Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Stone Harbor, NJ
March 19, 2024 3:08 AM EDT (07:08 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:00 AM Sunset 7:10 PM Moonrise 1:47 PM Moonset 4:29 AM |
ANZ473 Expires:202403171100;;889608 Fzus71 Kphi 171028 Mwsphi
marine weather statement national weather service mount holly nj 628 am edt Sun mar 17 2024
anz455-473-475-171100- 628 am edt Sun mar 17 2024
.strong Thunderstorms over the waters - .
the areas affected include - . Coastal waters from cape henlopen to fenwick island de out 20 nm - . Waters from cape may nj to fenwick island de out 20 to 40 nm - . Waters from great egg inlet nj to cape may nj out 20 to 40 nm - .
at 628 am edt, doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds to around 30 knots and small hail. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 15 nm south of deepwater reef to 12 nm south of five fathoms buoy to delaware lightship buoy 44009, moving east at 35 knots.
locations impacted include - . Delaware lightship buoy 44009.
precautionary/preparedness actions - .
mariners can expect gusty winds to around 30 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until these storms pass.
&&
lat - .lon 3843 7486 3855 7461 3880 7422 3885 7390 3875 7402 3870 7415 3861 7417 3851 7426 3843 7426 3839 7428
marine weather statement national weather service mount holly nj 628 am edt Sun mar 17 2024
anz455-473-475-171100- 628 am edt Sun mar 17 2024
the areas affected include - . Coastal waters from cape henlopen to fenwick island de out 20 nm - . Waters from cape may nj to fenwick island de out 20 to 40 nm - . Waters from great egg inlet nj to cape may nj out 20 to 40 nm - .
at 628 am edt, doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds to around 30 knots and small hail. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 15 nm south of deepwater reef to 12 nm south of five fathoms buoy to delaware lightship buoy 44009, moving east at 35 knots.
locations impacted include - . Delaware lightship buoy 44009.
precautionary/preparedness actions - .
mariners can expect gusty winds to around 30 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until these storms pass.
&&
lat - .lon 3843 7486 3855 7461 3880 7422 3885 7390 3875 7402 3870 7415 3861 7417 3851 7426 3843 7426 3839 7428
ANZ400 102 Am Edt Tue Mar 19 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - A reinforcing cold front moves offshore overnight. SEveral upper level disturbances and cold fronts will pass through the region this week as surface high pressure builds to the west. Developing low pressure approaches for the end of the week and weekend.
Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 190444 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1244 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
A reinforcing cold front moves offshore overnight. Several upper level disturbances and cold fronts will pass through the region this week as surface high pressure builds to the west.
Developing low pressure approaches for the end of the week and weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
No significant changes made to previous forecast.
For areas north of I-78, the latest hi-res guidance indicates a few more light showers or flurries are possible overnight. Cold advection will continue overnight. The mid-level cloud cover could persist overnight moreso than currently forecast. Dry, colder air mass builds in behind the front overnight with temps dropping near or below freezing region- wide, accompanied by a persistent west to northwest wind, resulting in wind chills deep into the 20s for most and into the lower teens in the Poconos.
Will have some sun to start on Tuesday, but clouds then increase quickly as warm advection gets underway ahead of the next system. The combination of the cold air mass and return of clouds will keep temps down on Tuesday, with few locations managing to reach 50. Westerly winds will remain gusty as well much of the day near 10-20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph possible. By late afternoon, there could be enough moisture advection to cause a few flurries or snow showers to develop in the Poconos, but the air mass should be too dry elsewhere for any precip. No accumulation expected.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
A weak cold front crosses through the region late Wednesday, but no impactful weather is expected aside from conditions becoming more conducive for fire spread (more information below in the Fire Weather section). With that said, breezy westerly winds will increase as the day progresses. Sustained winds near 15-25 mph are forecast with peak gusts near 35 mph possible.
Ahead of the cold front Wednesday night, weak warm air advection will allow temperatures on Wednesday to be 5 to 10 degrees higher than Tuesday. As the cold front approaches late in the day Wednesday, a few showers are possible primarily north and west of the fall line. However, any precipitation (should be mostly rain aside from the higher terrain of the southern Poconos) will be very light, with rain amounts less than a tenth of an inch.
In the wake of the front Wednesday night into Thursday, expect a relatively tight surface pressure gradient. Consequently, winds of 15 to 25 mph gusting as high as 40 mph are expected.
The other impact of the cold front is that it will be considerably cooler. A widespread freeze is likely Wednesday night/Thursday morning (we remain outside of the growing season so no frost/freeze headlines are needed at this time).
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
With high pressure moving offshore Friday, return flow sets up and temperatures begin to warm back up to normal levels for the end of the week and weekend.
The main feature we are watching in this period is a low developing off the coast of the southeastern U
S
Some guidance depicts this low lifting northeast along the coast, while others depict it staying well to our south. If it follows something close to the first solution, we could see our next best chance for widespread precipitation Friday night into Saturday. However, if it stays far enough suppressed to the south, then precipitation should stay south of the region as well. Given the uncertainty, stayed close to a blend of guidance and the previous forecast in this time frame.
