Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Yerington, NV
March 19, 2024 1:26 AM PDT (08:26 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:59 AM Sunset 7:09 PM Moonrise 1:53 PM Moonset 4:35 AM |
Area Discussion for - Reno, NV
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FXUS65 KREV 181923 AFDREV
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 1223 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
SYNOPSIS
Warm and mostly dry conditions through Thursday, before winter-like weather returns Friday and into the weekend. Afternoon breezes will increase mid-week, with stronger winds Friday-Saturday. Periods of mountain snow and valley rain can be expected Friday evening through Sunday. Additional storms are possible into next week.
DISCUSSION
* While March of 2024 hasn't been nearly as cold as March 2023, we have been generally running below normal up until this past weekend. In fact, our average high temp as of 3/17 is nearly identical to what was experienced in February 2024, where in terms of averages, March is typically 7 degrees warmer than February. Of course, this month isn't over yet, which is definitely skewing the data. Our first 70 degree day of the year for KRNO is forecast for Tuesday, while average first 70+ degree day is March 11 since 1990. Our recommendation: enjoy this warmth while you can! Changes are on the way this weekend.
* It'll mainly be dry, with very low (5-10%) chances for thunderstorms along and west of the Sierra crest Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons, per HRRR and DESI.
* As is typical around here, spring season is a roller coaster, and our "spring of deception" will come to an end Friday into the weekend. Afternoon breezes to increase Wednesday onward, with winds peaking Friday into Saturday as a cold front pushes through the region. At this point, ensemble guidance points toward this not being a major wind event for valley locations, with most gusts in the 30-40 mph range, but strong winds are showing up for Sierra ridgelines, where gusts of 80+ mph will be possible. This could affect backcountry and ski recreation.
* Snow (yup that word is back) will push into the northern Sierra and Tahoe Basin Friday evening, peaking in intensity late Friday night into early Saturday morning with the cold front. This front will drop snow levels down to around 5000-5500 feet by daybreak Saturday. Snow will spread south along the Sierra Saturday into Sunday as the upper trough settles over the area. Periods of light rain will spillover into western NV, though per blended guidance, odds to even reach 0.25" are generally under 20%. Over the weekend, instability under the low will bring a 15% chance for thunderstorms, along with pellet showers, to all areas.
* Keep in mind -- the rain and snow will come in waves and will not be continuous through the weekend. That being said, periods of travel difficulties in the Sierra are almost a guarantee.
Anticipated liquid totals may be just enough to push many of the Eastern Sierra Basins to "normal" SWE for the typical winter peak of April 1.
* The overall pattern remains active into the end of March, but ensemble clusters are a bit more split on the timing and phases for the various waves. At this point, no major storms are on the horizon, but it also doesn't look quiet. -Dawn
AVIATION
* Superb flying conditions the next several days with widespread VFR conditions and light winds surface and aloft. A few afternoon cumulus buildups Tuesday and Wednesday along and west of the Sierra crest, but very low (5-10%) chances for thunderstorms.
* Afternoon SW breezes return Wednesday, with stronger winds and periods of mountain snow and valley rain as we head into the weekend. -Dawn
REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories
NV...None.
CA...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 1223 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
SYNOPSIS
Warm and mostly dry conditions through Thursday, before winter-like weather returns Friday and into the weekend. Afternoon breezes will increase mid-week, with stronger winds Friday-Saturday. Periods of mountain snow and valley rain can be expected Friday evening through Sunday. Additional storms are possible into next week.
DISCUSSION
* While March of 2024 hasn't been nearly as cold as March 2023, we have been generally running below normal up until this past weekend. In fact, our average high temp as of 3/17 is nearly identical to what was experienced in February 2024, where in terms of averages, March is typically 7 degrees warmer than February. Of course, this month isn't over yet, which is definitely skewing the data. Our first 70 degree day of the year for KRNO is forecast for Tuesday, while average first 70+ degree day is March 11 since 1990. Our recommendation: enjoy this warmth while you can! Changes are on the way this weekend.
* It'll mainly be dry, with very low (5-10%) chances for thunderstorms along and west of the Sierra crest Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons, per HRRR and DESI.
* As is typical around here, spring season is a roller coaster, and our "spring of deception" will come to an end Friday into the weekend. Afternoon breezes to increase Wednesday onward, with winds peaking Friday into Saturday as a cold front pushes through the region. At this point, ensemble guidance points toward this not being a major wind event for valley locations, with most gusts in the 30-40 mph range, but strong winds are showing up for Sierra ridgelines, where gusts of 80+ mph will be possible. This could affect backcountry and ski recreation.
* Snow (yup that word is back) will push into the northern Sierra and Tahoe Basin Friday evening, peaking in intensity late Friday night into early Saturday morning with the cold front. This front will drop snow levels down to around 5000-5500 feet by daybreak Saturday. Snow will spread south along the Sierra Saturday into Sunday as the upper trough settles over the area. Periods of light rain will spillover into western NV, though per blended guidance, odds to even reach 0.25" are generally under 20%. Over the weekend, instability under the low will bring a 15% chance for thunderstorms, along with pellet showers, to all areas.
* Keep in mind -- the rain and snow will come in waves and will not be continuous through the weekend. That being said, periods of travel difficulties in the Sierra are almost a guarantee.
Anticipated liquid totals may be just enough to push many of the Eastern Sierra Basins to "normal" SWE for the typical winter peak of April 1.
* The overall pattern remains active into the end of March, but ensemble clusters are a bit more split on the timing and phases for the various waves. At this point, no major storms are on the horizon, but it also doesn't look quiet. -Dawn
AVIATION
* Superb flying conditions the next several days with widespread VFR conditions and light winds surface and aloft. A few afternoon cumulus buildups Tuesday and Wednesday along and west of the Sierra crest, but very low (5-10%) chances for thunderstorms.
* Afternoon SW breezes return Wednesday, with stronger winds and periods of mountain snow and valley rain as we head into the weekend. -Dawn
REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories
NV...None.
CA...None.
Airport Reports
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Reno, NV,
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