Saturday, November18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Jetmore, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:23AMSunset 5:27PM Saturday November 18, 2017 1:27 PM CST (19:27 UTC) Moonrise 7:21AMMoonset 6:01PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jetmore, KS
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location: 38.04, -100     debug


Area Discussion for - Dodge City, KS
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Fxus63 kddc 181840
afdddc
area forecast discussion
national weather service dodge city ks
1240 pm cst Sat nov 18 2017

Updated long term...

Short term (this afternoon through Sunday)
issued at 1200 pm cst Sat nov 18 2017
strong shortwave exiting eastward through kansas at midday, with
strong subsidence and drying across SW ks. Pressure gradient has
supported NW wind gusts as high as 50 mph this morning. NW winds
will rapidly weaken after 3 pm, as incoming surface high pressure
settles over SW ks by sunset. Even with full sunshine this
afternoon, 850 mb temperatures will only support lower to mid 50s.

Tonight... Clear and seasonably cold. Surface high pressure will
strengthen further to near 1030 mb as it sinks southward into
west texas tonight. A light SW wind of 10 mph or less will
prevail. Strong radiational cooling in a dry airmass will easily
allow for temperatures to fall into the mid 20s at sunrise Sunday,
but the weak downslope component should keep most locations out of
the teens.

Sunday... Sunny, windy and warmer. Surface high moves to near the
arklatex by 6 pm, allowing return flow to establish quickly.

Pressure gradient will support an average windy day for SW ks,
with SW winds averaging 20-30 mph. A modest warming at 850 mb to
near 8c and good downslope components (along with full Sun and dry
ground) will allow for most locations to reach the lower to
perhaps mid 60s. Increasing cirrus is expected by afternoon which
will cap temperatures to some extent.

Long term (Sunday night through Saturday)
issued at 1240 pm cst Sat nov 18 2017
extremely quiet and completely dry weather will continue through
thanksgiving and beyond. Medium range models show no hints of any
pattern changes, with a polar vortex finding a home near hudson
bay and eastern canada, while a strong upper ridge remains
stagnant over the eastern pacific near baja california. At noon on
thanksgiving day, 12z ECMWF depicts a deep cold 500 dm low at
hudson bay, and an impressive 595 dm ridge near san diego. Until
this synoptic pattern can break down, we will not see meaningful
rain or snow in SW kansas under the benign dry NW flow. So, the
forecast is reduced to minor dry cold fronts, wind shifts, periods
of cirrus and temperature fluctuations.

Monday will be warmer, well into the 60s. The next dry cold front
looks quite wimpy on the latest model runs (much weaker than this
morning's), so north winds and only back to the 50s Tuesday.

A warming trend is expected Wednesday through Friday, with the
shopping day black Friday expected to be the warmest day, near 70.

The next cold front Friday night into Saturday appears to have
some more teeth to it (stronger north winds, maybe a passing
sprinkle) but still nothing of any consequence.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Sunday afternoon)
issued at 1100 am cst Sat nov 18 2017
strong shortwave is exiting eastward through central kansas as of
17z, with strong subsidence, drying and clearing in its wake.

ExpectVFR skc through this entire TAF package. Very strong nw
winds at midday (peak gust of 43 kts observed at ddc) will rapidly
weaken after 21z sat, as 1025 mb surface high moves to near lbl
by 00z sun. Light SW winds less than 8 kts will prevail overnight.

After 15z Sunday, surface high will be located in central texas,
and return flow will commence with SW winds averaging 15-25 kts.

Preliminary point temps pops
Ddc 53 26 62 32 20 0 0 0
gck 52 25 62 28 10 0 0 0
eha 49 29 60 32 0 0 0 0
lbl 53 25 62 31 10 0 0 0
hys 51 24 60 31 50 0 0 0
p28 56 28 60 33 20 0 0 0

Ddc watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... Turner
long term... Turner
aviation... Turner


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dodge City, Dodge City Regional Airport, KS18 mi35 minN 25 G 3610.00 miFair and Windy51°F21°F32%1022.1 hPa

Wind History from DDC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW11SW10SW14
G21
SW10S7SW11SW10W16N12
G20
N17
G27
N17
G28
N18
G31
N15
G27
N15
G29
N12
G23
NW21
G32
NW18
G39
N21
G36
N19
G34
N15
G27
N23
G43
N26
G38
N25
G35
N25
G36
1 day agoS21
G30
S22
G34
S20
G29
S19S17S14S16S15S16S17S19S15S15S13S12S11SW13SW12SW10SW12W13W17W13W11
G20
2 days agoN9
G15
NW7N7N4NE4CalmSE5S3S4S7S9SE10S10S14S14SE9S11S13S12S12S23
G31
S21S22
G30
S22
G31

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of CentralPlains    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Dodge City, KS (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dodge City, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.