Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mitchell, IN

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 9:17PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 1:37 PM EDT (17:37 UTC) Moonrise 10:30AMMoonset 11:50PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mitchell, IN
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location: 38.75, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Indianapolis, IN
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Fxus63 kind 281735
afdind
area forecast discussion
national weather service indianapolis in
135 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017

Update
The aviation section has been updated below.

Synopsis
Issued at 310 am edt Wed jun 28 2017
another dry day ahead with warmer temperatures but still
relatively low humidity. By Thursday though moisture increases and
will see chances for thunderstorms overspread the area and stick
around until midday Saturday. Some storms Thursday and Friday
could be strong to severe. Rain will move out on Saturday but then
chances will return for Monday and onward with more low pressure
systems moving through the area.

Near term this afternoon
Issued at 1230 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017
given thicker cirrus from storms NW of here, have lowered max
temperatures near lafayette as they have been slower to warm as a
result of cloud cover. Do expect brighter Sun there before
afternoons end so 80s will still be obtainable there.

Lightning continues to diminish in illinois storms as they track
ene. Radar shows tail end of storms still headed toward nw
indiana north of our area so dry forecast still holds today.

Wind gustiness has mixed down and overspread central indiana and
will continue to early evening.

Dewpoints have reached mid 50s. Illinois dewpoints have climbed
into 60s... And these will spread to our western counties this
afternoon.

Short term tonight through Friday night
Issued at 310 am edt Wed jun 28 2017
best forcing has trended further north for tonight through Thursday
with this set of model runs. Think the best threat for severe
will be north of the forecast area for that timeframe. Low level
jet and upper level jet look like potential for severe is now
better for Friday afternoon evening ahead of the cold frontal
passage, with both jets pointing toward the area in some manner
during that time, although the GFS has better potential coupling
of the jets than the NAM at this time. Despite this appearance,
instability is better Thursday in the gfs, and bulk shear is as
well. Instability looks impressive both days in the NAM but bulk
shear is better Friday afternoon in the nam. Looking at the upper
wave and surface fronts, think Friday Friday night is the better
bet and thus will keep the higher pops going then. Still looks
like chances for thunderstorms in the northwest and then north
late Wednesday night into Thursday, though, but dry in the south.

Pops will increase through the day on Friday as a cold front
approaches. The cold front should move through Friday night, and
will see likely rain and thunderstorms across the area then.

Temperatures Thursday should reach into the middle to upper 80s
under southwest flow and mostly sunny conditions. Friday will be a
bit cooler with more cloud cover expected, but still in the 80s.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
Issued at 302 am edt Wed jun 28 2017
showers should end by midday Saturday as a weak cold front moves to
near the ohio river. This front will remain stalled across extreme
southern indiana rest of the weekend and then drift a little to the
north by Monday as low pressure moves into the central plains.

Mostly dry weather will be the rule rest of the weekend... Although
some models indicate low chance pops over southeast indiana Sunday
afternoon with a very weak upper disturbance. But confidence of
this is low.

It appears better chances of showers and a few storms will return
after the weekend as low pressure over plains moves our way. Models
indicate a very moist airmass later Monday and Tuesday with an
increasing southerly flow ahead of next system.

High temperatures will be near normal and lows near to slightly
above normal. This will result in highs in the 80s and lows in the
middle to upper 60s. Generally stayed close to a superblend mex
blend on temperatures most periods.

Aviation discussion for 281800z tafs
Issued at 131 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017
vfr through the period.

This afternoon, cirrus from illinois thunderstorms is limiting
cumulus formation. A little gustiness this afternoon dies down
before sunset today.

Sustained winds above 10 knots with gusts to 20 knots by 291600z.

More cloudiness Thursday as thunderstorm remnants from illinois
convection overnight spread even closer to terminals Thursday.

Klaf may in fact see vcsh by 291200z but uncertainty limits
inclusion in TAF at this time.

Ind watches warnings advisories
None.

Synopsis... Cp
near term... Tucek
short term... Cp
long term... .Jh
aviation... Tucek


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bloomington, Monroe County Airport, IN29 mi44 minSSW 810.00 miFair80°F53°F39%1019.1 hPa

Wind History from BMG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE65N5NW3W5W4SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3SE7S5S6S8S12S8
1 day agoW8
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W5SW4SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE54NE35
2 days agoW12
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W7W7W8NW4NW3NW3CalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW6W4W7W7NW5
G16

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Indianapolis, IN (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Louisville, KY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.