Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Moorefield, NE
April 29, 2024 4:34 AM CDT (09:34 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:40 AM Sunset 8:39 PM Moonrise 12:54 AM Moonset 9:36 AM |
Area Discussion for - North Platte, NE
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FXUS63 KLBF 290903 AFDLBF
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 403 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Seasonal to near seasonal temperatures this week.
- Precipitation chances start Tuesday and last into the weekend, with the best chances appearing to be Wednesday night into Thursday.
- Marginal risks for severe weather exist Tuesday and Wednesday, though uncertainty remains in timing and scope.
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 358 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Upper air analysis and satellite imagery show a upper level trough across the Central Plains, with the upper level low over eastern South Dakota. West of the upper level trough, a low amplitude ridge is observed, with another shortwave trough off the Pacific Northwest. At the surface, a low pressure system is located in southwest Minnesota. High pressure is noted over western Nebraska and the Dakotas, with a stationary front on the leeward side of the Rockies.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Issued at 358 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
The low amplitude ridge will begin to track over western Nebraska this morning, bringing a temporary break from rain chances. A generally pleasant day is expected, with widespread temperatures in the 70s across the region, with areas in northern and north central Nebraska in the upper 60s.
The upper level pattern becomes fairly active as the ridge moves out of the area. By Tuesday, an upper level trough begins to trek across across Wyoming, with a surface low pressure system generating off the lee of the Rockies. A surge of low level Gulf moisture advects into Nebraska, though the better moisture advection appears to be to the eastern portion of the state at this time. A cold front associated with the low pressure system will provide the catalyst for showers and thunderstorms across the region Tuesday afternoon.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Marginal risk for severe weather across portions of north central Nebraska for the storms on Tuesday, however, at this time the greater severe weather threat appears to be to the east of the North Platte CWA Some question still remains on timing for convective initiation and convective mode, but will be worth keeping a close eye on for the short term.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Issued at 358 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Wednesday, another shortwave trough builds over Wyoming, bringing an area of positive vorticity advection aloft. Another surface system develops, bringing another shot of precipitation across the region Wednesday night into Thursday. This system seems to be the next best chance for precipitation, and in fact, ensemble guidance remains in strong agreement on most of the area receiving measureable precipitation (90-100% chances). Questions remain on the exact amounts. While measurable precipitation looks almost certain, the 3 major ensembles (Canadian, ECMWF, and GEFS) show a 20-40% chance of amounts exceeding one half inch. However, there is still a chance of thunderstorms, which may lead to some locally heavier amounts. Also worth watching will be the severe weather potential on Wednesday.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued another Marginal risk for severe weather across southwest and south central Nebraska, but the better chances for severe weather appears to remain to the southeast, particularly over Kansas.
Beyond Thursday, the upper level flow takes on a zonal nature with embedded shortwaves. Ensembles continue to show a variety of ranges in precipitation chances, though all 3 major ensembles keep precipitation chances around through the weekend into early next week. As timing of these systems is refined, should have a better handle on precipitation chances late week into the weekend.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 1247 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Outside of localized MVFR conditions in vicinity of light rain across northern Nebraska, VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.
Light rain at VTN will persist few a few hours before waning as skies gradually clear through sunrise. Midday cumulus development is possible but should safely remain in VFR criteria. After some modest gusts during the daytime, winds will decrease late in the period with speeds expected to fall below 10 knots.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 403 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Seasonal to near seasonal temperatures this week.
- Precipitation chances start Tuesday and last into the weekend, with the best chances appearing to be Wednesday night into Thursday.
- Marginal risks for severe weather exist Tuesday and Wednesday, though uncertainty remains in timing and scope.
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 358 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Upper air analysis and satellite imagery show a upper level trough across the Central Plains, with the upper level low over eastern South Dakota. West of the upper level trough, a low amplitude ridge is observed, with another shortwave trough off the Pacific Northwest. At the surface, a low pressure system is located in southwest Minnesota. High pressure is noted over western Nebraska and the Dakotas, with a stationary front on the leeward side of the Rockies.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Issued at 358 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
The low amplitude ridge will begin to track over western Nebraska this morning, bringing a temporary break from rain chances. A generally pleasant day is expected, with widespread temperatures in the 70s across the region, with areas in northern and north central Nebraska in the upper 60s.
The upper level pattern becomes fairly active as the ridge moves out of the area. By Tuesday, an upper level trough begins to trek across across Wyoming, with a surface low pressure system generating off the lee of the Rockies. A surge of low level Gulf moisture advects into Nebraska, though the better moisture advection appears to be to the eastern portion of the state at this time. A cold front associated with the low pressure system will provide the catalyst for showers and thunderstorms across the region Tuesday afternoon.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Marginal risk for severe weather across portions of north central Nebraska for the storms on Tuesday, however, at this time the greater severe weather threat appears to be to the east of the North Platte CWA Some question still remains on timing for convective initiation and convective mode, but will be worth keeping a close eye on for the short term.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Issued at 358 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Wednesday, another shortwave trough builds over Wyoming, bringing an area of positive vorticity advection aloft. Another surface system develops, bringing another shot of precipitation across the region Wednesday night into Thursday. This system seems to be the next best chance for precipitation, and in fact, ensemble guidance remains in strong agreement on most of the area receiving measureable precipitation (90-100% chances). Questions remain on the exact amounts. While measurable precipitation looks almost certain, the 3 major ensembles (Canadian, ECMWF, and GEFS) show a 20-40% chance of amounts exceeding one half inch. However, there is still a chance of thunderstorms, which may lead to some locally heavier amounts. Also worth watching will be the severe weather potential on Wednesday.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued another Marginal risk for severe weather across southwest and south central Nebraska, but the better chances for severe weather appears to remain to the southeast, particularly over Kansas.
Beyond Thursday, the upper level flow takes on a zonal nature with embedded shortwaves. Ensembles continue to show a variety of ranges in precipitation chances, though all 3 major ensembles keep precipitation chances around through the weekend into early next week. As timing of these systems is refined, should have a better handle on precipitation chances late week into the weekend.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 1247 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Outside of localized MVFR conditions in vicinity of light rain across northern Nebraska, VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.
Light rain at VTN will persist few a few hours before waning as skies gradually clear through sunrise. Midday cumulus development is possible but should safely remain in VFR criteria. After some modest gusts during the daytime, winds will decrease late in the period with speeds expected to fall below 10 knots.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
North Platte, NE,
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