Regardless of the evolution of the coastal low, an upper level trough could dig southeast towards our region at the beginning of next week, which could mean another small chance (20%) for precipitation across the area.
AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Through Tonight...VFR with BKN to OVC ceilings gradually scattering out overnight. Winds W to NW 10-15 kts with gusts 20-25 kts through 08Z or so, diminishing to near 10 kts with gusts 15-20 kts possible after 08Z. High confidence.
Tuesday...VFR. Winds W 10-15 kts with gusts 15-20 kts early increasing to 10-20 kts with gusts up to 25 kts in the afternoon. High confidence.
Outlook...
Wednesday through Saturday...VFR overall. A few SHRA or SHSN Tuesday afternoon, and again Wednesday afternoon and evening could result in brief sub-VFR conditions. A prolonged period of W-NW winds will range from 15 to 20 kt with 25 to 35 kt gusts.
MARINE
SCA through Tuesday with persistent west to northwest winds 10-20 kts with gusts to 30 kts. Seas mainly 2-4 ft.
Outlook...
Should be a brief lull in SCA conditions Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, before SCA conditions develop again late Wednesday through the day on Thursday. Winds and seas are likely to stay below SCA criteria Friday into Saturday.
FIRE WEATHER
Lowering humidity levels and increasing winds over the next few afternoons could lead to fire weather concerns across our region. The lack of rainfall during the past week has led to dry fine fuels over the region, with fine fuel moisture already below 20 percent.
A few rain or snow showers are possible across the Poconos from time to time this week. Aside from that, dry conditions on tap.
Although most of the area is above normal for precipitation since March 1, it has been a week since the last significant rainfall, and no significant rainfall is expected this week.
Min RH values this week will generally range from 25 to 35 percent, and stronger westerly flow occurs over the area as well with winds generally 15 to 20 mph with gusts 25 to 30 mph.
The day of highest concern looks to be Thursday, where surface dew points drop into the upper single digits to low teens. Min RH values may be as low as 20 to 25 percent, and west to northwest winds could gust as high as 30 to 35 mph. By then, it will be almost 2 weeks since the last significant rainfall.
Depending on how fast and how efficiently fine fuels dry out further will add to possible concerns for the rapid spread of any fires that may develop.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ430- 431-450>455.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1244 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
A reinforcing cold front moves offshore overnight. Several upper level disturbances and cold fronts will pass through the region this week as surface high pressure builds to the west.
Developing low pressure approaches for the end of the week and weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
No significant changes made to previous forecast.
For areas north of I-78, the latest hi-res guidance indicates a few more light showers or flurries are possible overnight. Cold advection will continue overnight. The mid-level cloud cover could persist overnight moreso than currently forecast. Dry, colder air mass builds in behind the front overnight with temps dropping near or below freezing region- wide, accompanied by a persistent west to northwest wind, resulting in wind chills deep into the 20s for most and into the lower teens in the Poconos.
Will have some sun to start on Tuesday, but clouds then increase quickly as warm advection gets underway ahead of the next system. The combination of the cold air mass and return of clouds will keep temps down on Tuesday, with few locations managing to reach 50. Westerly winds will remain gusty as well much of the day near 10-20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph possible. By late afternoon, there could be enough moisture advection to cause a few flurries or snow showers to develop in the Poconos, but the air mass should be too dry elsewhere for any precip. No accumulation expected.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
A weak cold front crosses through the region late Wednesday, but no impactful weather is expected aside from conditions becoming more conducive for fire spread (more information below in the Fire Weather section). With that said, breezy westerly winds will increase as the day progresses. Sustained winds near 15-25 mph are forecast with peak gusts near 35 mph possible.
Ahead of the cold front Wednesday night, weak warm air advection will allow temperatures on Wednesday to be 5 to 10 degrees higher than Tuesday. As the cold front approaches late in the day Wednesday, a few showers are possible primarily north and west of the fall line. However, any precipitation (should be mostly rain aside from the higher terrain of the southern Poconos) will be very light, with rain amounts less than a tenth of an inch.
In the wake of the front Wednesday night into Thursday, expect a relatively tight surface pressure gradient. Consequently, winds of 15 to 25 mph gusting as high as 40 mph are expected.
The other impact of the cold front is that it will be considerably cooler. A widespread freeze is likely Wednesday night/Thursday morning (we remain outside of the growing season so no frost/freeze headlines are needed at this time).
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
With high pressure moving offshore Friday, return flow sets up and temperatures begin to warm back up to normal levels for the end of the week and weekend.
The main feature we are watching in this period is a low developing off the coast of the southeastern U
S
Some guidance depicts this low lifting northeast along the coast, while others depict it staying well to our south. If it follows something close to the first solution, we could see our next best chance for widespread precipitation Friday night into Saturday. However, if it stays far enough suppressed to the south, then precipitation should stay south of the region as well. Given the uncertainty, stayed close to a blend of guidance and the previous forecast in this time frame.
