Sunrise 6:14 AM   Sunset 7:51 PM Moonrise 10:01 PM   Moonset 6:32 AM

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ANZ636 York River- 957 Pm Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
Overnight - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Sat - SE winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. Sat night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves around 1 foot. Sun - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. Mon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. Mon night - S winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. Tue - SW winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. Tue night - SW winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. Wed - W winds 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot, diminishing to 1 foot or less and light chop in the afternoon. Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.

ANZ600 957 Pm Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
strong high pressure off the new england coast will become centered off the mid atlantic coast on Saturday, keeping east to southeast winds across the region. The high then becomes anchored off the southeast coast from Sunday through the middle of next week, with winds generally south to southwest across the local waters.

FXUS61 KAKQ 270129 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 929 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will slide to just off the New England coast tonight, moving south into early next week, with a ridge building over the area and temperatures well above normal through next week. An unsettled pattern sets up from Tuesday into next weekend with daily chances for showers and storms.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
As of 930 PM EDT Friday...

1033 mb high pressure is centered just offshore of Cape Cod this evening. With this sfc configuration, easterly flow continues off the water, leading to cooler temps that are mainly in the 50s. Clear skies over the MD and VA Eastern Shore have allowed temps here to fall into the mid 40s-around 50F. Otherwise, mid/high-level cloudiness continues to stream in from the W ahead of a weak warm front and subtle shortwave. Skies become mostly cloudy around daybreak Saturday, with overcast skies possible across the W/NW. The warm front/shortwave could spark an isolated shower or two across the far NW after 9z/5 AM. PoPs are 20-30% well W/NW of Richmond and 14% or less for the remainder of the CWA Lows tonight will be in the upper 40s for most of the area, with low-mid 40s possible on MD Eastern Shore where temps fall quicker in the first half of the night. It'll remain around 50F along the coast of the bay and ocean.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 345 PM EDT Friday...

That weak warm front will lift across our extrm nrn counties Sat into Sat evening, while the sfc high will drift south to off the nrn Mid Atlc coast. Also, upper ridging will build into the area during this time period. The warm front could trigger isolated showers over the extrm nrn counties. But otherwise, expect a partly sunny to mostly cloudy sky on Sat with highs ranging through the 60s to near 70. Partly to mostly cloudy Sat night with lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

Upper ridge then strengthens over the region for Sun aftn through Mon, resulting in increasingly warmer temps for Sun and Mon. The sfc high pressure will continue drifting south from off the Mid Atlc coast to off the SE coast. Under a partly to mostly sunny sky, high temps on Sun will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Under a sunny or mostly sunny sky on Mon, highs will mainly be in the lower to mid 80s, but there will likely be some upper 80s inland/Piedmont of VA.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 345 PM EDT Friday...

The ridge builds over the area early next week, becoming less amplified by midweek, but lingering through the week regardless with well above normal temps expected. Highs in the mid to upper 80s Tue, in the upper 70s to mid 80s Wed and Thu. Next week will not only "feel" Summer-like due to warm temps, but also in the sense that an unsettled pattern develops from Tue-Fri with daily chances for showers/storms. Several shortwaves move through the area during this time. However, global models disagree with timing for each of these subtle features. As such, have maintained a slight chance to chance PoPs, mainly for aftn/evening showers/storms Tue through Thu. The best chance will likely be Fri aftn/evening (30-40% PoPs), as a cold front approaches from the WNW. Highs also look to be a touch cooler on Fri (mid 70s to lower 80s).

AVIATION /02Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 730 PM EDT Friday...

Mainly VFR is expected through the 00z/27 period. SCT-BKN cloud cover (bases 8-10k ft AGL) continues this evening for most of the area and should persist through most of the night. It remains SKC at SBY but should see increased clouds over the next few hrs there. Cannot rule out an isolated shower late tonight through early Sat aftn at RIC or SBY but fcst coverage is too low for VCSH or -SHRA mention in the TAF. BKN-OVC cloud cover is expected Sat morning and aftn w/ cloud bases 6-8k ft AGL. A period of MVFR CIGs is also possible, but these should remain well W/NW of the terminals. E-SE winds will avg 5-10 kt through the period.

Outlook: Dry/VFR conditions are expected at all terminals from Sat night through at least Mon.

MARINE
As of 245 PM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

- SCAs continue for the southern coastal waters and the mouth of the bay until later this evening. SCAs in for the coastal waters N of Cape Charles light have been cancelled.

-Sub-SCA conditions expected through the middle of next week.

A large area of high pressure is situated over Eastern Canada/the NE CONUS this afternoon and has been building toward local waters.
Onshore winds continue with latest obs showing 10-15kt. Buoy obs are showing a downward trend in seas, but onshore flow is making this improvement slow. Seas N of Cape Charles Light have consistently been under 5ft for several hours, so have cancelled the SCA for those zones. Will continue to monitor buoy obs and take down SCAs as appropriate. Onshore winds of 10-15kt continue through Saturday as high pressure is slowly pushed offshore. Later in the weekend and into early next week, high pressure moves further offshore and gets pushed S. With this movement, winds become southerly (still at 10- 15kt) Sun through Tues. During this period, seas will be 3-4ft and waves 1-2ft.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ634-656.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ658.

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Gloucester Point
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Fri -- 05:41 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:45 AM EDT     2.33 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:34 PM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:00 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Gloucester Point, York River, Virginia, Tide feet

Browns Bay
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Fri -- 05:38 AM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:17 AM EDT     2.37 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:25 PM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:00 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:30 PM EDT     2.88 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Browns Bay, Mobjack Bay, Virginia, Tide feet

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