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Marine Weather and Tides
Version 3.4 |
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome. 10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name. |
| Sunrise 7:16AM | Sunset 6:11PM | Sunday February 17, 2019 11:41 PM EST (04:41 UTC) | Moonrise 4:00PM | Moonset 5:47AM | Illumination 98% |  |
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Inez, KY
Hourly EDIT Helplocation: 37.92, -82.66 debug
Area Discussion for - Jackson, KY
(on/off) Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition| Fxus63 kjkl 180352 afdjkl area forecast discussion national weather service jackson ky 1052 pm est Sun feb 17 2019 Update Issued at 1052 pm est Sun feb 17 2019 the latest WSR-88D radar trends shows rain continues to push south and east tonight, as an area of low pressure and front push north and east respectively. Over the past 6 hours we have seen around a 0.25 to 0.50 inches of rain mainly in the southern and eastern portions of the cwa, with some isolated higher amounts. Did some slight adjustments to pops to better match the latest radar trends. Then blended in the latest obs and trends to better bring the grids into alignment with the current trends. Update issued at 849 pm est Sun feb 17 2019 the latest scans of the WSR-88D radar show periods of light to moderate rain or perhaps heavy rain at times this evening. The best chances of precipitation will be in the far east and southeast portions of kentucky including the lake cumberland region. This was well portrayed in the grids, but made some minor adjustments based on the short trends. This will bring another 0.25 inches of precipitation to the areas mentioned above, with higher amounts possible in areas that see heavier rain. There have been a few reports of high water this evening, but these have been quite isolated based on calls made to local area dispatchers. However, we will be monitoring this area closely, as another slug of rain moves across this region. Only more minor adjustments were made to the overall grids to match better with the latest obs an trends. Short term (this evening through Monday night) issued at 347 pm est Sun feb 17 2019 the latest surface map features broad low pressure across north central kentucky. SPC analysis reveals good moisture transport at 850 mb nosed right in across eastern kentucky, with ongoing shower activity and even some scattered thunderstorms at times, as some elevated instability remains in place across our region. Aloft, troughing is found from the western great lakes down across the west. Flatter and much faster flow occupies the middle and lower mississippi valley. A rainy first part of the short term will be on tap, as low pressure gradually deepens and shifts off to our northeast. The best 850 mb moisture transport will remain in place through early this evening, before exiting. Will therefore hold onto thunder chances across eastern kentucky over the next 3 hours or so. A cold front will then move through tonight, with deeper moisture gradually exiting off to the southeast. Another half to two thirds of an inch of QPF or so is possible across portions of the cumberland basin, where some locations have already seen an inch of rainfall so far today. This will likely result in significant rises along some of the larger creeks and rivers. Precipitation will taper off from northwest to southeast overnight. Lows tonight will range from the low to mid 30s. High pressure will build in across the great lakes and ohio valley regions through the rest of the period, resulting in drier and colder weather across eastern kentucky. Have used more of the raw blended guidance as a starting point early on, as post-frontal low level clouds will be hard to shake on Monday. Highs will remain in the 30s for most locations. The lower clouds should thin out by Monday night, with lows down in the low to mid 20s by early Tuesday morning. Long term (Tuesday through Sunday) issued at 423 pm est Sun feb 17 2019 a strong upper level high pressure system over the bahamas will remain stationary throughout the extended. Meanwhile, a upper level low across the four corners states Tuesday morning will result in deep troughing across the west. These two systems will keep a tight pressure gradient across much of the central and southern conus, producing deep SW to NE flow. As the western trough shifts eastward throughout the day Tuesday, expect this to amplify heights across the ohio valley. Heights will start to break down again by Wednesday morning as the upper level low and associated troughing shift ne into the northern plains, deepening the SW flow across the region. |
