Monday, March27, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Inez, KY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:19AMSunset 7:50PM Monday March 27, 2017 10:17 PM EDT (02:17 UTC) Moonrise 6:16AMMoonset 6:31PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Inez, KY
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location: 37.92, -82.66     debug

Area Discussion for - Jackson, KY
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Fxus63 kjkl 280043 aaa
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service jackson ky
843 pm edt Mon mar 27 2017

Issued at 843 pm edt Mon mar 27 2017
ongoing complex of strong to severe thunderstorms is gradually
winding down as it heads east well ahead of the parent forcing.

There are still pockets of severe wind gusts following a
persistent lead supercell in the central portion of the forecast
area. Expect a continuing gradual decline of this activity through
10 pm, with a lull in the action until a short wave trough axis
approaches from the west overnight. This will likely bring an
uptick in convection once again, but mainly just showers.

Freshened up the pop timing based on the radar trends.

Short term (this evening through Tuesday night)
issued at 440 pm edt Mon mar 27 2017
a shortwave trough is expected to dampen as it moves into the oh
and tn valley regions through tonight and then across the
appalachians on Tuesday morning and then the eastern seaboard by
the end of the period. At the same time, a surface low will track
near or north of the oh river through this evening and tonight
and then into the mid atlantic states through the end of the
period. Height rises and mid and upper level ridging area expected
behind the shortwave with surface high pressure nosing into the oh
valley on Tuesday night.

Isolated to at times scattered convection continues to move
across parts of central and eastern ky in advance of more
organized convection over western and west central ky and western
and middle tn. This earlier convection has produced some hail
across the region and marginally severe hail and some wind would
appear to be a threat over the next couple of hours. MLCAPE of 500
to 1000 j/kg over the far south and MUCAPE of 500 to 1000 j/kg
across the area combined with 35 to 40kt of 0-6km shear would
support this although much of the area has been worked over and
the southwest part of the area should be the first to destabilize
again per rap and model forecasts though much of the western part
of the CWA is expected to reach ml or MUCAPE near 1000 j/kg for a
time in the west. Satellite trends would also support another
window for heating in the south. The far southwest counties remain
in a severe thunderstorm watch through 3z. Trends will continue to
be monitored for severe thunderstorm chances further east, but
much of this area has received convection this evening or in the
case of the va border counties has lower sfc dewpoints due to
downsloping effects.

Some of the convective allowing models bring the convection into
east ky around 23z to 01z but weaken the eastern line segment as
this will near sunset and boundary layer should begin to
stabilize. The models generally take the westernmost line east or
southeast with the recent hrrr runs favoring southeast while some
previous runs brought some of that convection more toward lake
cumberland. However, pending strength of cold pool, the first more
northern line segment of convection may not weaken as quickly as
models project as it moves in. Wind appears to be the primary
threat with any of this convection with bowing line segments and
possibly marginal hail from the strongest updrafts. Locally heavy
rain will also be possible if storms could train in an area.

Chances for thunderstorms will begin to diminish overnight with
shower chances also decreasing late as well as the surface low
tracks into the mid oh valley and the cold front works into the
area and the axis of the 500 mb trough approaches. Chances for
convection will decrease through the day on Tuesday as the trough
and low pressure system exit to the east and northeast and mid and
upper level as well as sfc high pressure begin to build in. Low
level moisture is expected to linger well into Tuesday night, but
if the low clouds thin, radiational fog will be possible and
subsidence could bring some stratus build down late Tuesday night.

Long term (Wednesday through Monday)
issued at 310 pm edt Mon mar 27 2017
the extended period should once again feature good chances for
showers and thunderstorms from late Thursday morning through early
Friday evening. The trigger for this activity will likely be a
slow moving area of low pressure that is progged to move across
the tennessee and lower ohio valley regions. The slow forward
motion of the system should keep rain in eastern kentucky through
Saturday morning. Thunderstorm chances should come to an end
around 0z Saturday, as the best upper level support and overall
lift should be east of the area as the low pressure system moves
off to our east. The rain should begin quickly tapering off
around dawn Saturday morning, with the rain being completely out
of the area before noon on Saturday. The weather should remain dry
from Saturday afternoon through late Sunday night, as an area of
high pressure settles over the region. Our next round of rain
could move into eastern kentucky very early Monday morning, but
due a lot of uncertainty still exists that far out in the period.

Temperatures will continue to run well above normal, with daily
highs ranging from the mid to around 70 on most days. Thursday
looks to be by far the warmest day, with forecast highs on that
day in the 70s. Nightly lows should generally be in the 40s and

Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Tuesday evening)
issued at 843 pm edt Mon mar 27 2017
showers and thunderstorms will exit east across the area through
03z. The stronger cells will contain ifr or worse visibilities
with wind gusts of 35 to 40 kts. Ceilings will gradually lower
through the night down to ifr levels, as winds shift from the
southwest to west northwest behind a passing cold front. Scattered
to numerous showers will also continue through dawn, before
diminishing from west to east through the day on Tuesday. Ceilings
will gradually improve towards the end of the period.

Jkl watches/warnings/advisories

Update... Geogerian
short term... Jp
long term... Ar
aviation... Geogerian

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Huntington, Tri-State Airport, WV32 mi27 minESE 510.00 miThunderstorm Rain59°F55°F90%1011.9 hPa

Wind History from HTS (wind in knots)
Last 24hrS5S5S7SW4SW3CalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalm--3SW5S4SW6S5S75S3S4SW5E5
1 day agoE3CalmSE4S6S10S6SE4SE5SE4S4S8SW53SE7S10
2 days agoS5S7SW10SW5SW4S4S4CalmSE3S3CalmSW4SW9S8SW3CalmS3S43E3CalmNE3NE5E3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Jackson, KY (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.