Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Michigan City, IN
March 18, 2024 11:33 PM CDT (04:33 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:51 AM Sunset 6:59 PM Moonrise 12:25 PM Moonset 3:50 AM |
LMZ046 Michigan City In To New Buffalo Mi- 956 Pm Edt Mon Mar 18 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Tuesday evening - .
Overnight - West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Tuesday - Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Gusts up to 30 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 6 feet, then subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
Tuesday night - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Wednesday - Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 7 feet.
the water temperature at st. Joseph is 44 degrees and at michigan city is 42 degrees.
the water temperature at st. Joseph is 44 degrees and at michigan city is 42 degrees.
LMZ005
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Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
  (hide/show)  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS63 KIWX 182326 AFDIWX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 726 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Scattered lake effect snow showers and flurries persist this afternoon and evening before coming to an end overnight.
- Several hard freezes likely this week, especially on Wednesday night. Lows Wednesday night will be in the upper teens to low 20s.
- Next chance for rain late Thursday night into Friday ahead of a cold front. Dry and seasonable weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 254 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
A post-frontal trough is moving through the area today, with scattered off and on lake effect snow showers continuing throughout the evening. Slick spots are possible on roads, especially overpasses and bridges. Visibilities have pulsed up and down at many ASOS sites today, with visibilities as low as a quarter of a mile possible in any heavier bursts of snow. As lake effect snow continues into the evening, I would expect Benton Harbor, Cassopolis, Three Rivers [MI], South Bend, and Elkhart [IN] to have the greatest chances at seeing these potential impacts.
Accumulations in the next few hours should be a tenth or two at most as most locations have temperatures above freezing this afternoon.
All lake effect snow showers will diminish and come to an end around 00Z. Overnight, clouds will decrease and allow for temperatures to drop into the mid to upper 20s for lows.
Tonight will be the first of several hard freezes across the Midwest and Great Lakes region as high pressure settles in. On Wednesday, a hard freeze is certain as lows drop down to the upper teens to low 20s. Thursday night through Saturday night, the counties with the best chances for several hard freezes in a row will be southern Lower Michigan and far northern Indiana (mainly along and north of I- 80/I-90). Flowers and fruit trees have started to bloom this week as a result of recent early spring warmth. Be sure to cover up or bring any sensitive vegetation indoors, if possible, as it may be susceptible to the cold nights ahead.
Cold air advection continues midweek as winds remain out of the north/northwest. A brief warmup is possible Tuesday as a warm front lifts north, but temperatures only make it to the upper 40s to low 50s for highs. There will be intermittent sun and clouds around, as dry conditions prevail through at least Thursday. Temperatures will be near normal for this time of year Wednesday and Thursday in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Low to moderate chances (20-50%) for rain chances Thursday night and into Friday ahead of a cold front. Long range model guidance, especially the GFS, has started to trend colder for the weekend. The weekend looks to be dry. Will stick with the NBM blend for now regarding temperatures over the weekend, which has with highs in the low to mid 40s. Mild on Monday with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s with chances for rain/storms.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 723 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Radar and satellite indicate lake effect snow showers will taper off in the next hour or so, followed by improving sky conditions. Breaks are already noted on satellite and an increasing number of observing stations are reporting VFR ceilings. Wind will remain somewhat elevated overnight but really increase toward 12z Tuesday. This, as a low drops out of Canada and streaks through the Great Lakes. Precipitation from this feature passes well north of the terminals.
IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT Tuesday for LMZ043-046.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 726 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Scattered lake effect snow showers and flurries persist this afternoon and evening before coming to an end overnight.
- Several hard freezes likely this week, especially on Wednesday night. Lows Wednesday night will be in the upper teens to low 20s.
- Next chance for rain late Thursday night into Friday ahead of a cold front. Dry and seasonable weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 254 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
A post-frontal trough is moving through the area today, with scattered off and on lake effect snow showers continuing throughout the evening. Slick spots are possible on roads, especially overpasses and bridges. Visibilities have pulsed up and down at many ASOS sites today, with visibilities as low as a quarter of a mile possible in any heavier bursts of snow. As lake effect snow continues into the evening, I would expect Benton Harbor, Cassopolis, Three Rivers [MI], South Bend, and Elkhart [IN] to have the greatest chances at seeing these potential impacts.
Accumulations in the next few hours should be a tenth or two at most as most locations have temperatures above freezing this afternoon.
All lake effect snow showers will diminish and come to an end around 00Z. Overnight, clouds will decrease and allow for temperatures to drop into the mid to upper 20s for lows.
Tonight will be the first of several hard freezes across the Midwest and Great Lakes region as high pressure settles in. On Wednesday, a hard freeze is certain as lows drop down to the upper teens to low 20s. Thursday night through Saturday night, the counties with the best chances for several hard freezes in a row will be southern Lower Michigan and far northern Indiana (mainly along and north of I- 80/I-90). Flowers and fruit trees have started to bloom this week as a result of recent early spring warmth. Be sure to cover up or bring any sensitive vegetation indoors, if possible, as it may be susceptible to the cold nights ahead.
Cold air advection continues midweek as winds remain out of the north/northwest. A brief warmup is possible Tuesday as a warm front lifts north, but temperatures only make it to the upper 40s to low 50s for highs. There will be intermittent sun and clouds around, as dry conditions prevail through at least Thursday. Temperatures will be near normal for this time of year Wednesday and Thursday in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Low to moderate chances (20-50%) for rain chances Thursday night and into Friday ahead of a cold front. Long range model guidance, especially the GFS, has started to trend colder for the weekend. The weekend looks to be dry. Will stick with the NBM blend for now regarding temperatures over the weekend, which has with highs in the low to mid 40s. Mild on Monday with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s with chances for rain/storms.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 723 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Radar and satellite indicate lake effect snow showers will taper off in the next hour or so, followed by improving sky conditions. Breaks are already noted on satellite and an increasing number of observing stations are reporting VFR ceilings. Wind will remain somewhat elevated overnight but really increase toward 12z Tuesday. This, as a low drops out of Canada and streaks through the Great Lakes. Precipitation from this feature passes well north of the terminals.
IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT Tuesday for LMZ043-046.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN | 1 mi | 33 min | SSW 13G | 32°F | 30.07 | 18°F | ||
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN | 15 mi | 53 min | SW 6G | 32°F | 30.08 | |||
CMTI2 - 9087044 - Calumet, IL | 34 mi | 45 min | N 14G | 31°F | 30.03 | 18°F | ||
CHII2 - Chicago, IL | 39 mi | 33 min | WSW 19G | 34°F | 17°F | |||
CNII2 | 39 mi | 18 min | W 8G | 32°F | 16°F | |||
OKSI2 | 41 mi | 93 min | W 6G | 35°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KMGC MICHIGAN CITY MUNIPHILLIPS FIELD,IN | 4 sm | 18 min | no data | 10 sm | Clear | 28°F | 19°F | 69% | 30.06 | |
KPPO LA PORTE MUNI,IN | 13 sm | 18 min | WSW 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 27°F | 18°F | 68% | 30.06 | |
KVPZ PORTER COUNTY RGNL,IN | 20 sm | 37 min | WSW 10 | 10 sm | Clear | 28°F | 18°F | 64% | 30.07 |
Northern Indiana, IN,
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