Sunday, June24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Montezuma, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 9:07PM Sunday June 24, 2018 11:22 AM CDT (16:22 UTC) Moonrise 5:01PMMoonset 3:06AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Montezuma, KS
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location: 37.64, -100.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Dodge City, KS
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Fxus63 kddc 241107
afdddc
area forecast discussion
national weather service dodge city ks
607 am cdt Sun jun 24 2018

Updated aviation discussion...

Short term (today and tonight)
issued at 1230 am cdt Sun jun 24 2018
a cluster of thunderstorms will continue to push east and
southeast out of the CWA in the next hour or two. There is strong
wind gusts up to 70 mph out of these storms due to moderate
instability associated with this convection. Once these storms
pass out of the forecast area, it will give way to mostly cloudy
skies and lighter easterly winds less than 10 mph with low
temperatures in the upper 50s to low 60s across the cwa. Skies
will clear out to mostly clear skies throughout the morning time
frame allowing temperatures to push into the 80s for most of the
area.

Afternoon thunderstorms will develop around 5pm across much of the
cwa from west to east as a short wave trough propagates through
western kansas. Mid level flow will be moderate and ample low
level moisture with dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s will
help aid in severe development into the evening and early night
hours. The trigger point will be with a frontal boundary that will
drop through the CWA supported by the aforementioned shortwave
trough. There is deep layer shear and steep lapse rates that will
help favor supercell development during the peak heating hours of
the day initially. This will support damaging wind gusts up to
70mph and hail up to the size of baseballs. Cells that become
discrete will have the possibility for a couple of tornadoes due
to the sufficient low level shear available in the pristine
environment. Storms will begin to push out of the area to the east
and southeast after 10pm with most of the convective and severe
activity out of the CWA at this time. Lingering showers and
thunderstorms could still be in the far southeastern portions of
the area but quickly move out by midnight on Sunday. Isolated
areas of heavy rainfall will increase areas of localized
flooding, especially in areas affected by the recent rains and the
ground being conducive for such an occurrence already saturated
as it is at this point in time.

Low temperatures will drop into the mid to upper 50s near 60 for
most the CWA behind the cold front with light northwesterly winds
5-10 mph through Monday morning.

Long term (Monday through Saturday)
issued at 115 am cdt Sun jun 24 2018
the start of a new work week on Monday will begin a warming and
drying trend for the CWA with afternoon high temperatures pushing
back into the upper 80s with upper level ridging setting up over
the rocky mountains and the western high plains. Temperatures will
soar in the mid to upper 90s Tuesday and near 100 on Wednesday due
to a stronger southwest downsloping flow sets up for southwestern
kansas picking up in wind speeds by mid week with gusts pushing
25-30 mph. Low temperatures will be very mild starting off in the
mid to upper 60s through mid week.

Dry and hot will rinse and repeat through the end of the week on
Friday with low temperatures starting off in the 70s and high
temperatures near 100 for the entire CWA of southwestern kansas.

Winds will continue out of the south to southwest bringing in the
heat from the warming downsloping wind with gusts up to 30-35 mph.

The weekend will start off as the week ended with high
temperatures in the mid to upper 90s and strong south-
southwesterly wind gusting up to 30 mph. However, Saturday night
looks to see a weak and dry cold frontal boundary pass through the
area bringing more seasonable temperatures and small chances of
precipitation with pops only in the 20s this far out in the
forecast period. Temperatures Sunday will only be around 90 with a
lighter north to northeasterly wind. This shift in pattern is
short lived with the shortwave trough quickly pushing across the
plains and ridging setting back up by the end of the weekend and
beyond.

Aviation (for the 12z tafs through 12z Monday morning)
issued at 534 am cdt Sun jun 24 2018
current ongoing thunderstorm activity will affect ddc and gck over
the first hour of the TAF period.VFR conditions will then prevail
into the afternoon hours with scattered to broken high clouds and
light southeasterly winds less than 10-12kts. After 22z,
thunderstorm activity will return for all locations as a short
wave trough propagates through the area. These storms will bring
MVFR ceilings and visibility down to 1sm and 1000 feet
respectively. Winds will gust to 35kts in thunderstorms as they
pass overhead. The thunderstorm activity will push east and
diminish after 06z withVFR conditions for the rest of the taf
period and beyond.

Preliminary point temps pops
Ddc 84 63 87 67 80 70 0 10
gck 82 60 86 66 40 50 0 10
eha 84 59 87 67 40 30 0 10
lbl 87 62 87 66 60 60 0 10
hys 82 62 86 66 60 60 0 10
p28 89 67 88 69 70 80 10 10

Ddc watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... Lowe
long term... Lowe
aviation... Lowe


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dodge City, Dodge City Regional Airport, KS23 mi30 minESE 19 G 2910.00 miFair and Breezy65°F57°F78%1010 hPa

Wind History from DDC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr3SW4S6W64S8
G15
S13SE13
G21
SE10SE11
G20
E5NW37
G53
N22
G38
NE20E12SE14S7SE12S17NE9
G19
N14
G22
--E25
G39
E19
G29
1 day agoSW8SE7S3S6SE11
G16
S10
G21
SE10
G17
N19
G32
NE14
G23
E16
G26
SE9S11S10S5N5N8N10NE6CalmNW3W3SW6W4W5
2 days agoNW14
G22
NW13
G26
NW16
G22
N11
G24
NW14
G24
NW14
G19
NW11
G20
NW12N11N10N7N5N6N6NE6NE12NE9NE3S5CalmCalmNE7E6--

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Dodge City, KS (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dodge City, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.