Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairport Harbor, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:52AMSunset 8:53PM Monday May 29, 2017 11:10 AM EDT (15:10 UTC) Moonrise 9:01AMMoonset 11:41PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ147 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 1020 Am Edt Mon May 29 2017
Today..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Wednesday through Friday. The water temperature off toledo is 63 degrees...off cleveland 58 degrees and off erie 57 degrees.
LEZ147 Expires:201705291545;;399826 FZUS51 KCLE 291420 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1020 AM EDT MON MAY 29 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE WAVES ARE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT - THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. OCCASIONAL WAVE HEIGHT IS THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. LEZ146>149-291545-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairport Harbor, OH
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location: 41.83, -81.28     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 291433
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
1033 am edt Mon may 29 2017

Synopsis
The local area will be located between low pressure over the upper
great lakes and a ridge across the lower ohio valley today. A weak
cold front will move into the area tonight followed by a
stronger cold front on Wednesday. High pressure will move from
the northern plains to the ohio valley by Thursday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Minor temperature and pop adjustments in this update. Went ahead
and added a slight chance of showers to the southeastern part of
the forecast area this afternoon. Hi-res models have been
consistently showing isolated convection this afternoon
southeast of the i-71 corridor, despite weak surface forcing
and limited surface moisture instability. Otherwise, forecast
remains on track and no major changes.

Original discussion...

closed upper level low will move into the upper great lakes region
today. At the surface, southwest flow will increase as the area lies
between the broad area of low pressure to the northwest and a ridge
across the lower ohio valley. Subsidence will continue this morning
behind the departing showers from last night with skies becoming
mostly sunny for the morning. Mid-level moisture wraps in this
afternoon with cloud cover increasing but should keep moving so no
need to carry more than partly cloudy. Model soundings depict mixing
through at least 800mb which should help dewpoints to drop to
the lower 50s. Temperatures will range from the mid 70s to near
80 degrees today.

A minimal amount of instability will develop in northwest ohio this
afternoon ahead of the front. Will continue with a low 20-30 chance
of showers and thunderstorms in NW ohio by late afternoon.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Wednesday night
A few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to
develop along the cold front overnight. A little better
convergence across lake erie will provide a focus for a few
storms to develop and drift inland downwind of the lake. The
front and moisture will be a little slow to clear the eastern
counties so will hold onto a low chance pop during the day on
Tuesday. Although temperatures will be cooler on Tuesday behind
the front, raised highs a few degrees given partly cloudy skies
and the late may sun.

Upper level trough moves east across the area on Wednesday with
cooler air arriving behind a stronger front. Temperatures only
forecast to reach the upper 60s with scattered showers
developing ahead of the front cross the eastern half of the
area. Some thunderstorms will be possible as the upper level
cold pool approaches.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
Eastern half of the united states stuck in the eternal trough aloft
through much of the forecast period. A broad upper level ridge
begins to build east toward the area by the weekend. This trend
means temperatures will remain on the cool side through the period.

Surface high pressure will build east across the area Thursday and
then move southeast where it will dissipate by Friday morning. Low
pressure is progged to move east into the tennessee valley region
Thursday and Friday. This low in combination with another low
pressure over the northern great lakes will have a trough axis
extending north south across the forecast area. Moisture associated
with the trough axis will move east across the area late Thursday
night into Friday. Initially, there will be a threat for
thunderstorms but as cooler and more stable air moves south, the
threat for thunder will diminish in the latter periods. High
pressure will build south through the great lakes forcing a back
door cold front south through the area. This should bring drier air
to the northeast portions of the forecast area Saturday.

Aviation 12z Monday through Friday
Clearing skies continue to push east across the area. Some
scattered mid clouds will dot the sky through the day until a
trough axis moves into the area this afternoon. The trough of
low pressure will bring a minimal threat for thunderstorms this
afternoon. Some activity is already firing along the trough in
northwest illinois at this time. So, will keep vcts this
afternoon.

Outlook... Non-vfr at times Wednesday into Wednesday night.

Marine
Lake winds should not be too strong today but will likely see 2 to 4
foot waves along the nearshore waters after the passage of the cold
front this morning. A trough weak cold front axis will move
southeast across the area later tonight. Not expecting small craft
advisory criteria for an extended period of time today. So will
hold off on issuing for today. Winds will diminish tonight and then
pick back up again Tuesday out of the southwest. Wind direction
through Friday will remain a persistent southwest but also be
variable from very light to around 10 to 15 knots through the
period.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Kec
near term... Kec greenawalt
short term... Kec
long term... Lombardy
aviation... Lombardy
marine... Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 5 mi41 min WSW 18 G 19 66°F 1010.4 hPa56°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 16 mi31 min W 17 65°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 27 mi41 min WSW 5.1 G 6 66°F 1010.5 hPa55°F
45169 32 mi21 min W 7.8 G 9.7 63°F 60°F2 ft1011.3 hPa58°F
45176 32 mi21 min WSW 1.9 G 3.9 65°F 63°F2 ft1010.9 hPa60°F
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 40 mi43 min W 18 G 23 62°F 1010.2 hPa

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH20 mi86 minW 1210.00 miClear70°F55°F60%1011.2 hPa

Wind History from CGF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6S7W6N6SW14NW8NE7W12NW7S7S6S6--------------SW10SW8SW10W12W12
1 day agoN7N8N12N10NE10N12NE10NE6E10E5E5SE4--------------S4S6S8S8S6
2 days agoNW14NW14NW14W12W12
G20
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W10W9NW4CalmSE4SE5--------------S6S4SE4E6E8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.