Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lincolnwood, IL
March 19, 2024 5:40 AM CDT (10:40 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:52 AM Sunset 7:03 PM Moonrise 1:31 PM Moonset 4:37 AM |
LMZ741 Expires:202403191530;;996693 Fzus53 Klot 190837 Nshlot
nearshore marine forecast national weather service chicago/romeoville il 337 am cdt Tue mar 19 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan
waves are provided as a range of significant wave heights, which is the average of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the average height of the highest 10 percent of the waves which will occasionally be encountered.
lmz740>743-191530- winthrop harbor to wilmette harbor il- wilmette harbor to northerly island il- northerly island to calumet harbor il- calumet harbor il to gary in- 337 am cdt Tue mar 19 2024
.gale warning in effect until 1 pm cdt this afternoon - .
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 pm cdt this afternoon through Wednesday afternoon - .
Early this morning - Southwest winds 20 to 25 kt increasing to gales to 35 kt. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 ft building to 3 to 5 ft.
Today - Southwest gales to 35 kt becoming west and diminishing to 30 kt after noon. Partly cloudy. Waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft.
Tonight - Northwest winds 20 to 25 kt. Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly clear. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Wednesday - Northwest winds 20 to 25 kt diminishing to 15 to 25 kt late. Sunny. Waves 3 to 5 ft.
Wednesday night - Northwest winds 10 to 20 kt becoming north 10 to 15 kt. Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft.
nearshore marine forecast national weather service chicago/romeoville il 337 am cdt Tue mar 19 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan
waves are provided as a range of significant wave heights, which is the average of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the average height of the highest 10 percent of the waves which will occasionally be encountered.
lmz740>743-191530- winthrop harbor to wilmette harbor il- wilmette harbor to northerly island il- northerly island to calumet harbor il- calumet harbor il to gary in- 337 am cdt Tue mar 19 2024
LMZ700
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Area Discussion for - Chicago, IL
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FXUS63 KLOT 190816 AFDLOT
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 316 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Windy today with an elevated risk for the spread of brush fires.
- Period of snow late Thursday night into Friday AM with a 60% chance for minor slushy accumulations along/north of I-88.
- Active weather pattern sets up early next week with widespread precipitation likely (70+% chance).
DISCUSSION
Issued at 315 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Through Thursday:
A windy, dry and seasonably mild day is in store today. A cold front currently across Minnesota will quickly shift southeast across the forecast area early this morning. While a pre-frontal 50-60 knot low-level jet will exhibit diurnal weakening this morning, an already mixed PBL will quickly tap into the base of the jet shortly after sunrise. In fact, we are already seeing some gusts to 25 mph as of 3am. Expectations are for WSW winds to gust to 40 mph for a few hours mid to late morning before abating early this afternoon. However, an increasingly favorable isallobaric gradient within post-frontal CAA beginning late this afternoon should support a renewed increase for WNW gusts to 35+ mph. Gusty conditions will persist in a gradual weakening trend through tonight.
Though rain late last week mitigated fire weather concerns for several days, the recent breezy/windy and dry days have also allowed fine fuels to becoming increasingly dry. Meanwhile, robust mixing today will partially offset post-frontal low-level moisture advection this afternoon to produce minimum RH values as low as 30-35%, particularly south of the Kankakee River Valley. The combination of the factors above warrants the issuance of an SPS today for an elevated risk of the spread of brush fires.
Continued CAA tonight will usher in a period of seasonably cold conditions Wednesday and Thursday, with daytime highs generally in the upper 30s and low 40s. After mostly sunny skies on Wednesday, mid-level clouds will expand across the region in response to a low-level f-gen circulation to the southwest.
Given a fairly dry airmass and recent guidance favoring any potential precip to remain safely southwest of the CWA, will not include any PoPs at this time.
Kluber
Thursday Night through Monday:
Attention turns to our next weather maker which arrives during the Thursday night into Friday morning period. This is associated with a shortwave expected to dive southeast across the Northern Plains toward the region during this period. In response to this wave, a weak surface low develops in western NE/SD. Out ahead of the surface low, modest warm advection sets up, aided by a 40-50kt low level jet, which results in precipitation developing to its northeast. As the surface low weakens and translates eastward this area of precipitation expands across the area. There is strong lift within the saturated layer with this system, peaking Friday morning.
