Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Solomon, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 9:01PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 5:50 PM CDT (22:50 UTC) Moonrise 10:15AMMoonset 11:35PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Solomon, KS
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location: 38.89, -97.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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Fxus63 kict 282002
afdict
area forecast discussion
national weather service wichita ks
302 pm cdt Wed jun 28 2017

Short term (this evening through Saturday night)
issued at 300 pm cdt Wed jun 28 2017
forecast highlights challenges continue to focus around
thunderstorm chances this evening tonight through Friday evening,
and again Sunday into next week.

This evening-tonight... Could see an isolated thunderstorm or two
after 5-7 pm generally north of great bend to salina, as a weak
frontal zone wind shift approaches from the northwest. Upper
support is negligible to non-existent and surface convergence is
weak, so there's a chance the cap will not be breached for storm
development. However, if a storm or two can manage to form, strong
instability coupled with modest deep layer shear would promote
severe storms capable of large hail and damaging winds. Thinking
thunderstorm chances will gradually increase in coverage across
northern and northwest kansas as the evening progresses, mainly
along north of i- 70, as a strengthening low-level jet impinges on
the nearly stalled frontal zone, and subtle shortwave approaches
from the west. This activity may initially pose a large hail
threat, but should gradually transition to a wind threat, with
sporadic damaging wind occurrences possible.

Thursday... Severe storm development is a bit more uncertain than
previously thought Thursday afternoon-evening. Latest short-term
guidance suggests tonight's thunderstorm complex will track a bit
further north than previously thought, which makes sense given the
orientation and location of the better 700mb thermal gradient and
rap instability axis. This lends confidence in Thursday's frontal
placement from northeast ks, southwest into central and southwest
ks. However, like today weak upper forcing and relatively warm
mid- level temperatures may tend to limit thunderstorm coverage
along the front during the late afternoon, with chances possibly
holding off altogether until the evening and overnight when better
upper forcing approaches from the west and the low-level jet
increases. Regardless, strong instability coupled with modest deep
layer shear will support severe weather with any storms that can
develop during the evening, with the threat transitioning to
isolated damaging wind occurrences and locally heavy rain Thursday
night, as activity moves into eastern southeast ks.

Friday... Threat for storms could linger over far southeast ks for
Friday afternoon-evening, especially if Thursday night's
thunderstorm complex remains on the smaller side and doesn't
accelerate the frontal zone south into oklahoma. If so, severe
storms along with heavy rain are possible. Otherwise, cooler
weather begins arriving by Friday in wake of the frontal passage.

Saturday... Fairly quiet weather expected, as high pressure builds
south in wake of the frontal passage.

Long term (Sunday through Wednesday)
issued at 300 pm cdt Wed jun 28 2017
Sunday through mid next week... Low confidence low predictability
forecast for Sunday and beyond. Operational model consensus
suggests unsettled weather returning for at least Sunday and
Monday as an upper wave slowly migrates over mid-america. Weak
upper flow should prevent widespread severe storms, although a few
strong to marginally severe storms appear possible given
instability, along with locally heavy rain. Model solutions
diverge from Tuesday and beyond, with the GFS keeping an unsettled
weather pattern all week, and the ECMWF building the upper ridge
from the southwest, resulting in better chances for quiet and warm
weather. For now will carry slight chance to chance pops for
thunderstorm through mid-week.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Thursday afternoon)
issued at 1240 pm cdt Wed jun 28 2017
main concern is thunderstorm chances with sagging front. Thinking
atmosphere will remain capped through the afternoon, waiting for
combo of front and low level jet to initiate storms, although
small window around 0000 utc where heating and convergence could
break cap earlier. A lot of possible scenerios on how long where
convection would persist overnight. Anticipate krsl ksln will have
best chance and have forecast highest probability in the evening
with vcts. -howerton

Preliminary point temps pops
Wichita-kict 73 96 69 86 10 10 40 30
hutchinson 72 96 66 85 10 20 40 20
newton 72 94 67 84 10 20 50 30
eldorado 72 92 68 84 10 10 50 40
winfield-kwld 74 94 71 86 0 10 40 40
russell 68 94 64 85 40 20 30 20
great bend 69 95 65 85 20 20 30 10
salina 70 95 67 86 40 20 40 10
mcpherson 71 95 66 85 10 20 40 20
coffeyville 73 91 72 86 0 0 40 50
chanute 72 90 70 84 10 10 50 50
iola 71 90 69 84 10 10 50 50
parsons-kppf 73 90 71 85 0 0 40 50

Ict watches warnings advisories None.

Short term... Adk
long term... Adk
aviation... Pjh


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Salina, Salina Municipal Airport, KS14 mi58 minSSW 21 G 2710.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy100°F62°F29%1003.5 hPa

Wind History from SLN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS25
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1 day ago4NE17
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E8E8E7E6E6E6E7E6E6SE11SE12SE12SE14SE13S16
G23
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G28
2 days agoE7SE9SE5SE3SE3E4CalmCalmS5SW6S6S7S4SE7CalmSW7S11SW12SW8W7NW7CalmSW5SW6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wichita, KS (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Topeka, KS
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.