Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
West Peoria, IL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 4:40PM Friday November 16, 2018 4:47 PM CST (22:47 UTC) Moonrise 2:38PMMoonset 12:42AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Peoria, IL
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location: 40.7, -89.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Central Illinois, IL
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Fxus63 kilx 162130
afdilx
area forecast discussion
national weather service lincoln il
330 pm cst Fri nov 16 2018

Short term (this evening through Saturday)
issued at 320 pm cst Fri nov 16 2018
stratocumulus clouds with MVFR bases of 1-2k ft were slowly
decreasing eastward over knox, fulton, schuyler and scott
counties in west central il and over clay and richland counties in
southeast il. Hi-res models show these low clouds decreasing over
western half of CWA and southeast il into early evening, but then
redeveloping with some fog late evening and overnight, especially
from the il river southeast. This is likely due to low level
moisture from snow melt trapped in an inversion and nocturnal
cooling of boundary layer creating the low stratus and fog with
winds being light tonight. Models show some light snow sleet
moving toward knox, stark and marshall counties late tonight from
approaching northern stream short wave in the northern plains.

While brunt of light snow accumulations will be north of cwa
overnight. Lows tonight in the upper 20s to around 30f.

A band of mixed light precipitation moves southward over central
il during Saturday as frontal boundary pushes southward across
central il. Initially a mix of light snow and sleet over northern
cwa early Sat morning, then getting light rain mixed in too
during late Sat morning into Sat afternoon, while heart of cwa
along i-72 and south mainly light rain chances. Highs Saturday in
the upper 30s north of i-72 and lower 40s south with mid 40s in
southeast il, where dry conditions continue through the day sat.

Long term (Saturday night through Friday)
issued at 320 pm cst Fri nov 16 2018
some frontogenetic forcing to likely enhance a band of light
precipitation over heart of CWA late Sat afternoon and Sat evening
and linger overnight Sat night. Mainly chance of light rain or
light rain snow mix northern area early Sat evening, then cooler
air gradually turns light rain or mixed pcpn to light snow toward
late Sat evening into overnight Sat night as cold front pushes
toward the ohio river. Except staying light rain along and south
of i-70, though far southeast il may remain dry Sat night. Lows
sat night range from mid 20s from peoria north to the mid 30s
southeast of i-70, with the freezing line just north of i-70.

12z models have shifted light precipitation chances further south
on Sunday and just have 20-30% chance along and south of a
rushville to bloomington line, and shifting into southeast il
Sunday afternoon and Sunday night. Precip type should mainly be
light snow in central il and light rain in southeast il on Sunday,
with mixed light pcpn chances in far southeast il Sunday night as
colder air arrives there by then. Highs Sunday range from mid 30s
over central il and around 40f in southeast il. Cold lows Sunday
night in the lower 20s in central il and upper 20s in southeast
il as canadian high pressure weakens and drifts SE toward the
area by Sunday evening.

Dry conditions still forecast from Monday through Thu night across
the area. An upper level trof over the great lakes and ohio river
valley Mon Tue to keep temps chilly while light pcpn chances
should be over the great lakes and east of il. A cold front to
slide SE over central il by Monday evening, keeping temps cool.

Highs Mon and Tue in the upper 30s and lower 40s, with mid 30s tue
over northern cwa. Lows Mon and Tue night in the low to mid 20s.

Upper level heights then rise Wed Thu with temps moderating
closer to normal levels. Highs Wed in the mid to upper 40s, and
upper 40s and lower 50s on Thu thanksgiving day and Friday. Upper
level trof moving into il next Friday to bring chance of rain
showers, though models differ with timing and intensity of this
upper level trof, with ECMWF stronger and slower with this
feature.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Saturday afternoon)
issued at 1155 am cst Fri nov 16 2018
MVFR broken to overcast stratocumulus clouds will lift toVFR and
scatter out from west to east from 21-24z. Though cmi will be
briefly scattered clouds but have ceilings around 2k ft return in
next hour. Hi-res models show low clouds and some fog developing
late this evening and overnight especially SE of the il river.

Have brought MVFR vsbys with fog and ceilings from stratus
arriving from 03-05z (late evening) with ceilings lowering to
700-1k ft Sat morning. Added vcsh at pia and bmi starting from
14-16z Sat while dry conditions prevail along i-72 thru 18z noon
sat. West winds ranging from 5-13 kts to veer SW during the
afternoon and weaken to around 5 kts by sunset. Light and variable
winds prevail tonight into Sat morning around 5 kts or less.

Ilx watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... 07
long term... 07
aviation... 07


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Peoria - General Downing-Peoria International Airport, IL5 mi54 minW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy40°F33°F77%1019.3 hPa

Wind History from PIA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5SW9SW6S7SW9S9S9S10S9SW7SW5SW4SW3W6NW10
G18
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G15
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1 day agoE5NE5E6E6E7E6E5E8NE7E7E6E4N35N4NE3NE5CalmW3NW5NW3CalmW5SW4
2 days agoW5NW5NW4NW3NW3NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4E4E4NE8E6
G14
E6E5E6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Central Illinois, IL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Central Illinois, IL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.