Wednesday, May22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Inez, KY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 8:41PM Wednesday May 22, 2019 9:26 PM EDT (01:26 UTC) Moonrise 11:23PMMoonset 8:23AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Inez, KY
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location: 37.92, -82.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Jackson, KY
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Fxus63 kjkl 230030 aaa
afdjkl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service jackson ky
830 pm edt Wed may 22 2019

Update
Issued at 815 pm edt Wed may 22 2019
23z sfc analysis shows high pressure through the southeast parts
of the country with mid level ridging building overhead. This is
suppressing any convection heading toward our area from the west.

Skies ahead of the dying showers are mostly clear and allowed
temperatures to reach record levels in the mid to upper 80s
through most of the jkl CWA this afternoon with even a few reports
of low 90s. Now readings have fallen back into the lower 80s
while dewpoints are generally in the lower 60s. Winds are starting
to settle to light and variable after being breezy from the
southwest earlier in the afternoon. Expect the skies to become
mostly clear later this evening with decent radiational conditions
setting up a ridge to valley temperature split. Some light river
valley fog can be expected toward dawn, but as it has been the
past few nights it should only affect a small part of the area.

Have updated the forecast mainly to fine tune the sky cover for
the rest of the evening. Also added in the latest obs and trends
for the t TD grids. These have been sent to the ndfd and web
servers.

Short term (this evening through Thursday night)
issued at 357 pm edt Wed may 22 2019
a ridge axis sits along the east coast this afternoon with an area
of low pressure over the northern plains. A stalled frontal
boundary is draped across the ohio river valley. Southwest winds
have transported much milder air into the region today with
temperatures in the mid to upper 80s presently. The mild
conditions will continue tonight with lows generally in the 60s. A
few of our eastern valleys could dip into the upper 50s. A
shortwave will track into the great lakes on Thursday, pushing a
frontal boundary to the south along the ohio river. Still a bit of
question how far south this boundary makes it as it will be
pushing into the ridge. However, this should provide some weak
height falls allowing for at last a slight chance for a few
showers and storms to develop Thursday afternoon, mainly across
areas of northern kentucky. A few showers or storms could develop
along the higher terrain in southeast kentucky, but even this is
uncertain. Either way, most of the area will stay dry as the
activity should be fairly sporadic. The frontal boundary could
keep the threat of a shower or storm going into Thursday night,
but instability should be decreasing with only the threat of a
shower continuing in northeast kentucky through dawn on Friday.

Highs on Thursday should stay in the mid to upper 80s. If a storm
can get going on Thursday afternoon or evening, some gusty winds
would be possible as the shear is sufficient to allow for a few
organized storms.

Long term (Friday through Wednesday)
issued at 357 pm edt Wed may 22 2019
a summertime upper level ridge will be setup south the gulf coast
to the great lakes to begin the period on Friday. This ridging
should limit better convective coverage, but afternoon highs will
meet convective temperatures. However, coverage will be isolated
in nature given the lack of better forcing mechanisms. The ridge
will shift and we will see more localized zonal flow across the
ohio valley. This could open more convective potential through the
weekend, but coverage should still remain spotty on Saturday.

Then by Sunday a upper level wave at the 500 mb level will ride
along the zonal westerly flow. This will increase coverage
especially across northern portions of the cwa. The better shear
and instability will be north and will have to see how this
trends. The biggest concern for lesser severe risk would be the
lack of balance in the shear and CAPE parameters in this setup.

After this the placement of upper level features becomes more
disjointed from model to model. On Monday the placement of the
ridge will keep us open to diurnally driven convection. This will
keep a slight to chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms on
Monday. However, by Tuesday into Wednesday the models struggle
with the location of the ridge axis, as the GFS for example pushes
a trough east quicker changing the orientation of the ridge axis.

This will have implications on if and when will we see additional
convection through the remainder of the period. Therefore will
keep the chances of mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms in
the isolated category both Tuesday and Wednesday.

The temperatures will average around 10 degrees above normal for
this time of year through the extended period. There will also be
some days where record high temperatures could be met or exceeded
under this summer time airmass.

Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Thursday evening)
issued at 830 pm edt Wed may 22 2019
vfr conditions will continue through the forecast period. Any
river valley fog will not affect the TAF sites. Winds will be
light and variable through the night with a pick up during the
day Thursday from the southwest to between 5 and 10 kts.

Jkl watches warnings advisories
None.

Update... Greif
short term... Kas
long term... Dj
aviation... Greif


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Huntington, Tri-State Airport, WV32 mi35 minS 310.00 miFair81°F62°F53%1017.1 hPa

Wind History from HTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7E5E4NE5E5E4E3CalmCalmCalmE3CalmSE4S6
G14
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S12S10SW9SW4SW5S3S3
1 day agoNW5N7N6N9NE4N6N3N6NE6NE5NE8NE7E65E3NE74NE5NE955NE7NE7NE6
2 days agoW9SW3SW4S6SW4SW4SW5W7W4S3W3W6W7W11W9
G18
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Jackson, KY (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.