Tuesday, June25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Curtice, OH

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:59AMSunset 9:14PM Tuesday June 25, 2019 1:35 PM EDT (17:35 UTC) Moonrise 12:50AMMoonset 12:48PM Illumination 43% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ142 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- 958 Am Edt Tue Jun 25 2019
This afternoon..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday night..West winds 10 knots or less. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday. The water temperature off toledo is 69 degrees, off cleveland 65 degrees and off erie 63 degrees.
LEZ142 Expires:201906252015;;055161 FZUS51 KCLE 251358 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 958 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>145-252015-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Curtice, OH
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location: 41.68, -83.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 251724
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
124 pm edt Tue jun 25 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will build in across the ohio valley today into
Wednesday. A weak cold front will sink southward across the
area late Wednesday and remain in the vicinity nearly stationary
through the weekend with off and on unsettled weather.

Near term through Wednesday
Pushed temperatures a little warmer into the 80s across NW ohio
and in the toledo area. Other than that, partly cloudy
conditions with seasonable temperatures will continue for
today.

Previous discussion...

a mid level trough is lifting out of the region this morning and
we have a weak surface high pressure system moving in across the
ohio river valley today. Temperatures will be seasonable and on
target today for a typical late june day. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph will continue through today into this evening thanks to
the center of the high pressure located south of the region.

Quiet and uneventful weather is expected tonight as well. The
next system and weather maker to watch will arrive late
tomorrow afternoon into the evening. A weak front will sag
southward from the upper great lakes region. MLCAPE values may
reach up to 2000 j kg ahead of the boundary with about 30 or 35
knots of 0-6km bulk shear. High-res model guidance indicate
widely scattered convection or a broken band of convection will
develop along and ahead of the frontal boundary late tomorrow
afternoon. A strong storm or two is possible with isolated
damaging wind gusts as the main threat and small hail. SPC has
the area highlighted in a day 2 outlook for a marginal risk.

Short term Wednesday night through Friday night
Whatever convection remains on Wednesday evening will shift south
with time before ending shortly after sunset. Expecting mainly just
a few scattered thunderstorms south of a line from mansfield to
youngstown. Next ripple of energy moving through the west northwest
flow aloft may cause a few thunderstorms to develop as early as
Thursday afternoon. Added a chance of thunderstorms, mainly to
northwest ohio and areas that may be closer to a lake breeze. Will
continue with just a slight chance of thunderstorms across northern
areas on Thursday night before a more substantial shortwave brings
better forcing on Friday afternoon with a chance of thunderstorms
for most of the area.

More typical summer like temperatures expected to continue in the
short term with highs in the 80s and possibly nearing 90 in some
locations on Friday. Raised min temperatures a couple degrees as
dewpoints creep up as well.

Long term Saturday through Monday
An upper trough will swing across the eastern great lakes later
Saturday leading to a more amplified upper air pattern with a ridge
over the plains and a trough over new england. Expecting to see
scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of the cold front,
especially across eastern areas on Saturday afternoon evening. By
Sunday, low chance pops have been confined to just the southern
counties and this may be overdone as a more stable airmass arrives
behind the front. Eastern areas will be 5-7 degrees cooler on Sunday
and Monday with temperatures in the upper 70s east and mid 80s west.

Lows will be seasonal behind the front in the upper 50s to lower
60s.

Aviation 18z Tuesday through Saturday
Vfr conditions expected through most of the TAF period. Diurnal
cumulus has developed over the airspace and but coverage remains
few to scattered over the region. West winds will persist during
the day with good mixing, allowing for gusts to 20 to 25 knots.

Cloud cover and wind gusts should diminish with the loss of
daytime heating and will have clear skies and light west to
southwest winds for overnight.

A weak front will cross the area on Wednesday and bring
increasing cloudiness into the region. There is a chance for
showers and thunderstorms, but chances are very low so will omit
from the tafs.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible Thursday through Saturday with
showers and thunderstorms.

Marine
Have issued a beach hazards statement for the beaches of erie
county, pennsylvania. Wave reports at walnut creek marina were
already at 4 ft this morning with sub-small craft advisory
winds. Expecting winds to increase today and in turn, waves will
be 4 to 5 ft on the shore, prompting the beach hazards issuance.

Will run the statement through 6 pm with the small craft
advisory.

Previous discussion...

low pressure will pass north of the great lakes today and Wednesday.

Southwest winds of 10-20 knots expected today on the lake becoming
westerly at times. This will lead to waves building on the eastern
third of the lake to 3 to 5 feet, mostly in the offshore waters. Did
issue a small craft advisory for the pennsylvania waters and areas
off lake ashtabula will be near small craft conditions and possibly
need to be added if conditions worsen. Did not issue a high swimming
risk for now given the more southwesterly wind direction and
offshore flow today. Kept areas from lake to erie county pa under a
moderate swimming risk but this may also have to be updated based on
conditions and observations.

Winds on the lake will decrease Wednesday night and Thursday as a
ridge expands into the ohio valley. A warm front will lift north
across the lake on Friday followed by a cold front Saturday night
into Sunday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... Beach hazards statement until 6 pm edt this evening for paz001.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for lez149.

Synopsis... Griffin
near term... Griffin sefcovic
short term... Kec
long term... Kec
aviation... Sefcovic
marine... Kec sefcovic


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TWCO1 3 mi15 min W 16 G 21 1007.4 hPa
45165 3 mi25 min WNW 14 G 19 75°F 69°F1 ft57°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 8 mi47 min W 12 G 20 78°F 1013.4 hPa55°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 12 mi35 min WSW 13 G 14 74°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 26 mi35 min W 14 G 16 73°F 1013.2 hPa (+1.6)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 33 mi47 min W 11 G 20 77°F 70°F1013.1 hPa55°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 45 mi35 min W 15 G 24 78°F 1012.5 hPa (+1.3)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 48 mi50 min WSW 4.1 80°F 1014 hPa57°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 49 mi25 min WSW 12 G 14 71°F 66°F1013.6 hPa62°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH12 mi42 minW 14 G 1910.00 miFair80°F59°F49%1013.4 hPa
Lambertville, Toledo Suburban Airport, MI18 mi80 minWSW 13 G 2110.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F57°F50%1012.9 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI19 mi40 minW 13 G 2110.00 miPartly Cloudy80°F59°F48%1012.9 hPa

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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1 day agoS5E10SE7SE11S9S10SE7E9E8E6E5E6E3SE6S4S7S7S9S9SW11SW13SW14S12
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G26
2 days agoE7
G17
E11E8E9NE5E9E7E3E3E6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmE6SE6SE7E7S5SE5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.