Sunrise 6:34 AM   Sunset 8:24 PM Moonrise 11:43 PM   Moonset 7:31 AM

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LEZ144 Expires:202404270215;;420974 Fzus51 Kcle 261942 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 342 pm edt Fri apr 26 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez142>144-270215- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- the islands to vermilion oh- 342 pm edt Fri apr 26 2024
Tonight - East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. A chance of showers from late evening on. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Saturday - South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Saturday night - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 2 feet or less. Sunday - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 53 degrees, off cleveland 49 degrees, and off erie 49 degrees.

LEZ100
No data

FXUS61 KILN 270834 AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 434 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

SYNOPSIS
A warm front will pivot north through the region offering a chance of a shower or thunderstorm mainly this morning. Warmer temperatures and generally dry conditions are expected for the remainder of the weekend. A chance for showers and storms will return Monday into Tuesday as a cold front approaches and moves through the region. After a brief dry period of weather at mid week, an active wet period of weather will develop later Wednesday through the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
Amplified mid level flow with negatively tilted shortwave lifting from the Upper MS Valley across the western Great Lakes today. H8 45-50 kt southerly jet to pivot thru the Great Lakes this morning offering some favorable forcing and low level moisture advection. This will offer the threat for isold/scattered showers and thunderstorms with the best coverage across west central Ohio early.

Warm front to pivot north early - placing the entire ILN forecast area in the warm sector. After the early morning activity any forcing will be very limited. Any isolated convective activity that does develop looks to be closer to the stronger mid level flow, across the far northwest.

Pressure gradient increases and with a well mixed boundary layer southerly winds will gust up to 30-35 mph.

In warm advection pattern temperatures to rise to highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/
Mid level ridge builds north into the southern Great Lakes for the end of the weekend. Can not rule out an isold shower or thunderstorm across the far northwest this evening - otherwise expect dry conditions overnight. Southerly winds stay up around 10 mph with mild lows generally in the lower 60s.

Firmly established in the warm sector Sunday - with a lack of forcing do not expect widespread pcpn. Temperatures to warm to highs generally in the lower 80s. These readings are 10 to 15 degrees above normal.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Mean H5 ridge axis begins to shift east of us Sunday night as a shortwave barrels through the Central Plains region. Another seasonably warm day expected on Monday underneath this ridge, but we will begin to observe an increase in clouds and eventually a notable increase in PoPs with the approaching shortwave. This shortwave feature and associated cold front will be fairly progressive as it swings through Monday night into the early part of Tuesday. This will limit the QPF footprint across our CWA, but 0.25" - 0.5" still plausible.

Temperatures slightly moderate on Tuesday, but highs are only a few degrees cooler given the weak cold frontal boundary. Some rain showers may linger into the early part of Tuesday before shifting eastward. By Wednesday, weak ridging will build back in over the Midwest, promoting drier conditions at the surface. However, warm and relatively humid conditions will be observed, which will continue into Thursday.

Model uncertainty grows as we near the end of the work week. There is some resemblance of a shortwave trough that will influence the weather pattern across the Ohio Valley. This will increases chances for precip, but will have to see how model guidance trends over the next few runs.

AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Amplified mid level flow with negatively tilted shortwave lifting from the Upper MS Valley across the western Great Lakes today. H8 45-50 kt southerly jet to pivot thru the Great Lakes this morning offering some favorable forcing and a period of low level wind shear. The best coverage of showers and thunderstorms to remain northwest of the TAF sites. Have handled this threat with a mention of VCSH at the northern TAF sites.

Warm front to pivot north into the Great Lakes with the TAF sites in the warm sector today. Mid level ceilings this morning will decrease in coverage as the warm front pivots north of the area. Additional shower or thunderstorm development is expected to remain north of the TAF sites today.

Southerly winds around 15 kts will gust up to 25 kts at times today and then up to 20 kts tonight.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms are possible at times on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

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