Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
West Peoria, IL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:32AMSunset 8:18PM Friday May 24, 2019 12:37 PM CDT (17:37 UTC) Moonrise 12:42AMMoonset 10:35AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Peoria, IL
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location: 40.7, -89.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Central Illinois, IL
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Fxus63 kilx 241553
afdilx
area forecast discussion
national weather service lincoln il
1053 am cdt Fri may 24 2019

Update
Issued at 1053 am cdt Fri may 24 2019
15z 10am surface analysis shows a warm front along the i-74
corridor. To the north of the front, cloud cover and easterly
winds have kept temperatures in the 60s. Meanwhile south of the
boundary, sunshine and southerly winds have already boosted
readings into the upper 70s and lower 80s. The front will lift
northward as the day progresses, with afternoon high temperatures
reaching the 80s across the entire kilx cwa. Current radar mosaic
continues to show clusters of thunderstorms from northeast
missouri to southern wisconsin. These cells are tracking
northeastward and will primarily impact locations northwest of the
illinois river through midday. Once this activity passes to the
north, a lull in precip chances will occur early this afternoon
before additional cells develop along an old outflow boundary by
late afternoon. Given a highly unstable and moderately sheared
environment, some of these storms could become severe across the
illinois river valley from late afternoon into the evening. Have
included high chance pops across this area accordingly... With dry
weather anticipated further E SE across the remainder of central
illinois.

Short term (today and tonight)
issued at 325 am cdt Fri may 24 2019
weak frontal boundary draped across central il this morning with
muggy air and dew points in the upper 50s and 60s in most
locations... Around 70 in southeastern il. That meandering warm
front should continue to surge northward today, as winds become
increasingly southwesterly by the afternoon. Showers and
thunderstorm chances will follow that boundary through the early
day. Series of disturbances moving through the region in deep
southwesterly flow aloft along and above a weak baroclinic zone
over the midsection of the country. Pops will remain through the
day for the mid mississippi river valley and into the overnight.

The higher QPF is off to the NW as central il is set up to be
mainly in the warm sector this afternoon. However, the storm
system convection is modeled to sag to the southeast and into
central il overnight tonight as the low lifts out over the plains
and into the upper midwest. Models have varied quite a bit in how
far to the south the stronger convection will get, given its
support is in that strong swrly band between the western trough
and the eastern ridging over the conus. But given a broad swath of
instability in a warm and muggy airmass... Much of central il is in
a marginal slight risk for the overnight hours. Much of the severe
threat is contingent on many mesoscale features to the NW and the
evolution of afternoon convection outside of central il. Not
enough confidence in a high QPF forecast for ilx CWA to join in
the flash flood watch to the NW that is deeper into a better set
up.

However, going into the weekend and a continued series of waves
bringing several rounds of showers and thunderstorms... That
decision may only be delayed.

Long term (Saturday through Thursday)
issued at 325 am cdt Fri may 24 2019
again..Active weather pattern continues, with a deep trough over
the western half of the country, and a persistent ridging from the
gulf coast up the eastern seaboard. A series of waves move out of
the SW into the region bringing periodic showers and
thunderstorms. Eventually, flash flood guidance will start to
shrink due to continued precip, and given the recent rains in
general, it won't take long. There is a lot of model variation
with the details as the differences in how the convection and
mesoscale features change... In particular the meandering
boundaries impacted by outflow and MCS remnants. Deep
southwesterly flow continues, and temperatures through the weekend
remain above normal, although there will likely be some hit or
miss MAX mins due to precip activity and cloud cover. With the
active pattern, the forecast through mid week is dominated by
precip. Best chances continue in two places... The weekend, as
the next low ejects out of the SW and drags a front through the
region. Next likely pops show up Tuesday night as both the ecmwf
and the GFS try to clear the western trough and pull a major storm
system across the country's midsection.

Aviation (for the 12z tafs through 12z Saturday morning)
issued at 630 am cdt Fri may 24 2019
earlier showers storms have cleared the TAF sites, andVFR
conditions are expected to prevail during this TAF period. Will
need to watch for some renewed development late this afternoon and
evening near the illinois river valley. At this point, will only
mention vcts at kpia, though a few of the high-res models suggest
isolated convection possible elsewhere in central illinois.

Ilx watches warnings advisories
None.

Update... Barnes
short term... Hjs
long term... Hjs
aviation... Geelhart


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Peoria - General Downing-Peoria International Airport, IL5 mi43 minSE 610.00 miFair75°F66°F74%1016.8 hPa

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Last 24hrW9NW9W9
G17
6W7W7NW4CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmNE3E5E5E6E4NE4N4E13E13--SE7SE6
1 day agoS15
G23
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W7W7W4W3W4NW6W76NW86
2 days agoE15
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G32
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G17
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S9SE9S10S11S11S13
G21
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G26

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Central Illinois, IL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Central Illinois, IL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.