily chances for showers/storms. Several shortwaves move through the area during this time, however, global models disagree with timing for each of these subtle features. As such, have maintained a slight chance to chance PoP each afternoon/evening for showers/storms from mid-late week with the greatest chance on Fri (30-35% PoPs) as a cold front approaches from the W. Highs also look to be a touch cooler on Fri (upper 70s to lower 80s). Lows remain mild through the week in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 215 PM EDT Friday...

Mainly VFR conditions will prevail at the TAF sites from this aftn into Sat aftn. Winds will be E or SE 5-15 kt through the period with some gusts up to 20 kt into this evening. An isolated shower could occur at RIC and SBY Sat aftn into early Sat evening, due to a weak warm front.

Outlook: Dry/VFR conditions are expected at all terminals from Sat night through at least Mon.

MARINE
As of 245 PM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

- SCAs continue for the southern coastal waters and the mouth of the bay until later this evening. SCAs in for the coastal waters N of Cape Charles light have been cancelled.

-Sub-SCA conditions expected through the middle of next week.

A large area of high pressure is situated over Eastern Canada/the NE CONUS this afternoon and has been building toward local waters.
Onshore winds continue with latest obs showing 10-15kt. Buoy obs are showing a downward trend in seas, but onshore flow is making this improvement slow. Seas N of Cape Charles Light have consistently been under 5ft for several hours, so have cancelled the SCA for those zones. Will continue to monitor buoy obs and take down SCAs as appropriate. Onshore winds of 10-15kt continue through Saturday as high pressure is slowly pushed offshore. Later in the weekend and into early next week, high pressure moves further offshore and gets pushed S. With this movement, winds become southerly (still at 10- 15kt) Sun through Tues. During this period, seas will be 3-4ft and waves 1-2ft.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 400 AM EDT Friday...

A prolonged period of NE flow is expected to last into the weekend. Mainly nuisance flooding is possible across the lower bay, James River, VA Atlantic- facing beaches, eastern Currituck County, and Dorchester County early this morning. As such, Coastal Flood Statements remain in effect for these locations.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ634-656.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ658.

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Ship Shoal Inlet
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:33 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:31 AM EDT     3.74 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:25 PM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:40 PM EDT     4.57 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:57 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ship Shoal Inlet, Virginia, Tide feet

Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:42 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:56 AM EDT     -1.16 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:30 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:32 AM EDT     0.48 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:55 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:46 PM EDT     -1.19 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:56 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:46 PM EDT     1.02 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 10:57 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current, knots

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