Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairport Harbor, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 7:46PM Sunday March 26, 2017 1:31 AM EDT (05:31 UTC) Moonrise 5:38AMMoonset 5:16PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ147 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 338 Pm Edt Sat Mar 25 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday morning...
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 20 knots becoming east. A chance of rain showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
Sunday..East winds 10 to 20 knots becoming southeast. Showers becoming likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..South winds 10 to 20 knots becoming southwest 5 to 15 knots. Showers likely in the evening. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers in the morning. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday. The water temperature off toledo is 36 degrees...off cleveland 37 degrees and off erie 35 degrees.
LEZ147 Expires:201703260230;;069688 FZUS51 KCLE 251938 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 338 PM EDT SAT MAR 25 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ143>149-260230-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairport Harbor, OH
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location: 41.83, -81.28     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 260202
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
1002 pm edt Sat mar 25 2017

Synopsis
A stalled frontal boundary located just south of lake erie will lift
north as a warm front on Sunday ahead of low pressure approaching
the central great lakes. The low will slowly move northeast into
canada on Monday. Another area of low pressure will track out of the
plains through the ohio valley on Tuesday pulling the cold front
back south across the area behind it.

Near term /until 6 am Sunday morning/
Have gone ahead and lowered temps north of the surface front.

Temps near the lake have fallen to close to the surface water
temperatures. Inland have also made minor adjustments to temps
based on current readings. Starting to see some precip to the
west. This activity could cross the i-75 corridor later tonight
so have left precip chances alone.

Previous... Northeasterly flow on lake erie will increase this
evening as the gradient increases ahead of low pressure moving
north from missouri. The stronger flow off lake erie is expected
to push the front and cooler air southward across northwest
ohio while remaining fairly stationary to the east. Most of
northwest ohio will bottom out around 40 degrees tonight while
southerly flow a few counties to the southeast will maintain
mild conditions with lows only dropping into the upper 50s.

Satellite imagery shows numerous breaks in the clouds late this
afternoon which is a good indicator of the relatively dry low level
air in place. A dry night is expected for most areas with the ridge
aloft and an overall lack of forcing. We do bring a chance of
showers into western areas late tonight as the upper level closed
low to the west curls northeast towards the area.

Short term /6 am Sunday morning through Tuesday night/
Plume of deeper moisture will lift northeast across the area on
Sunday ahead of the closed upper low curling towards michigan. This
will bring showers with scattered thunderstorms to northwest ohio
during the morning, expanding eastward during the afternoon. Surface
warm front will lift back north with all areas warming into the 60s.

By late Sunday into Sunday evening, the mean flow is expected to set
up parallel to the storm motion across eastern ohio and NW pa which
could result in some heavier areas of rain. More likely that
this will set up south of our area across eastern ohio but
locations from canton to meadville could see a half inch to an
inch of rain on Sunday evening.

A break in the rain is expected late Sunday night into Monday as
the low lifts northeast into canada, taking the deeper moisture
with it. Some degree of weak ridging expected aloft until
another area of low pressure moving out of the plains slides
east across the ohio valley. Monday will be mild again with
temperatures starting to fall late Tuesday as this system
departs to the east and northerly flow increases. Another round
of showers possible Monday night and Tuesday.

Long term /Wednesday through Saturday/
High pressure building SE from canada should bring dry but cool
conditions for wed... Especially near lake erie where onshore winds
off of the lake look likely.

Things should change for Thu thru Sat as a slow moving upper trough
over tx makes its usual springtime track toward ohio. Increasing
chances for shra look in order for Thu into Thu night with Fri also
looking wet. Sat more in question as model differences bring into
question whether the rain threat will be able to move off to the
east or not.

Temps look to generally be near normal.

Aviation /00z Sunday through Thursday/
Vfr conditions continue across most locations this evening. Some
MVFR and ifr will mix in later this evening into tonight as a
warm front lifts back north of the area. A few showers are
possible overnight near ktol and kfdy. Other locations should
stay dry, though can't rule out some drizzle. Could see some fog
develop tonight as well, but confidence is not high enough to
include in the tafs for now. Showers and a few thunderstorms
will develop after 18-21z Sunday most areas. Likely won't reach
keri until after 00z. Expect ifr and possibly lifr conditions
under the heavier showers and storms.

Outlook... Areas of non-vfr much of the time late Sunday into tue
then again by thu.

Marine
Ne winds expected to produce marginal SCA conditions until sun
morning before the flow veers to se. A downslope flow for sun
evening could be near SCA levels along the NW pa shoreline but then
winds settle down some by daybreak Mon and turn sw.

A cold front will drop SE into lake erie by early Mon night then a
wave of low pressure will move along the front and in its wake will
create north winds that look to run about 10 to 20 knots Tue night
thru Wed that turn NE for thu.

Cle watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 am edt Sunday for lez143>149.

Synopsis... Kec
near term... Kec/kubina
short term... Kec
long term... Adams
aviation... Mottice
marine... Adams


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 5 mi44 min ENE 12 G 14 39°F 1020.5 hPa37°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 16 mi72 min E 21 G 24 37°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 27 mi44 min NE 8.9 G 11 39°F 1019.4 hPa
45169 32 mi32 min ESE 18 G 21 37°F 36°F7 ft35°F
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 40 mi32 min ENE 18 G 22 1021.7 hPa (-1.7)

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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NE4
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NE27
NE17
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S14
G18
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G28
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G31
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SW9
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S3
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G8
N2
N8
NE14
NE16
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NE20
NE21
S9
G13
S16
G22

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH20 mi2.8 hrsE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy45°F39°F81%1020.7 hPa

Wind History from CGF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--------------CalmSW5SW7N5NE4N9NE11E7E10E10NE10NE10E12E10E7E7E5
1 day ago--------------S15
G24
S16
G29
SW17
G31
SW15
G28
SW18
G30
SW16
G28
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G25
SW15SW12
G22
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G26
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W15
G25
SW15
G25
SW12
G22
2 days ago--------------SE4SE5SE8SE8S9SE8E10SE9SE11S8S8S8S12S8SE5S8S8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.