Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Oakbrook, KY
March 19, 2024 6:32 AM EDT (10:32 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:41 AM Sunset 7:51 PM Moonrise 1:30 PM Moonset 4:13 AM |
Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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FXUS61 KILN 190756 AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 356 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
Dry and breezy conditions are expected today ahead of a dry cold front. Behind the front, cold air will filter into the Ohio Valley late Wednesday into Thursday. The next chance of precipitation will arrive Friday as low pressure moves east through the Great Lakes.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
Mostly sunny skies can be expected across much of the middle Ohio Valley today in the dry, well-mixed environment ahead of a cold front. Nudged temperatures up a bit and dewpoints down (in the direction of the NBM 90th and 10th percentile, respectively) based on forecast soundings. Using momentum transfer, we could see winds gusting to 30-40 mph this afternoon, especially across the north where climatology favors higher gusts. Fire weather will be a concern due to the combination of low relative humidity, gusty winds, and dry fine fuels.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/
The front will quickly pass through the region tonight, shifting the winds toward the west/northwest late. Low temperatures will range from the lower 30s in the north to the upper 30s across the south.
High pressure building southeast from the Upper Midwest will start to bring colder air into the CWA on Wednesday, with temperatures holding in the upper 30s to lower 40s north of Interstate 70, while highs lift into the mid-upper 50s along and south of the Ohio River. Once again, low relative humidities along with gusty winds will raise fire weather concerns during the afternoon.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
For Wednesday night into Thursday, a mid level trough axis is forecast to shift into southeast Canada/New England. This will allow surface high pressure to settle across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. This will provide a period of dry weather, decreasing wind, and mostly clear skies. It will be colder, however. In the CAA pattern, lows will fall in the lower to mid 20s by Thursday morning.
Highs on Thursday will range from the upper 30s north to the mid 40s south.
The mid level flow begins to relax and becoming zonal Thursday night into Friday. This will allow for a couple of embedded disturbances to pass through the region. This will result in increasing clouds Thursday night followed by increasing chances of rain on Friday.
After lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s, highs will warm into the mid 40s north to the lower 50s south.
By Friday night, a cold front will pass through. The threat for rain early will then taper off from west to east. Lows will range from the lower 30s northwest to the upper 30s southeast.
We will dry out for the most part over the upcoming weekend as mid level flow begins to buckle, allowing for ridging to build northward into the Ohio Valley. Temperatures will eventually modify/warm into the second half of the weekend.
The mid level ridge axis is forecast to shift east on Monday as a large scale mid level trough pivots east into the Plains. Southerly flow and moisture well ahead of a cold front will bring increasing clouds and a threat for rain. Temperatures by then will begin to warm into the 50s and 60s.
AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Another quick-moving front will approach the Ohio Valley today and tonight. Southwesterly gradient will increase during the midday through late afternoon hours. Relatively dry low levels of the atmosphere will allow for efficient mixing and gusts reaching 30-35 knots at times.
Loss of heating after sunset will allow gusts to drop off rapidly, leaving around 10 knots of wind slowly shifting from southwest to northwest to close out the TAF period.
OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 356 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
Dry and breezy conditions are expected today ahead of a dry cold front. Behind the front, cold air will filter into the Ohio Valley late Wednesday into Thursday. The next chance of precipitation will arrive Friday as low pressure moves east through the Great Lakes.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
Mostly sunny skies can be expected across much of the middle Ohio Valley today in the dry, well-mixed environment ahead of a cold front. Nudged temperatures up a bit and dewpoints down (in the direction of the NBM 90th and 10th percentile, respectively) based on forecast soundings. Using momentum transfer, we could see winds gusting to 30-40 mph this afternoon, especially across the north where climatology favors higher gusts. Fire weather will be a concern due to the combination of low relative humidity, gusty winds, and dry fine fuels.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/
The front will quickly pass through the region tonight, shifting the winds toward the west/northwest late. Low temperatures will range from the lower 30s in the north to the upper 30s across the south.
High pressure building southeast from the Upper Midwest will start to bring colder air into the CWA on Wednesday, with temperatures holding in the upper 30s to lower 40s north of Interstate 70, while highs lift into the mid-upper 50s along and south of the Ohio River. Once again, low relative humidities along with gusty winds will raise fire weather concerns during the afternoon.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
For Wednesday night into Thursday, a mid level trough axis is forecast to shift into southeast Canada/New England. This will allow surface high pressure to settle across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. This will provide a period of dry weather, decreasing wind, and mostly clear skies. It will be colder, however. In the CAA pattern, lows will fall in the lower to mid 20s by Thursday morning.
Highs on Thursday will range from the upper 30s north to the mid 40s south.
The mid level flow begins to relax and becoming zonal Thursday night into Friday. This will allow for a couple of embedded disturbances to pass through the region. This will result in increasing clouds Thursday night followed by increasing chances of rain on Friday.
After lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s, highs will warm into the mid 40s north to the lower 50s south.
By Friday night, a cold front will pass through. The threat for rain early will then taper off from west to east. Lows will range from the lower 30s northwest to the upper 30s southeast.
We will dry out for the most part over the upcoming weekend as mid level flow begins to buckle, allowing for ridging to build northward into the Ohio Valley. Temperatures will eventually modify/warm into the second half of the weekend.
The mid level ridge axis is forecast to shift east on Monday as a large scale mid level trough pivots east into the Plains. Southerly flow and moisture well ahead of a cold front will bring increasing clouds and a threat for rain. Temperatures by then will begin to warm into the 50s and 60s.
AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Another quick-moving front will approach the Ohio Valley today and tonight. Southwesterly gradient will increase during the midday through late afternoon hours. Relatively dry low levels of the atmosphere will allow for efficient mixing and gusts reaching 30-35 knots at times.
Loss of heating after sunset will allow gusts to drop off rapidly, leaving around 10 knots of wind slowly shifting from southwest to northwest to close out the TAF period.
OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KCVG CINCINNATI/NORTHERN KENTUCKY INTL,KY | 9 sm | 40 min | SW 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 27°F | 19°F | 74% | 30.08 | |
KLUK CINCINNATI MUNI AIRPORT LUNKEN FIELD,OH | 20 sm | 39 min | SW 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 28°F | 19°F | 69% | 30.11 |
Wilmington, OH,
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