Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Prairie Village, KS
March 19, 2024 1:07 AM CDT (06:07 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:20 AM Sunset 7:31 PM Moonrise 1:11 PM Moonset 3:54 AM |
Area Discussion for - Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
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FXUS63 KEAX 190525 AFDEAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 1225 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Below freezing temperatures expected for overnight Monday into Tuesday
- Elevated fire weather concerns for Tuesday afternoon
DISCUSSION
Issued at 404 PM CDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Currently in the mid to upper levels, there is significant, positively-tilted troughing to the northeast of the region with decent jet support rounding the base. The trough axis extends through central MO just south of I-70. There is northwesterly flow over the region with the trough axis to the southeast of the area.
There is some minor shortwave ridging to the southwest of the region that has been and will continue to be flattened by the troughing to the northeast. A rex block pattern has set up over western CONUS with the high pressure center over the WA/OR border and a cut off low over AZ.
With persistent drier, colder air moving over the region with northwesterly winds expect skies to remain clear tonight and through tomorrow. Radiational cooling is expected to occur tonight as winds weaken and skies remain clear. This will aid in getting our low temperatures below freezing around midnight Tuesday. Temperatures are expected to reach below freezing a few hours past midnight however, they are expected to begin warming before max cooling due to warm air advection from southwesterly winds. This warm air advection in addition to some gusty winds could lead to elevated fire weather concerns late Tuesday morning to early afternoon. The warm air advection will happen ahead of a surface cold front associated with a mid level low over eastern Canada. Frontal passage is expected Tuesday afternoon to late evening and low temperatures Wednesday morning are expected to range from the low to mid 30s across the region. Cold air advection behind the front will lead to high temperatures for Wednesday being 10-15 degrees lower than Tuesday's across the area.
Chances for rain returns Thursday night into Friday for the northern part of the region as a fast-moving shortwave trough increases lift and leads to showers out ahead of it. The associated surface front is expected to pass over the area Friday afternoon which drop our temperatures again. Counties north of I-70 will see low temperatures below freezing while counties south of I-70 will range from the mid to high 30s. Rain chances return again on Friday and last through the middle of next week. On Sunday a mid level low moves in from the southwest. The winds over the region shift to south helping us become more unstable with warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico.
Several short waves will move through the area increasing rain chances through Tuesday.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR conditions expected through the period. Southerly winds will become gusty prior to or around sunrise, with speeds relaxing by early afternoon and veering to northwesterly.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...None.
KS...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 1225 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Below freezing temperatures expected for overnight Monday into Tuesday
- Elevated fire weather concerns for Tuesday afternoon
DISCUSSION
Issued at 404 PM CDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Currently in the mid to upper levels, there is significant, positively-tilted troughing to the northeast of the region with decent jet support rounding the base. The trough axis extends through central MO just south of I-70. There is northwesterly flow over the region with the trough axis to the southeast of the area.
There is some minor shortwave ridging to the southwest of the region that has been and will continue to be flattened by the troughing to the northeast. A rex block pattern has set up over western CONUS with the high pressure center over the WA/OR border and a cut off low over AZ.
With persistent drier, colder air moving over the region with northwesterly winds expect skies to remain clear tonight and through tomorrow. Radiational cooling is expected to occur tonight as winds weaken and skies remain clear. This will aid in getting our low temperatures below freezing around midnight Tuesday. Temperatures are expected to reach below freezing a few hours past midnight however, they are expected to begin warming before max cooling due to warm air advection from southwesterly winds. This warm air advection in addition to some gusty winds could lead to elevated fire weather concerns late Tuesday morning to early afternoon. The warm air advection will happen ahead of a surface cold front associated with a mid level low over eastern Canada. Frontal passage is expected Tuesday afternoon to late evening and low temperatures Wednesday morning are expected to range from the low to mid 30s across the region. Cold air advection behind the front will lead to high temperatures for Wednesday being 10-15 degrees lower than Tuesday's across the area.
Chances for rain returns Thursday night into Friday for the northern part of the region as a fast-moving shortwave trough increases lift and leads to showers out ahead of it. The associated surface front is expected to pass over the area Friday afternoon which drop our temperatures again. Counties north of I-70 will see low temperatures below freezing while counties south of I-70 will range from the mid to high 30s. Rain chances return again on Friday and last through the middle of next week. On Sunday a mid level low moves in from the southwest. The winds over the region shift to south helping us become more unstable with warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico.
Several short waves will move through the area increasing rain chances through Tuesday.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR conditions expected through the period. Southerly winds will become gusty prior to or around sunrise, with speeds relaxing by early afternoon and veering to northwesterly.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...None.
KS...None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KMKC CHARLES B WHEELER DOWNTOWN,MO | 9 sm | 13 min | SSW 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 34°F | 18°F | 51% | 30.15 | |
KOJC JOHNSON COUNTY EXECUTIVE,KS | 12 sm | 14 min | S 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 28°F | 16°F | 59% | 30.15 | |
KLXT LEE'S SUMMIT MUNI,MO | 14 sm | 14 min | SSW 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 32°F | 16°F | 51% | 30.15 | |
KIXD NEW CENTURY AIRCENTER,KS | 18 sm | 14 min | S 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 27°F | 18°F | 68% | 30.16 | |
KMCI KANSAS CITY INTL,MO | 21 sm | 14 min | S 10 | 10 sm | Clear | 25°F | 18°F | 74% | 30.12 |
Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO,
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