Brigantine, NJ Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Brigantine, NJ

June 4, 2024 9:59 PM EDT (01:59 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:29 AM   Sunset 8:22 PM
Moonrise 3:48 AM   Moonset 6:41 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ452 Coastal Waters From Little Egg Inlet To Great Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 737 Pm Edt Tue Jun 4 2024

Tonight - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 1 foot at 8 seconds. Areas of fog early this evening. Patchy fog late this evening, then areas of fog after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm, decreasing to 1 nm or less late this evening and overnight.

Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 1 foot at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 4 seconds and E 1 foot at 8 seconds. Showers with a chance of tstms. Areas of fog in the evening. Areas of fog after midnight. Vsby 1 nm or less.

Thu - SW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 5 ft at 7 seconds and E 1 foot at 8 seconds. Showers with a chance of tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.

Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 5 ft at 7 seconds and E 1 foot at 9 seconds. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the evening.

Fri - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 7 seconds and E 1 foot at 9 seconds.

Fri night - W winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

Sat - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Sat night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Sun - SW winds around 10 kt, increasing to around 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

Sun night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

ANZ400 737 Pm Edt Tue Jun 4 2024

Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - Surface high pressure remains in control through tonight. An area of low pressure approaches from the northwest on Wednesday with a warm front passing through Wednesday night. A cold front will follow crossing through the region on Thursday into Thursday night. Unsettled weather looks to persist into the weekend and early next week as several shortwaves pivot around the upper low over southern canada.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brigantine, NJ
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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 050010 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 810 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

SYNOPSIS
Surface high pressure remains in control through tonight. An area of low pressure approaches from the northwest on Wednesday with a warm front passing through Wednesday night. A cold front will follow crossing through the region on Thursday into Thursday night. Unsettled weather looks to persist into the weekend and early next week as several shortwaves pivot around the upper low over southern Canada.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
A relatively nice Tuesday is ending as high pressure centered near Nantucket is in control. A backdoor front is currently positioned near the Chesapeake Bay, but diurnally forced convection has dwindled and is not expected to redevelop through the rest of tonight.

Through tonight, low clouds and fog are expected to develop over the ocean and push ashore. Thinking the fog will mainly be confined to Delmarva and the NJ coastal plain, with just low stratus and patchy mist elsewhere. Temperatures will drop into the low to mid 60s.

Tomorrow begins a stretch of unsettled weather that will last into the weekend as an upper level low moves into the Great Lakes region where it will meander through about Saturday or so.
A warm front will be positioned just to our south and west, lifting north on Wednesday afternoon/evening. A subtle shortwave will move through tomorrow afternoon, with showers/thunderstorms moving in. With PWATs pushing 2 inches by late tomorrow, some heavy downpours are possible. Best chance to see thunderstorms/heavy rain will be over the Delmarva peninsula and southeastern PA. These locations will also have the most instability present, with the HRRR ensemble mean showing around 1000-1250 J/kg of SBCAPE available. Cannot rule out some possibility of severe weather with that much CAPE and effective shear around 25-30 kt. But, given that parameters are not overly impressive, the threat should not be widespread.
While heavy rain is likely tomorrow for some locations, the flash flooding threat is low as storm motion should be steady and training/backbuilding is not expected. The threat increases Wednesday night/Thursday though (see the next section for more detailed information). Temperatures will get into the upper 70s/low 80s tomorrow.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
The upper level ridge will remain over the area on Wednesday before flattening out by Wednesday night. At the same time, a deep upper trough will be accompanied by a nearly vertically stacked low pressure system which will be meandering around southern Canada and the northern Great Lakes during the period.
A subtle shortwave ejects east out ahead of the parent trough on Wednesday night into Thursday, which will result in a warm front lifting north across the area Wednesday night and a cold front passing through by Thursday night.

All this will result in at least a couple rounds of showers and thunderstorms during the Wednesday night and Thursday period.
The first round will be ongoing Wednesday evening and likely continues much of Wednesday night as the warm front lifts north. As the front does so, dew points will rise well into the 60s to near 70 degrees as PWATs will be up around 2.0 inches.
With plentiful moisture around Wednesday night and Thursday any showers or thunderstorm will be capable of resulting in heavy rainfall. Currently, WPC has the western half of our forecast area within a Marginal Risk (Level 1/4) of excessive rainfall for Wednesday night.

The second round is a bit more uncertain and comes down to the timing of the cold front. Latest guidance shows a distinct additional round of concentrated showers and storms with the frontal passage in the afternoon, so after dropping pops to chance in the morning, have them rise back to categorical in the afternoon. CSU-MLP guidance indicates there is a 5-14% chance of severe weather on Thursday, so will be monitoring this window going forward, although we are not currently outlooked by the Storm Prediction Center. Showers and thunderstorms will cease on Thursday night as the cold front moves offshore. In total, QPF values are forecast to generally be in the 0.5-1.0 inch range, but will be locally higher in any downpours or thunderstorms.

Highs will be in low/mid 80s on Thursday dependent on the amount of clearing. Wednesday night lows will be quite uncomfortable in the upper 60s to near 70 degrees. Thursday night lows will be cooler in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
The long term period is forecast to be generally unsettled through early next week. The aforementioned upper trough and low will meander across southern Canada and the northern Great Lakes through the weekend. As it does so, multiple shortwaves will round through the upper trough resulting in several rounds of showers and occasional thunderstorms through the weekend into next week. While no singular day appears to be a washout, there will be quite a bit of showers around, more likely north and west with drier conditions south and east. The highest probability of precipitation will be during the afternoon hours as diurnal heating allows instability to be maximized.

