Saturday, August19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Jetmore, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 8:28PM Saturday August 19, 2017 1:25 PM CDT (18:25 UTC) Moonrise 3:34AMMoonset 6:04PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jetmore, KS
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 38.04, -100     debug


Area Discussion for - Dodge City, KS
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus63 kddc 191656
afdddc
area forecast discussion
national weather service dodge city ks
1156 am cdt Sat aug 19 2017

Updated aviation...

Short term (tonight through Saturday evening)
issued at 1159 pm cdt Fri aug 18 2017
a very warm day is in store to begin the weekend. An upper level
high was centered across new mexico, which has allowed 850-700mb
temperatures to warm up quite a bit, with +16c at 700mb at kabq at
19 0000 utc. This warm air will continue to expand east into
southwest kansas, so we should see temperatures exceed yesterday's
surface temperatures by 3 or 4 degrees across the board -- going
for 97 at dodge city and 100 for highs in the red hills of clark,
comanche, barber county. A surface leeside trough will become
established by late afternoon, and convergence will setup in its
traditional axis from baca county through east-central colorado.

Convective initiation is expected along this axis in the 2100 to
20 0000 utc time frame today, and will have some slight chance
pops along the co border. Short-term models suggest the storms
farther south will struggle to live much past 0000 utc. There is
some model consistency in the best convective organization farther
north across northwestern kansas, with a small MCS expected north
of i-70 in the 0000 to 0600 utc time frame. Given that likelihood,
we will have some 30-40 pops across trego and ellis county to
account for exact location uncertainty, although the better
probability for location of an MCS will be closer to the nebraska
border. The rest of the forecast through tonight is fairly
straight-forward without much in the way of change from the
inherited grids.

Long term (Sunday through Friday)
issued at 352 am cdt Sat aug 19 2017
main challenge will be extent of mid-high level cloud cover on
Monday, particularly 1800 utc at the time of partial solar eclipse.

There is growing confidence that at a plume of subtropical cirriform
cloud cover will push up into western kansas late Sunday, with the
best timing for most widespread, potentially opaque mid and high
cloud late Sunday night through at least Monday morning. There is
still some uncertainty around 1800 utc at around eclipse time how
opaque thick this cloud cover will be and extensive it is how
many breaks there will be. The ECMWF continues to be the least
promising for western kansas partial solar eclipse observers as it
shows a fairly large area of 95-100 percent rh at 300 and 400mb,
with even a swath of 90-95 percent rh at 500mb.

As far as the rest of the forecast is concerned, the best chance for
precipitation with this storm system will be late Monday night as
this disturbance interacts with a polar from advancing from
nebraska. Latest superblend guidance gives 40 to 50 pops along east
of a u283 corridor with 20-30 pops west of u283. We should see
cooler weather on Tuesday (per ecmwf) with precipitation chances
decreasing as the front pushes well to our south. The latest global
model consensus keeps this fairly cool airmass (by august standards)
in place through Thursday with only slow modification by end of the
week. Mid-week temperatures will likely need to be lowered in future
forecast updates if the GFS trends more toward the ecmwf.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Sunday afternoon)
issued at 1136 am cdt Sat aug 19 2017
vfr conditions expected through the time period. Isolated
thunderstorms are possible around hys from 4z-8z. LLJ winds of
210-230 at 30-40 kts are possible for all the airports from around
6z to as late as 15z.

Preliminary point temps pops
Ddc 98 70 95 70 0 10 10 20
gck 96 68 94 69 10 10 10 10
eha 94 66 90 65 10 20 10 20
lbl 96 69 93 69 0 10 10 20
hys 97 69 96 71 0 40 10 20
p28 99 72 97 73 0 10 10 20

Ddc watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... Umscheid
long term... Umscheid
aviation... Tatro


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dodge City, Dodge City Regional Airport, KS18 mi33 minS 1010.00 miFair96°F63°F34%1012.2 hPa

Wind History from DDC (wind in knots)
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last 24hrW10W8W8
G15
W7CalmSW3SW5S5SW4NW5N5N5N4N4CalmNW4SW4CalmE3S4S3S7S11
G16
S10
1 day ago3--SW6
G15
4SW8S11SE8SE12SE12SE13S10NE11SE4E4S5S11S8SW16
G21
SW12SW17S14
G22
SW14
G22
SW13
G19
SW15
G21
2 days agoNW11N9
G21
NW11N12NW10
G18
NW11
G19
NW8NW4NW5N6NE6NE6N6SW3NW4NW5NW5NW4N4N6NW5CalmSW3SW5

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of CentralPlains    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Dodge City, KS (14,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Dodge City, KS
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.