Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Merriam, KS
March 19, 2024 6:21 AM CDT (11:21 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:21 AM Sunset 7:31 PM Moonrise 1:12 PM Moonset 3:55 AM |
Area Discussion for - Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
  (hide/show)  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS63 KEAX 190715 AFDEAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 215 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Windy conditions this morning, followed by well-above normal afternoon temperatures in the middle 60s to lower 70s.
- Increasing chances of widespread moderate rainfall Sunday into Monday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 213 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Today: Temperatures early this morning were generally at or below freezing across the area, minus the immediate core of the KC Metro.
Look for temperatures to hold steady or gradually creep upward prior to sunrise as southwesterly winds increase and some mixing occurs.
This should generally minimize any hard freezing concerns for the western half of the CWA A spectacular spring day is appropriately timed for the official first calendar day of spring (the equinox occurs during the late evening). Southwest winds will peak by mid- morning, with some gusts upwards of 30-35 mph, before relaxing during the afternoon hours. H85 thermal axis noses into the area, with temperatures rapidly warming into the middle 60s to lower 70s.
Relative humidity values will fall into the 25-30 percent range, but fortunately the strong winds are offset, and with much weaker wind speeds, the overall fire weather conditions will be somewhat mitigated. Still, any fire occurring over cured fuels could be problematic.
By Wednesday, a weak cold front sags southward to the KS/OK and MO/AR border, with northeast winds becoming dominant. While the airmass immediately behind the frontal zone is not particularity cool, highs will be some 10-15 colder than today - closer to climatological normals.
Rain chances on Thursday have largely been removed as a paltry setup appears to take shape, with the focus splitting the CWA to the north and south. Instead we may need to wait until Friday for a quick-moving shortwave trough dropping ESE from the Black Hills increases a period of mid-level ascent and an associated cold front, generating an area of rain for most of the area. In reality, the best chance for meaningful rainfall should arrive Sunday/Monday as a highly-amplified longwave trough gradually emerges into the Plains.
While the details/timing of the system will need to be worked out, this is the type of system that could quite easily provide 1"+ of rainfall to the area.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR conditions expected through the period. Southerly winds will become gusty prior to or around sunrise, with speeds relaxing by early afternoon and veering to northwesterly.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...None.
KS...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 215 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Windy conditions this morning, followed by well-above normal afternoon temperatures in the middle 60s to lower 70s.
- Increasing chances of widespread moderate rainfall Sunday into Monday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 213 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Today: Temperatures early this morning were generally at or below freezing across the area, minus the immediate core of the KC Metro.
Look for temperatures to hold steady or gradually creep upward prior to sunrise as southwesterly winds increase and some mixing occurs.
This should generally minimize any hard freezing concerns for the western half of the CWA A spectacular spring day is appropriately timed for the official first calendar day of spring (the equinox occurs during the late evening). Southwest winds will peak by mid- morning, with some gusts upwards of 30-35 mph, before relaxing during the afternoon hours. H85 thermal axis noses into the area, with temperatures rapidly warming into the middle 60s to lower 70s.
Relative humidity values will fall into the 25-30 percent range, but fortunately the strong winds are offset, and with much weaker wind speeds, the overall fire weather conditions will be somewhat mitigated. Still, any fire occurring over cured fuels could be problematic.
By Wednesday, a weak cold front sags southward to the KS/OK and MO/AR border, with northeast winds becoming dominant. While the airmass immediately behind the frontal zone is not particularity cool, highs will be some 10-15 colder than today - closer to climatological normals.
Rain chances on Thursday have largely been removed as a paltry setup appears to take shape, with the focus splitting the CWA to the north and south. Instead we may need to wait until Friday for a quick-moving shortwave trough dropping ESE from the Black Hills increases a period of mid-level ascent and an associated cold front, generating an area of rain for most of the area. In reality, the best chance for meaningful rainfall should arrive Sunday/Monday as a highly-amplified longwave trough gradually emerges into the Plains.
While the details/timing of the system will need to be worked out, this is the type of system that could quite easily provide 1"+ of rainfall to the area.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR conditions expected through the period. Southerly winds will become gusty prior to or around sunrise, with speeds relaxing by early afternoon and veering to northwesterly.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...None.
KS...None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KOJC JOHNSON COUNTY EXECUTIVE,KS | 9 sm | 28 min | SW 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 36°F | 19°F | 51% | 30.01 | |
KMKC CHARLES B WHEELER DOWNTOWN,MO | 11 sm | 27 min | SW 14G24 | 10 sm | Clear | 41°F | 18°F | 38% | 29.99 | |
KIXD NEW CENTURY AIRCENTER,KS | 14 sm | 28 min | SSW 17G24 | 10 sm | Clear | 37°F | 18°F | 44% | 30.02 | |
KLXT LEE'S SUMMIT MUNI,MO | 18 sm | 28 min | SW 16 | 10 sm | Clear | 39°F | 18°F | 41% | 29.99 | |
KMCI KANSAS CITY INTL,MO | 22 sm | 28 min | SW 15G21 | 10 sm | Clear | 37°F | 19°F | 48% | 29.95 |
Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE