Saturday, April29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oakbrook, KY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 8:31PM Saturday April 29, 2017 7:26 AM EDT (11:26 UTC) Moonrise 8:34AMMoonset 11:16PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oakbrook, KY
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location: 38.93, -84.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 290908
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
508 am edt Sat apr 29 2017

Synopsis
Showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop today along a
slow moving warm front. Drier conditions are expected Sunday when
the warm front is forecast to be near lake erie. A strong cold
front accompanied by thunderstorms and gusty winds will push
through early Monday.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
Warm front situated near the ohio river is the focus for
thunderstorms development. Thunderstorms are resulting from
moisture transported on a 35 knot low level jet lifting over the
front in the presence of multiple mid level short waves. These
thunderstorms are forming in an environment containing little
to no surface based cape, while elevated CAPE is near 1000 j/kg.

Torrential rain and isolated damaging wind and large hail have
been occurring with the thunderstorms, which have been training
across the same locations. Radar estimates indicate over 2
inches of rain so far mainly near the ohio river.

Models suggest the front will be lifting north across the area
today. Expect thunderstorms to continue to develop, and
torrential downpours will persist with the airmass holding 1.6
inches of pwat. Will keep flash flood watch in effect through
11 am. Based on latest radar and model trends, have expanded
watch in area to include parts of central ohio including
columbus.

Thunderstorms have generally weakened below severe limits early
this morning. However, daytime heating may allow more severe
cells to develop later this morning and this afternoon as
instability rise with daytime heating.

Temperatures will vary notably with respect to frontal position.

Highs are expected to reach the mid 80s far south, the mid 70s
near i-70, and the mid 60s far north.

Short term /6 pm this evening through 6 pm Sunday/
Warm front will be north of the area near the great lakes
tonight through Sunday. Expect only a low chance for showers and
thunderstorms in this weather regime lacking deep moisture and
favorable forcing.

Southerly breezes in the warm sector will carry warmer
temperatures, with highs in the 80s forecast for all locations.

Long term /Sunday night through Friday/
Strong cold front extending from well stacked low pressure will
move in from the west late Sunday night through Monday morning.

A band of showers and thunderstorm will develop along the front
and move across the area by Monday afternoon. Strong southwest
winds will usher in cooler temperatures behind the cold front,
with gusts reaching 40 mph Monday afternoon. For Tuesday, high
pressure is forecast to bring dry weather, and gradually
subsiding winds.

The next low pressure system is forecast to track into the ohio
valley Wednesday and Thursday, producing the likelihood for
showers. Shower chances will linger Friday under an upper trough
following the surface low.

Expected conditions at the surface and aloft point to a cooling
trend. Near normal highs in the upper 60s Monday will slip to
the lower 60s by Friday under cold advection, clouds and precip.

Aviation /09z Saturday through Wednesday/
Slow moving front is the focus for thunderstorms that will
continue to affect TAF sites. MVFR ceilings are likely to form
with the thunderstorms during the first 12 hours of the forecast
as the front moves north of the ohio river. Improvement toVFR
is expected during the afternoon as the front lifts to northern
ohio carrying thunderstorms with it. Wind direction will vary
with frontal movement, with east winds becoming south by the end
of the forecast.

Outlook... MVFR ceilings and visibilities with thunderstorms are
possible Sunday night and Monday. Wind gusts to 35 kt possible
Sunday into Tuesday.

Iln watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... Flash flood watch until 11 am edt this morning for ohz042-
051>055-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.

Ky... Flash flood watch until 11 am edt this morning for kyz089>100.

In... Flash flood watch until 11 am edt this morning for inz050-058-
059-066-073>075-080.

Synopsis... Coniglio
near term... Coniglio
short term... Coniglio
long term... Coniglio
aviation... Coniglio


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport, KY9 mi34 minS 310.00 miOvercast63°F62°F97%1014.1 hPa
Cincinnati, Cincinnati Municipal Airport Lunken Field, OH20 mi33 minSSE 310.00 miLight Rain63°F63°F100%1015 hPa

Wind History from CVG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7SE10SE8SE115SE5SE7SE8SE9SE9E9SE6SE3SE11N28
G36
CalmE145SW9S7S10S12SW9
G18
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1 day agoS6S9SW6SW9SW15
G21
SW8
G27
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W14
G24
W13
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SW10
G18
W12W8W4W4S3W3W5W3NW4S3E3NE8E7
2 days agoS8S9SW9S11S10S16
G22
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S18
G23
S14
G25
S14S11S11S7S6SE7S8S10S9S7S12
G17
W15
G22
SE10S7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.