Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Sharon Springs, KS
March 19, 2024 12:39 AM CDT (05:39 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:45 AM Sunset 7:56 PM Moonrise 1:42 PM Moonset 4:23 AM |
Area Discussion for - Goodland, KS
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FXUS63 KGLD 190339 AFDGLD
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 939 PM MDT Mon Mar 18 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Above normal temperatures continue through Thursday.
- Unsettled weather returns with increasing rain and snow chances and below normal temperatures Friday night through Monday.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Issued at 215 PM MDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Tonight...a surface trough/wind shift is forecast to move through the area under a generally clear sky. Low temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 20s to middle 30s.
Tuesday-Tuesday night...an upper low pressure area just south of the Nevada/Arizona border tonight (Monday night) is forecast to drift into Arizona during the day then become a bit elongated while moving into New Mexico overnight. Under a sunny sky, look for high temperatures to warm into the middle 60s to lower 70s. A few high clouds are possible overnight with low temperatures in the 30 to 35 degree range.
Wednesday-Wednesday night...at the surface, there is pretty good agreement on high pressure nosing into the area from the northeast.
building into the area from the northeast. It, along with low pressure along the front range of the rockies will produce some breezy east to southeast winds during the day.
At 500mb, the upper low/trough to our southwest in the morning is forecast to move toward the Texas panhandle during the day then slowly east into western Oklahoma overnight. The slightly further southerly track looks to push the prior precipitation chances out of the area. However, GFS/NAM 850-500mb relative humidity and qpf suggest a few showers and possibly a few thunderstorms from central Yuma county southwest toward Flagler where some low level wind convergence is advertised. Will need to watch this scenario for possible including of precipitation into the forecast here over the next day or so. We should also mention that stratus and fog are possible Wednesday night west of Highway 25 as rich boundary layer moisture moves into the area from the south/southeast.
High temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 50s to upper 60s with low temperatures in the lower to middle 30s.
Thursday-Thursday night...the forecast area is under northwest flow aloft. Currently, high temperatures are forecast to be in the middle 60s to lower 70s. Based on NAM/GFS 850mb temperatures and the better performing temperature guidance from the past 7 days, locations generally east of Highway 25 may need their temperature lowered as high pressure and cooler air hold on out there. They may be 3 or 4 degrees to warm at present time. Low temperatures are forecast to be in the lower to middle 30s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 215 PM MDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Friday...broad, flat upper level ridging moves over the area from the west, ahead of a low pressure system off the Oregon coast.
Presently, we have 20%-30% chances for light rain showers during the night which seems reasonable given a wave in the 850-500mb relative humidity forecasts from the GFS/ECMWF moves off the Colorado Front Range and through our area. High temperatures are currently forecast to be in the middle 50s to middle 60s. GFS/ECMWF/GEM 850mb temperatures suggest this may be a tad optimistic by only a few degrees so little adjustments were made. Low temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 20s to lower 30s.
Saturday...a broad upper level trough is forecast to move toward the Continental Divide. At the surface, low pressure is forecast to reside somewhere along the CO/KS border during the night. The increasing pressure gradient will likely produce increasing southeasterly winds where gusts up to 30 mph are currently forecast.
Breezy south to southwest winds continue during the night. Regarding precipitation chances, Friday nights precipitation exits the area in the morning, leaving dry conditions in the afternoon before another wave moves across the area from the east during the night, bringing with it 20%-40% chances for light rainfall. With such a tight pressure gradient, the temperature gradient is just as tight and any deviation east or west will greatly impact temperatures. For now, highs are forecast to be in the upper 40s (east) to lower 60s (west). Low temperatures look to be in the 30s.
Sunday...this mornings GFS/ECMWF/GEM/GEFS models all show a large upper level trough crossing the Rockies and onto the northern and central plains. Surface low pressure is currently forecast over southern Kansas by the end of the day then into central Kansas overnight as strong high pressure moves in from the north. North to northeast winds will become breezy with gusts presently up to 35 mph. High temperatures in the middle 50s to middle 60s are currently forecast and would likely be reached by late morning/early afternoon before falling from north to south behind the cold front.
Precipitation chances in the form of rain showers slowly increases from north to south (20%-40%) during the day as moisture wraps around the surface low. Overnight, precipitation chances continue to increase (40%-70%) with rain gradually changing over to snow from northwest to southeast as the colder air moves through. Presently, under one inch of snow accumulation is forecast, subject to change.
Low temperatures drop into the upper teens to middle 20s.
Monday...precipitation chances (20%-40%) continue during the day, falling a bit overnight as the large upper trough continues moving across the area. Light snow will be the dominant weather type. High temperatures are currently forecast to be in the middle 30s to lower 40s with low temperatures in the middle teens to around 20. It will continue to be breezy with northerly winds gusting 25 to 30 mph.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 939 PM MDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Overall for both terminals, VFR conditions are expected w/ wind shifts being the main wx issues.
Winds for KGLD, west-southwest around 10kts through 13z Tuesday, then northwest 10-20kts. By 22z, northeast 5-10kts becoming easterly by 05z Wednesday.
