Tuesday, December18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Solomon, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:42AMSunset 5:12PM Tuesday December 18, 2018 8:59 PM CST (02:59 UTC) Moonrise 2:34PMMoonset 3:00AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Solomon, KS
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location: 38.89, -97.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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Fxus63 kict 182353
afdict
area forecast discussion
national weather service wichita ks
553 pm cst Tue dec 18 2018

Short term (this evening through Thursday night)
issued at 325 pm cst Tue dec 18 2018
a seasonably strong 160kt jet crashing into the pacific NW this
afternoon will carve out a longwave trough over the central us
over the next couple of days. At the surface, a lee-side trough
will deepen as mid-level height falls overspread the great
plains. Low-level moist advection ahead of the trough should allow
areas of low clouds to develop once again over oklahoma later
this evening, eventually spreading north into
southern southeastern kansas by tonight Wednesday morning. Beneath
this stratus deck, patchy fog will likely develop as higher
dewpoints advect into the area, leading to lower t TD spreads. At
this time, we do not expect widespread, dense fog to develop.

But, like this morning, a few areas could see reductions in
visibility to a half a mile or less. Some drizzle cannot be ruled
out early Wednesday morning, but the depth of moisture looks too
marginal for any mention at this time.

The surface trough will push east through the area on Wednesday,
allowing a NW flow CAA regime to ensue. Within this flow, steepening
lapse rates will allow deeper mixing and breezy conditions by
Wednesday afternoon, especially central kansas. This may lead to a
locally higher grassland fire danger, especially russell barton
counties. By Wednesday afternoon evening, increasing low mid level
convergence and deepening moisture profiles should allow isolated
to scattered rain showers to develop, especially along and east
of the kansas turnpike.

On Thursday, a northerly low mid level jet will develop across the
plains on the backside of the developing longwave trough. Locally,
the strongest winds aloft peak Wednesday night Thursday morning and
will be offset from peak heating and steepest lapse rates,
ultimately limiting the strength of the wind Thursday. The wind,
then, will primarily be gradient-driven, with gusts of 30-40 mph
expected. For now, we expect wind speeds gusts to remain just below
wind advisory criteria. However, these gusts will lead to increased
and more widespread fire weather concerns compared to Wednesday,
especially areas that do not see any precipitation Wednesday
afternoon evening (please see the fire weather section for
further details).

Martin

Long term (Friday through Tuesday)
issued at 325 pm cst Tue dec 18 2018
medium range guidance begins to differ late-week and especially
heading into the week of christmas. The general theme, though, is a
progressive pattern with several shortwaves traversing the region.

The progressive nature, should that end up being the case, would
tend to prevent any substantial return flow moisture advection,
consequently limiting the chance of precip. This should also
prevent any substantial temperature fluctuations. For now, this
suggests a lower-impact period for those with early holiday
travel planned.

Martin

Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Wednesday evening)
issued at 552 pm cst Tue dec 18 2018
south winds and low level warm advection and moisture advection will
lead to increasing MVFR CIGS and and even some fog far areas east of
the ks turnpike late this evening and overnight. Expect MVFR cigs
to move into kcnu sometime between 03-06z, with vsbys dropping to 4-
5sm. A little less certain on whether MVFR conditions will make it
as far west as kict. Latest high rez SREF and href data suggests it
will, leading to MVFR CIGS overnight, after 08z. Could also see some
MVFR vsbys from fog make it into kict as well, with lower vsbys
probably just to the east of kict. Could see the MVFR conditions
persist until the morning hours on wed, until a surface trough
scours out the low level moisture midday wed.

Not expecting the lower CIGS or fog to make as far north or west as
khut or ksln.

For central ks, the main concern will a wind shift to the NW by
midday wed, as a surface trough moves across the forecast area.

Could also see some sprinkles or isolated post frontal light showers
for Wed afternoon.

Ketcham

Fire weather
Issued at 325 pm cst Tue dec 18 2018
breezy windy conditions will lead to increasing fire weather
concerns over the next couple of days. The primary area of concern
on Wednesday will be central kansas, especially russell and
barton counties. By Thursday, increasing northerly winds of 30-40
mph areawide will likely lead to a very high grassland fire
danger for most of central, south-central, and southeast kansas.

Martin

Preliminary point temps pops
Wichita-kict 40 57 36 51 0 20 20 0
hutchinson 35 56 34 51 0 20 10 0
newton 39 55 33 49 0 20 20 0
eldorado 41 56 35 50 0 30 30 0
winfield-kwld 40 56 36 52 0 30 30 0
russell 31 54 31 50 0 20 0 0
great bend 32 55 33 50 0 20 0 0
salina 35 54 33 51 0 20 10 0
mcpherson 35 54 33 50 0 20 10 0
coffeyville 41 56 37 51 0 30 50 0
chanute 41 54 36 49 0 30 40 0
iola 41 54 36 48 0 30 40 0
parsons-kppf 41 55 37 50 0 30 40 0

Ict watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... Rm
long term... Rm
aviation... Ketcham
fire weather... Rm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Salina, Salina Municipal Airport, KS14 mi67 minS 710.00 miFair41°F36°F82%1012.9 hPa

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Last 24hrS8S5S10S7S5S7S6SE8SE4SE3SE6S3S9S8S9S9S8S7S7S7S7S4S7S8
1 day agoCalmS4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S3SE3S3SW6S6S8S11S11S10S7S8S7S9S7S6
2 days agoS8SE3S6CalmCalmCalmNW4CalmSW5CalmNW4NW4N5N5N6N8N7NW5N6N6N3NW3NW4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wichita, KS (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Topeka, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.