This deep flow will remain in place as the upper level low slowly dissolves by Wednesday night. Then the pattern nearly repeats itself. Another upper level low and associated deep troughing will develop over the SW u.S. Thursday, helping heights to build slightly across the ohio valley and points to our se, while the upper level high continues to sit across the bahamas. This low pressure system will continue to deepen across the southwest through Friday before progressing eastward. It's path will take it towards the ohio valley where it will dissipate during the day Sunday. It should be noted that other than some small timing placement and magnitude differences, the models are generally in very good agreement throughout the extended portion of the forecast. As for sensible weather... It's going to be a wet one. Much of the day Tuesday will be dry, and Thursday Friday may see some clearing in the northern CWA with building heights in place during this time. Otherwise, multiple systems are expected to develop across the south- central and southwest u.S. And follow the NE trajectory into the tennessee or ohio valleys. Deep SW flow will mean warm air advection, with temperatures expected to remain fairly mild throughout the period, even after the passage of any systems. The only caveat will be Tuesday night, where temperatures may be able to cool to near freezing across the northern portion of the CWA before the precip moves in, with some mixed rain snow possible. Otherwise, expect generally rainfall for the entirety of the extended. Several stout low and upper level jets will also set up, aiding in deep moisture advection into the region. This will interact with any system to produce heavy rainfall. While models are in good agreement aloft, and have a generally good consensus with the surface patterns, there is still quite a few differences in the timing, magnitude, and location of the precip as it moves into the state. Both the ECMWF and GFS show multiple swaths of high QPF moving across the state, which combined over a period of time, will result in very high rainfall amounts falling on top of already saturated and maxed out soils. Models will likely continue to fluctuate throughout the extended until we get closer to onset, so expect forecast totals to have some change as well. For instance today, the upper level jet and best axis of the QPF with the first system expected to impact the region on Tuesday night into Wednesday has trended farther north and west. While heavy precip is still expected across the cwa, the highest swath is now located just W and sw. Wpc has placed our entire CWA located within the day 3 slight risk for excessive rainfall, with a moderate risk located just to our west across south-central kentucky. Followed suit with neighboring offices, and stuck fairly close to the current wpc guidance for QPF throughout the extended. As of now, storm total rainfall for the duration of the extended forecast (Tuesday through Sunday) is forecast between 3 and 7 inches, with highest amounts in the southern cwa. Despite being over a 5 day period, if this amount of rainfall materializes, we will inevitably see problems, especially across the cumberland river valley. The local hydrological outlook is still in place to cover this concern, with flooding threats also mentioned in the hwo. Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Monday evening) issued at 637 pm est Sun feb 17 2019 a mix of ifr to lifr is the general story across the TAF sites to begin the period. We continue to see rain stream across the region amid a nearby frontal boundary and developing surface low pressure. This is leading to periods of light to moderate rain and this will in turn lead to periods of vis restrictions of MVFR to ifr at the TAF sites. This area of low pressure and frontal boundary will progress north and east through the evening and night. This will bring and end to the rain later tonight and we will start to see some improvements to MVFR toward dawn. Then we will see lower clouds finally relent through the day on Monday, withVFR possible through the afternoon. The winds will remain generally light out of the southwest to begin the period. These winds will veer to the west through the period, and we could see some gusts of 15 knots by Monday afternoon. Jkl watches warnings advisories None. Update... Dj short term... Geogerian long term... Jmw aviation... Dj |
Weather Reporting Stations
EDIT (on/off) Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a mapAirport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Visibility | Sky/Weather | Temp | DewPt | Humidity | Pressure |
| Huntington, Tri-State Airport, WV | 32 mi | 50 min | W 7 G 16 | 10.00 mi | Overcast | 41°F | 36°F | 82% | 1011.1 hPa |
Wind History from HTS (wind in knots)
| 12 AM | 1 AM | 2 AM | 3 AM | 4 AM | 5 AM | 6 AM | 7 AM | 8 AM | 9 AM | 10 AM | 11 AM | 12 PM | 1 PM | 2 PM | 3 PM | 4 PM | 5 PM | 6 PM | 7 PM | 8 PM | 9 PM | 10 PM | 11 PM | |
| Last 24hr | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE | E | NE | Calm | E | NE | N | E | E | E | NE | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | NW | Calm | W | W G16 | |
| 1 day ago | Calm | N | NE | N | N | N | NE | N | NE G14 | NE | NE | N | N | N | NE | N | N | NE | N | NE | NE | NE | NE | |
| 2 days ago | SW G22 | SW G25 | SW G24 | SW G20 | SW G19 | SW G18 | SW G17 | SW | SW | SW | SW | W G17 | W G16 | W G17 | W G19 | NW G20 | W G18 | W G17 | W | NW | NW | Calm | W | W |
Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop
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Wind Forecast for Jackson, KY (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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