Wednesday, March22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oakbrook, KY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:35AMSunset 7:54PM Wednesday March 22, 2017 8:23 PM EDT (00:23 UTC) Moonrise 3:08AMMoonset 1:25PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oakbrook, KY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 38.93, -84.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kiln 222353
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
753 pm edt Wed mar 22 2017

Synopsis
High pressure over the great lakes will move southeast into the
mid atlantic states tonight. Southerly winds on the back side of
the high will bring a warming trend for the rest of the week. A
large low pressure system will move into the area over the
weekend.

Near term /until 6 am Thursday morning/
With dewpoints in the teens across a large portion of the area
expect temperatures to drop off quite a bit this evening and
into the overnight. Decreased temperatures by a few degrees to
account for this. Only expect some high clouds to move into the
region overnight. Dry conditions are expected with high
pressure.

Short term /6 am Thursday morning through Thursday night/
Low level flow will veer around to the southeast Thursday. A
weak warm front will lift north late Thursday into Thursday
evening which will bring winds around to the south with wind
speeds slowly increasing later Thursday night. 12z model suite
suggests that a few showers could occur near the warm front
across the northern counties. Further south, low levels will
likely be too dry. Low chance pops seems sufficient.

Temperature forecast is on the cooler side of guidance. Expect
lows Thursday night to be in the evening with rising
temperatures later in the night.

Long term /Friday through Wednesday/
Friday continues a strong warm push with the warm front lifted
north of area by Friday morning with the forecast area firmly in
the warm sector as the upper low cuts off and slowly progresses
through the central plains toward the area. With the tightening
gradient between the upper ridge off the SE coast and the
strengthening low, above normal temperatures for Friday with a
strong inversion over the region, but with good mixing allowing
for wind gusts up to 25 or even 30kts.

As the low winds its way into the western ohio valley, there are
some differences between the nam/gfs/gfs ensemble solution and
the ECMWF with most models creating a stacked and slow moving
upper low, whereas the ECMWF shows a more progressive and
northerly solution with the low, and brings in precipitation
sooner than other models. Have leaned more toward the
nam/gfs/blended solutions but sped up timing slightly allowing
for the potential for an earlier precipitation onset. While
instability not tremendous with this system, continued with
mention of thunder, along with efficient moisture transport
bringing the potential for locally heavy rain especially
Saturday night into early Sunday. The additional concern is a
continued GFS trend in increasing low level wind shear as the
stacked low approaches the region by 12z Sunday. Will have to
continue to monitor for potential severe threat Saturday night
into early Sunday.

As the low finally becomes more muted a more zonal pattern
dominates the region for Monday through Wednesday. After a
brief and weak area of high pressure transitions through the
region from Sunday night into early Monday, it will be followed
by a progressively moving shortwave to bring another round of
precipitation late Monday into the early Tuesday afternoon.

Weak high pressure begins to build in from the west, with the
region under NW flow aloft for Wednesday with some lingering
showers. Dry conditions for Wednesday night as the weak high
builds in.

Aviation /00z Thursday through Monday/
Vfr conditions are expected through the TAF period. There will
be an increase in high clouds overnight and mid clouds during
the day on Thursday. A few showers will be possible at kday at
the end of the TAF period associated with a warm front. Handled
this with a vcsh. Other shower activity should hold off at kcmh
and klck until after the end of the TAF period. Any shower
activity is expected to be light and no restrictions to
visibilities is expected.

Outlook... MVFR ceilings and visibilities likely Saturday
night into Sunday along with a chance of thunderstorms.

Iln watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... Freeze warning from 11 pm this evening to 10 am edt Thursday
for ohz077>079-081-088.

Ky... Freeze warning from 11 pm this evening to 10 am edt Thursday
for kyz089>100.

In... Freeze warning from 11 pm this evening to 10 am edt Thursday
for inz073>075-080.

Synopsis...

near term... Novak
short term...

long term... Jdr
aviation... Novak


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport, KY9 mi32 minENE 1110.00 miA Few Clouds38°F18°F44%1031.3 hPa
Cincinnati, Cincinnati Municipal Airport Lunken Field, OH20 mi31 minNE 910.00 miFair37°F21°F54%1032.4 hPa

Wind History from CVG (wind in knots)
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
Last 24hrN15N8NW10N14
G23
N13N16N15N10NE16
G21
NE14
G21
N13N13NE15NE14NE10NE12
G17
NE14N13
G19
NE14NE10
G18
E9
G21
NE12NE10E11
1 day agoNE7NE6N5N5CalmN3W3N5N9N9N9N8N7N12N9E643CalmN7N7N10N14N17
G21
2 days agoSE3CalmSE4SE3SE5SE5SE6S7S8S8SE9SE7NE13E8CalmS24
G30
SE10W3S8S13S7NE16SE9E5

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (20,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.