Winds for KMCK, west-southwest around 10kts through 13z Tuesday, then north-northwest 10 kts. By 21z, northeast around 10kts becoming easterly by 02z Wednesday.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 939 PM MDT Mon Mar 18 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Above normal temperatures continue through Thursday.
- Unsettled weather returns with increasing rain and snow chances and below normal temperatures Friday night through Monday.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Issued at 215 PM MDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Tonight...a surface trough/wind shift is forecast to move through the area under a generally clear sky. Low temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 20s to middle 30s.
Tuesday-Tuesday night...an upper low pressure area just south of the Nevada/Arizona border tonight (Monday night) is forecast to drift into Arizona during the day then become a bit elongated while moving into New Mexico overnight. Under a sunny sky, look for high temperatures to warm into the middle 60s to lower 70s. A few high clouds are possible overnight with low temperatures in the 30 to 35 degree range.
Wednesday-Wednesday night...at the surface, there is pretty good agreement on high pressure nosing into the area from the northeast.
building into the area from the northeast. It, along with low pressure along the front range of the rockies will produce some breezy east to southeast winds during the day.
At 500mb, the upper low/trough to our southwest in the morning is forecast to move toward the Texas panhandle during the day then slowly east into western Oklahoma overnight. The slightly further southerly track looks to push the prior precipitation chances out of the area. However, GFS/NAM 850-500mb relative humidity and qpf suggest a few showers and possibly a few thunderstorms from central Yuma county southwest toward Flagler where some low level wind convergence is advertised. Will need to watch this scenario for possible including of precipitation into the forecast here over the next day or so. We should also mention that stratus and fog are possible Wednesday night west of Highway 25 as rich boundary layer moisture moves into the area from the south/southeast.
High temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 50s to upper 60s with low temperatures in the lower to middle 30s.
Thursday-Thursday night...the forecast area is under northwest flow aloft. Currently, high temperatures are forecast to be in the middle 60s to lower 70s. Based on NAM/GFS 850mb temperatures and the better performing temperature guidance from the past 7 days, locations generally east of Highway 25 may need their temperature lowered as high pressure and cooler air hold on out there. They may be 3 or 4 degrees to warm at present time. Low temperatures are forecast to be in the lower to middle 30s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 215 PM MDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Friday...broad, flat upper level ridging moves over the area from the west, ahead of a low pressure system off the Oregon coast.
Presently, we have 20%-30% chances for light rain showers during the night which seems reasonable given a wave in the 850-500mb relative humidity forecasts from the GFS/ECMWF moves off the Colorado Front Range and through our area. High temperatures are currently forecast to be in the middle 50s to middle 60s. GFS/ECMWF/GEM 850mb temperatures suggest this may be a tad optimistic by only a few degrees so little adjustments were made. Low temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 20s to lower 30s.
Saturday...a broad upper level trough is forecast to move toward the Continental Divide. At the surface, low pressure is forecast to reside somewhere along the CO/KS border during the night. The increasing pressure gradient will likely produce increasing southeasterly winds where gusts up to 30 mph are currently forecast.
Breezy south to southwest winds continue during the night. Regarding precipitation chances, Friday nights precipitation exits the area in the morning, leaving dry conditions in the afternoon before another wave moves across the area from the east during the night, bringing with it 20%-40% chances for light rainfall. With such a tight pressure gradient, the temperature gradient is just as tight and any deviation east or west will greatly impact temperatures. For now, highs are forecast to be in the upper 40s (east) to lower 60s (west). Low temperatures look to be in the 30s.
Sunday...this mornings GFS/ECMWF/GEM/GEFS models all show a large upper level trough crossing the Rockies and onto the northern and central plains. Surface low pressure is currently forecast over southern Kansas by the end of the day then into central Kansas overnight as strong high pressure moves in from the north. North to northeast winds will become breezy with gusts presently up to 35 mph. High temperatures in the middle 50s to middle 60s are currently forecast and would likely be reached by late morning/early afternoon before falling from north to south behind the cold front.
Precipitation chances in the form of rain showers slowly increases from north to south (20%-40%) during the day as moisture wraps around the surface low. Overnight, precipitation chances continue to increase (40%-70%) with rain gradually changing over to snow from northwest to southeast as the colder air moves through. Presently, under one inch of snow accumulation is forecast, subject to change.
Low temperatures drop into the upper teens to middle 20s.
Monday...precipitation chances (20%-40%) continue during the day, falling a bit overnight as the large upper trough continues moving across the area. Light snow will be the dominant weather type. High temperatures are currently forecast to be in the middle 30s to lower 40s with low temperatures in the middle teens to around 20. It will continue to be breezy with northerly winds gusting 25 to 30 mph.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 939 PM MDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Overall for both terminals, VFR conditions are expected w/ wind shifts being the main wx issues.
Winds for KGLD, west-southwest around 10kts through 13z Tuesday, then northwest 10-20kts. By 22z, northeast 5-10kts becoming easterly by 05z Wednesday.
Winds for KMCK, west-southwest around 10kts through 13z Tuesday, then north-northwest 10 kts. By 21z, northeast around 10kts becoming easterly by 02z Wednesday.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.
Airport Reports
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