Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Montezuma, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:31AMSunset 7:59PM Sunday March 26, 2017 6:09 AM CDT (11:09 UTC) Moonrise 5:52AMMoonset 5:39PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Montezuma, KS
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location: 37.64, -100.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Dodge City, KS
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Fxus63 kddc 260833
afdddc
area forecast discussion
national weather service dodge city ks
333 am cdt Sun mar 26 2017

Updated discussion...

Short term (today and tonight)
issued at 333 am cdt Sun mar 26 2017
today is another tricky temperature forecast. Mesoscale models (arw,
nam, nmmb) all suggest that stratus will stick around for most of the
day. It appears that the warm sector/warm front will remain south into
okla and will not make it into kan. Therefore, have considerably reduced
highs for today than previously forecast. NW zones might barely make
it out of the 40s. In the se, lower 60s could be possible, although
these locations might not make it out of the 50s. This is particularly
true if the warm front does not move any north. Both arw and nmmb break
out precipitation north of the 500-hpa low axis today across the central,
northern, and eastern zones. Have adjusted the highest pops as a result.

Think that the most severe thunderstorms will remain into oklahoma.

Elevated hailers could be possible across the far SE zones. Elevated
lhp suggests hail might make it up to 1", but even MUCAPE will be limited.

Thinking up to 1" hail and 50-60 mph outflows are the main threats.

There also could be a cold core associated storm (low topped supercell)
that tracks along the warm front that could produce a tornado. This
is possible across NW okla and not for the forecast district.

Long term (Monday through Saturday)
issued at 333 am cdt Sun mar 26 2017
the precipitation will exit the area early Monday as the 500-hpa low
quickly moves away from the forecast district. Shortwave ridging will
build in behind with a dry forecast following. Highs on Monday should
rebound back into the 60s with a weak WAA pattern eventually developing.

Attention then turns to the late Tuesday and into Wednesday period.

The ec still shows a large low across the desert SW with considerable
moisture advection into the great plains. The warm sector will most
likely be e/se of the forecast area, however, a baroclinic zone and
isentropic lift will set the stage for a heavy rain event late Tuesday
and into Wednesday morning. A few inches could be possible with locally
higher amounts depending on the track of the low. Severe weather will
be on the unlikely side as SW kansas will remain on the cold side of
the synoptic system. The 00z ec run was a little lighter on precip
amounts than compared to the 12z run, however, the overall consistency
of this model to show widespread rain across the fa is still important.

Beyond that, another chance for rain might enter the picture late in
the period as another wave with decent low level moisture impacts the
forecast district. Temps look to be fairly seasonal, maybe a touch
below in days of heavy rain.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Sunday night)
issued at 1200 am cdt Sun mar 26 2017
flight conditions will gradually lower to ifr through the
overnight period and linger into tomorrow. Kgck might
clear/improve later compared to kddc/khys. Winds will be e/se
10-20 kt and bcmg n/ne 15-25 kt by evening.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Ddc 57 39 67 42 / 50 50 0 0
gck 51 37 68 43 / 50 50 0 0
eha 58 36 67 42 / 20 10 0 10
lbl 58 38 68 44 / 20 20 0 0
hys 57 40 63 42 / 60 60 0 0
p28 63 45 67 43 / 60 60 10 0

Ddc watches/warnings/advisories
None.

Short term... Sugden
long term... Sugden
aviation... Sugden


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dodge City, Dodge City Regional Airport, KS23 mi78 minESE 80.25 miFog37°F37°F100%1009.9 hPa

Wind History from DDC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN15
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NE10NE6NE10E7E8E7SE6SE7SE5SE6SE5SE5SE8E8
1 day agoS8SE9SE12SE14
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E43N19
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2 days agoS15S15
G22
S19S18
G26
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G36
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G32
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G27
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G59
S17S17S14S15S9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of CentralPlains    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Dodge City, KS (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dodge City, KS
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.