Regardless of the evolution of the coastal low, an upper level trough could dig southeast towards our region at the beginning of next week, which could mean another small chance (20%) for precipitation across the area.
AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Through Tonight...VFR with BKN to OVC ceilings gradually scattering out overnight. Winds W to NW 10-15 kts with gusts 20-25 kts through 08Z or so, diminishing to near 10 kts with gusts 15-20 kts possible after 08Z. High confidence.
Tuesday...VFR. Winds W 10-15 kts with gusts 15-20 kts early increasing to 10-20 kts with gusts up to 25 kts in the afternoon. High confidence.
Outlook...
Wednesday through Saturday...VFR overall. A few SHRA or SHSN Tuesday afternoon, and again Wednesday afternoon and evening could result in brief sub-VFR conditions. A prolonged period of W-NW winds will range from 15 to 20 kt with 25 to 35 kt gusts.
MARINE
SCA through Tuesday with persistent west to northwest winds 10-20 kts with gusts to 30 kts. Seas mainly 2-4 ft.
Outlook...
Should be a brief lull in SCA conditions Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, before SCA conditions develop again late Wednesday through the day on Thursday. Winds and seas are likely to stay below SCA criteria Friday into Saturday.
FIRE WEATHER
Lowering humidity levels and increasing winds over the next few afternoons could lead to fire weather concerns across our region. The lack of rainfall during the past week has led to dry fine fuels over the region, with fine fuel moisture already below 20 percent.
A few rain or snow showers are possible across the Poconos from time to time this week. Aside from that, dry conditions on tap.
Although most of the area is above normal for precipitation since March 1, it has been a week since the last significant rainfall, and no significant rainfall is expected this week.
Min RH values this week will generally range from 25 to 35 percent, and stronger westerly flow occurs over the area as well with winds generally 15 to 20 mph with gusts 25 to 30 mph.
The day of highest concern looks to be Thursday, where surface dew points drop into the upper single digits to low teens. Min RH values may be as low as 20 to 25 percent, and west to northwest winds could gust as high as 30 to 35 mph. By then, it will be almost 2 weeks since the last significant rainfall.
Depending on how fast and how efficiently fine fuels dry out further will add to possible concerns for the rapid spread of any fires that may develop.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ430- 431-450>455.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ | 35 mi | 29 min | NW 23G | 41°F | 47°F | 29.83 | 29°F | |
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ | 41 mi | 51 min | 37°F | 47°F | 29.76 | |||
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ | 43 mi | 51 min | WNW 9.9G | 40°F | 55°F | 29.83 | ||
44084 | 49 mi | 43 min | 48°F | 2 ft |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Tide / Current for Waretown, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
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Waretown
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:50 AM EDT 0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:29 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:46 AM EDT 0.51 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:00 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 01:42 PM EDT 0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:46 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:08 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:33 PM EDT 0.44 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:50 AM EDT 0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:29 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:46 AM EDT 0.51 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:00 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 01:42 PM EDT 0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:46 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:08 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:33 PM EDT 0.44 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Waretown, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey, Tide feet
12 am |
0.1 |
1 am |
0.1 |
2 am |
0.1 |
3 am |
0.2 |
4 am |
0.3 |
5 am |
0.4 |
6 am |
0.5 |
7 am |
0.5 |
8 am |
0.5 |
9 am |
0.4 |
10 am |
0.4 |
11 am |
0.3 |
12 pm |
0.2 |
1 pm |
0.1 |
2 pm |
0.1 |
3 pm |
0.1 |
4 pm |
0.2 |
5 pm |
0.3 |
6 pm |
0.4 |
7 pm |
0.4 |
8 pm |
0.4 |
9 pm |
0.4 |
10 pm |
0.3 |
11 pm |
0.3 |
Ocean Drive bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:21 AM EDT 3.61 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:33 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:03 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:07 AM EDT 0.54 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:47 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:04 PM EDT 3.17 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:10 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:05 PM EDT 0.72 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:21 AM EDT 3.61 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:33 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:03 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:07 AM EDT 0.54 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:47 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:04 PM EDT 3.17 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:10 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:05 PM EDT 0.72 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Ocean Drive bridge, New Jersey, Tide feet
12 am |
1.5 |
1 am |
2.1 |
2 am |
2.8 |
3 am |
3.3 |
4 am |
3.6 |
5 am |
3.5 |
6 am |
3.2 |
7 am |
2.6 |
8 am |
2.1 |
9 am |
1.4 |
10 am |
0.8 |
11 am |
0.5 |
12 pm |
0.7 |
1 pm |
1.2 |
2 pm |
1.8 |
3 pm |
2.4 |
4 pm |
2.9 |
5 pm |
3.2 |
6 pm |
3 |
7 pm |
2.6 |
8 pm |
2.1 |
9 pm |
1.5 |
10 pm |
1 |
11 pm |
0.7 |
Dover AFB, DE,
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