Monday, September24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Montezuma, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 7:29AMSunset 7:34PM Monday September 24, 2018 1:26 AM CDT (06:26 UTC) Moonrise 6:48PMMoonset 5:54AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Montezuma, KS
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location: 37.64, -100.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Dodge City, KS
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Fxus63 kddc 240500
afdddc
area forecast discussion
national weather service dodge city ks
1200 am cdt Mon sep 24 2018

Updated short term...

Short term (today and tonight)
issued at 1200 am cdt Mon sep 24 2018
a clear sky across SW kansas again as of midnight, but widespread
stratus across oklahoma is spreading nw, and expect this to engulf
about the eastern 1 2 of the CWA through sunrise. Maintained a
mention of patchy fog in the grids for the SE counties, with
perhaps some reduced visibility at times, but generally expecting
a stratus deck for several hours, roughly along and east of
us 283.

Stratus will burn off rapidly Monday morning, with a clear sky
expected everywhere by 10 am. The warming trend will continue,
with full sunshine, modestly gusty south winds and good mixing
most of the day, and about 2-3c warming at 850 mb. Most locations
will warm well into the 80s, with elkhart to liberal near 90. A
weak cold front will introduce a nely wind shift across the
western CWA this afternoon, but will only serve as a shift in wind
direction and trim temperatures a few degrees. The much stronger
cold front is expected Tuesday morning. Clouds will gradually
increase tonight as this cold front approaches and enters nw
kansas. The additional clouds will help hold temperatures well up
into the 50s, with the cold front arriving across the northern
zones around sunrise Tuesday. There may be a few rain showers near
the i-70 corridor around sunrise Tuesday as the frontal lift
arrives, as 00z NAM suggests. Any rainfall will be very limited,
but maintained the inherited low pops.

Long term (Monday night through Sunday)
issued at 311 pm cdt Sun sep 23 2018
as the upper trough continues east, it will force a stronger cold
front south through western and central kansas late Monday night
and Tuesday. The extended init continues to carry chance pops for
light precipitation over the northern and eastern half of the
forecast area during the day. A few showers will be possible but
there could also be a period of drizzle in the deeper moist layer
and cold advection behind the front. Skies become clear to partly
cloudy especially over much of the forecast area. Temperatures
should fall into the mid 40s along i-70 with upper 40s and 50s
farther south. A few showers could linger into the night along and
north of the oklahoma border.

The weather will quiet down but it will continue a little on the
cool side with highs in the 60s and 70s through mid week. Friday
looks a little more uncertain. The upper flow over much of the
u.S. Becomes more zonal but at the same time, a sharp upper ridge
develops over alaska and the northeast pacific with meridional
flow extending from the arctic into western canada. This pattern
is conducive to having arctic airmasses plunging southward into
the central plains. Both the GFS and ECMWF show this but the gfs
keeps the front farther north across northern nebraska by Friday
evening whereas the ECMWF has the front down through western
kansas. The ECMWF may be the correct model and if so, highs on
Friday will may only be in the 50s along i-70 with 60s to low 70s
farther south instead of the 80s low 90s the GFS shows. Current
forecast will show highs in the 70s but this could trend downward
during the next few days.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Monday night)
issued at 1100 pm cdt Sun sep 23 2018
stratus seen on satellite imagery across oklahoma as of 04z will
spread NW through 12z mon, with the consensus of short term models
bringing ifr (and perhaps lifr) stratus CIGS to ddc and hys.

Included the stratus in the ddc hys tafs, but feel the stratus
will remain east of gck lbl. Some reduced visibility in br is also
likely beneath the stratus for several hours around sunrise
Monday. Stratus will burn off rapidly, withVFR skc expected by
15z mon. Modestly gusty south winds after 15z Mon will weaken
toward 00z tue. A cold front is expected to bring strong north
winds (gusting 30-35 kts) to the airports during the 12-18z tue
timeframe.

Preliminary point temps pops
Ddc 56 84 58 71 0 0 10 20
gck 53 83 56 70 0 0 10 20
eha 53 88 56 71 0 0 0 10
lbl 50 89 58 71 0 0 0 10
hys 56 82 58 70 0 0 20 30
p28 59 82 62 76 0 0 0 20

Ddc watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... Turner
long term... Gerard
aviation... Turner


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dodge City, Dodge City Regional Airport, KS23 mi34 minSSE 166.00 miFog/Mist60°F57°F90%1011.3 hPa

Wind History from DDC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9S9S6S6SW6S6S8S7S10S13S13S12S14
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1 day agoE4CalmN5NE6E5E4E4SE5SE85CalmSE5E5SE6SE7SE7SE8SE10SE7SE7S8S7S7S3
2 days agoN6NE4N10N11N15
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G17
E8NE5NE6NE6E4E5SE3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Dodge City, KS (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dodge City, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.