Marine Weather and Tides
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.
|Sunrise 7:43AM||Sunset 5:22PM||Monday December 10, 2018 7:14 PM CST (01:14 UTC)||Moonrise 10:26AM||Moonset 8:30PM||Illumination 12%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Montezuma, KSHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Dodge City, KS  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus63 kddc 102323|
area forecast discussion
national weather service dodge city ks
523 pm cst Mon dec 10 2018
Updated aviation discussion...
Short term (this afternoon through Tuesday)
issued at 1100 am cst Mon dec 10 2018
extremely quiet at midday, with no clouds over kansas, or even
near kansas, on satellite imagery. With full (albeit weak) solar
insolation, and a gentle swly downslope component, temperatures
will have no trouble reaching several degrees above normal this
afternoon, in the upper 40s and lower 50s.
Clear early tonight, followed by increasing cirrus. With the
increasing high clouds and a light S SW breeze persisting near
10 mph, radiational cooling will be weaker tonight. A few degrees
milder tonight compared to last night, with lows Tuesday morning
in the 20s.
Forecast soundings show broken to overcast cirrus on Tuesday.
Despite this, models warm 850 mb temperatures several degrees,
allowing for pleasantly mild (for mid december) highs in the 50s.
A decent swly downslope breeze component of 10-20 mph is
maintained through midday, so allowed for locations along the
oklahoma border to achieve lower 60s Tuesday afternoon. A vigorous
but dry shortwave will race into western nebraska Tuesday
afternoon, pushing an attendant weak cold front and nwly wind
shift into SW ks during the late afternoon.
Long term (Tuesday night through Monday)
issued at 120 pm cst Mon dec 10 2018
Intense north winds expected Thursday...
another mild day on Wednesday for december standards, with
afternoon temperatures in the 50s and well above normal. Continued
dry Wednesday, as flow aloft backs swly in advance of very intense
shortwave jet MAX diving into the great basin by 6 pm. Plenty of
sunshine will prevail, and this along with swly downslope
moderate winds of 10-20 mph, will encourage the mild afternoon
12z models have started to converge on solutions regarding the
extremely energetic shortwave jet stream arriving through Thursday
morning. Models are trending stronger, slower and further S sw,
as they usually do, as the jet energy on the backside of the
incoming trough is better sampled. These trends appear physically
reasonable, and were accepted into the grids forecast. 12z ecmwf
dives the energy into new mexico Wednesday night, and rapidly
closes off deepens a 547 dm upper low in SE new mexico 6 am
Thursday. The associated cold front will slam south through the
plains Wednesday night, followed by the strongest north winds
during the first half of the daylight hours Thursday. All models|
continued to depict 850 mb winds of 55-65 mph during this time,
with the strongest winds focusing along the oklahoma border
nearest the deepening cyclone in texas. Gusts of this magnitude
are expected, and a high wind warning will likely be required.
Placed the strongest consmos wind guidance in the grids, which
gives gusts near 50 mph, but even that won't be enough. With the
energy diving further south, it follows that any rain snow of
significance will remain well south of SW ks. Retained low pops
and minimal qpf, based on the forecast builder model blend and gfs
solutions still generating some light snow, but 12z ecmwf
suggests most locations will remain dry. Am rather confident now
on a mostly dry solution for SW ks, especially since any
forthcoming model corrections would likely take the cyclone even
further south. Cooler Thursday, but cold air advection is actually
minimal behind this pacific system, and temperatures only retreat
back to normal, in the 40s.
Friday through Monday... A long stretch of dry, quiet uneventful
weather is expected, with mild afternoon temperatures considering
the time of year. Afternoon highs in the 50s will be commonplace.
It is noted that ECMWF bias correction was several degrees warmer
than the model blend for much of this period, and suspect many
southern locales will achieve lower 60s. Ridge axis behind the
intense departing closed cyclone will be along the spine of the
rockies Friday, phase out onto the plains Saturday, followed by
weak nebulous flow and no impacts through Monday.
Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Tuesday evening)
issued at 517 pm cst Mon dec 10 2018
south to southwest winds will be at 10 knots or less overnight as
a surface boundary slowly moves across eastern colorado. On
Tuesday this surface boundary cold front will cross southwest
kansas during the afternoon as an upper level trough exits the
rockies and moves out into the central plains. Southwest winds
will increase to around 15 knots early in the day ahead of this
surface boundary and then shift to the west northwest as this
frontal boundary passes.VFR conditions can be expected overnight
Preliminary point temps pops
Ddc 26 57 26 54 0 0 0 0
gck 23 54 23 55 0 0 0 0
eha 30 60 29 58 0 0 0 0
lbl 25 59 25 55 0 0 0 0
hys 24 49 25 52 0 0 0 0
p28 26 59 29 54 0 0 0 0
Ddc watches warnings advisories
Short term... Turner
long term... Turner
Weather Reporting StationsEDIT (on/off)  Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Airport ReportsEDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports
|Dodge City, Dodge City Regional Airport, KS||23 mi||22 min||SSW 7||10.00 mi||Fair||32°F||12°F||45%||1025.5 hPa|
Wind History from DDC (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||E||E||SE||SE||Calm||Calm||SW||W||SW||W||SW||W||NW||NW||N||N||N||N||NW||N||Calm||NW||NW|
|2 days ago||E||E||E||SE||SE||Calm||Calm||NW||N||N||NW||N||Calm||N||NE||NE||E||E||Calm||Calm||NE||E||E||SE |
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GOES Local Image of EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop
Other links: Northern Pacific Contential US Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Dodge City, KS (20,4,5,8)(on/off)  Help
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