Temperatures during this period will remain quite seasonable for early June with a mix of 70s/80s during the day and 50s/60s at night.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight... VFR to start, then low clouds and fog arrive with a marine layer pushing inland. Thinking it will be mainly stratus across the I-95 and Lehigh Valley terminals, but ceilings will be in the IFR to LIFR range. Closer to the coast, some fog is expected which will reduce visibility down to IFR levels with IFR/LIFR CIGs at KACY/KMIV/KTTN. Winds out of the southeast around 5 kt or less. High confidence in restrictions occurring, moderate confidence in timing, low confidence in extent of restrictions.

Wednesday...Conditions should lift to VFR by midday. Any VFR conditions could be relatively short-lived with showers/isolated thunderstorms moving through. Winds remain out of the southeast around 5-10 kt. Low confidence.

Outlook...

Wednesday night through Thursday night...Sub-VFR conditions probable with showers and thunderstorms. Possible improvement in conditions by Thursday night.

Friday through Saturday...Primarily VFR expected with sub-VFR conditions possible. A chance of a shower or thunderstorm each afternoon.

MARINE
Sub-SCA conditions expected on the waters through Wednesday.
Seas will be around 2 feet with winds out of the east/southeast around 10-15 kt. Some fog is expected to develop along the waters tonight, which will reduce visibility. Fog could be locally dense and a Marine Dense Fog Advisory may be needed.
Would put the probability of widespread dense (visibility 1 mile or less) at around 40-50%.

Outlook...

Wednesday night through Thursday...No marine headlines expected, however winds may gust around 20+ kt on Wednesday night into Thursday. Seas around 3-4 feet. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms.

Thursday night through Saturday...No marine headlines expected.
Winds generally around 10-15 kt with seas of 2-4 feet. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm each afternoon.

Rip Currents...

A LOW risk for the development of rip currents is in place for Wednesday. Winds will be on onshore from the SSE, but only around 10-15 MPH with 1-2 foot waves and a medium period. This results in the LOW risk.

For Thursday, winds 10-15 mph parallel to the shore for NJ and offshore for DE beaches. With seas 2-3 feet, a medium period swell, and a new moon, the risk for rip current development is MODERATE for NJ and LOW for DE beaches.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

Rip currents occur often in the vicinities of jetties and piers.
Utilize any guarded beaches if venturing out into the water.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
With sustained onshore flow expected through at least Wednesday and the approaching New Moon on Thursday, there will likely be some tidal flooding for much of our coastal region. For today, tidal flooding looks to be confined to areas around the Delaware Bay and Delaware River as SE winds are funneled up the bay. As a result, a Coastal Flood Advisory has been maintained for areas surrounding the Delaware Bay for this evening's high tide cycle. Given latest guidance, did include Burlington/Bucks upriver in an advisory, but held Philadelphia/Camden/Gloucester/Delaware out for now.

For Wednesday and Thursday, the threat for widespread minor flooding looks to increase as winds strengthen then turn and become shore parallel on Thursday, potentially trapping water along the coast. Recommend to continue to monitor upcoming high tides and make adjustments to the forecast accordingly.

Overall, the threat for tidal flooding appears to be lower along the Chesapeake Bay than elsewhere in the region but by the early morning high tide Thursday, water levels may also approach spotty minor.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for PAZ060>062.
Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 4 AM EDT Wednesday for PAZ106.
NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for NJZ016.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for NJZ021- 023-024.
Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for NJZ001- 007>010-012-015.
Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 4 AM EDT Wednesday for NJZ019.
DE...Coastal Flood Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for DEZ001.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for DEZ002>004.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 12 mi59 min 66°F 66°F29.94
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 19 mi89 min E 5.1 68°F 30.0468°F
44091 37 mi63 min 67°F2 ft
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 48 mi59 min E 7G8.9 67°F 68°F29.98


Wind History for Cape May, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KACY ATLANTIC CITY INTL,NJ 22 sm65 minESE 063 smA Few Clouds66°F64°F94%29.99
Link to 5 minute data for KACY


Wind History from ACY
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Brigantine Channel @ Hoffman Thorofare, New Jersey
   
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Brigantine Channel @ Hoffman Thorofare
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Tue -- 01:10 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:10 AM EDT     3.84 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:08 PM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:34 PM EDT     4.83 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Brigantine Channel @ Hoffman Thorofare, New Jersey, Tide feet
12
am
0.4
1
am
-0.1
2
am
0.1
3
am
0.9
4
am
1.8
5
am
2.8
6
am
3.5
7
am
3.8
8
am
3.6
9
am
2.9
10
am
1.9
11
am
1
12
pm
0.2
1
pm
-0.1
2
pm
0.1
3
pm
0.9
4
pm
2.1
5
pm
3.2
6
pm
4.2
7
pm
4.7
8
pm
4.8
9
pm
4.2
10
pm
3.2
11
pm
2.1


Tide / Current for Absecon Channel, State Route 87 bridge, New Jersey
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Absecon Channel
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Tue -- 12:38 AM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:50 AM EDT     4.08 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:36 PM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:14 PM EDT     5.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Absecon Channel, State Route 87 bridge, New Jersey, Tide feet
12
am
0.1
1
am
-0
2
am
0.5
3
am
1.4
4
am
2.4
5
am
3.3
6
am
3.9
7
am
4.1
8
am
3.6
9
am
2.7
10
am
1.6
11
am
0.7
12
pm
-0
1
pm
-0.1
2
pm
0.5
3
pm
1.5
4
pm
2.7
5
pm
3.9
6
pm
4.7
7
pm
5.1
8
pm
4.9
9
pm
4.1
10
pm
2.9
11
pm
1.7


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Philadelphia, PA,




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