Questions remain as to what the vertical temperature profiles will look like and where the rain/snow line ultimately sets up.
While there continues to be a fair amount of variability in the operational runs (including a signal for a narrow swath of locally higher amounts), global ensembles have remained fairly consistent.
There is still some time to hone in on the details given the energy for this system is still nearly 1000 mi west of California over the Pacific. Accordingly, plan to maintain the potential (60%) for minor slushy accumulations for areas mainly along and north of I-88 (highest toward the WI/IL state line).
The only notable change has been for a slower arrival, with the highest QPF (and accordingly snow amounts) occurring Friday morning. This could result in a slowed and slippery travel for the Friday morning commute.
Surface high pressure settles into the region to start the upcoming weekend bringing dry and continued cool conditions with high temperatures struggling to get out of the 30s.
Sunday onward favors a more active weather pattern as a deep western CONUS upper trough begins to eject east of the Rockies.
There continues to be ensemble support for a potent system (or systems) to develop to the lee of the Rockies which, depending on the timing of these features, would bring periods of inclement weather to the region. Still plenty to watch for over the coming days, though at this range it looks like we are leaning toward the warmer side.
Petr
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
The only aviation weather concern remains a period of strong southwest winds developing early this morning and continuing through the afternoon, gradually turning west and then northwest through they day. Did nudge up gusts for the morning hours with this update when 30-35+ kt gusts appear likely as a strong low-level jet moves overhead. Gusts diminish into the upper 20kt range late morning/early afternoon but may increase again above 30 kt by mid-late afternoon with deeper mixing.
VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period.
Petr
MARINE
Issued at 315 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
A 50-60 knot low-level jet shifting southeast across southern Lake Michigan this morning combined with a well-mixed low-level environment will support a period of frequent WSW gales to 35 knots through this morning. Some of these gales may briefly reach 40+ knots mid to late morning, especially for any higher platforms closer to the shore. While winds will diminish this afternoon behind the passage of a cold front, sporadic WNW gale gusts may continue into the evening.
Kluber
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 315 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
There is an elevated fire danger today across all of northern IL and northwest IN.
SW winds are expected to gust as high as 40 mph mid to late morning before gradually becoming WNW with gusts of 30-35 mph behind a cold front this afternoon. Dewpoints in the teens early this morning will slowly increase through the day, though there remains uncertainty for how fast dewpoints increase. Current forecast RH values this afternoon will fall into the 30 to 35 percent range, which is above local Red Flag Warning criteria of 25 percent. 10hr fuel moisture values slightly below 10 percent this afternoon combined with the gusty winds and RH values noted above supports the issuance of a Special Weather Statement for elevated fire danger conditions today. At this time, it is not expected that Red Flag Criteria will be met.
Kluber
LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...None.
IN...None.
LM...Gale Warning until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for the IL and IN nearshore waters.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 4 PM CDT Wednesday for Winthrop Harbor IL to Gary IN.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 AM CDT Thursday for Gary to Burns Harbor IN-Burns Harbor to Michigan City IN.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 316 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Windy today with an elevated risk for the spread of brush fires.
- Period of snow late Thursday night into Friday AM with a 60% chance for minor slushy accumulations along/north of I-88.
- Active weather pattern sets up early next week with widespread precipitation likely (70+% chance).
DISCUSSION
Issued at 315 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Through Thursday:
A windy, dry and seasonably mild day is in store today. A cold front currently across Minnesota will quickly shift southeast across the forecast area early this morning. While a pre-frontal 50-60 knot low-level jet will exhibit diurnal weakening this morning, an already mixed PBL will quickly tap into the base of the jet shortly after sunrise. In fact, we are already seeing some gusts to 25 mph as of 3am. Expectations are for WSW winds to gust to 40 mph for a few hours mid to late morning before abating early this afternoon. However, an increasingly favorable isallobaric gradient within post-frontal CAA beginning late this afternoon should support a renewed increase for WNW gusts to 35+ mph. Gusty conditions will persist in a gradual weakening trend through tonight.
Though rain late last week mitigated fire weather concerns for several days, the recent breezy/windy and dry days have also allowed fine fuels to becoming increasingly dry. Meanwhile, robust mixing today will partially offset post-frontal low-level moisture advection this afternoon to produce minimum RH values as low as 30-35%, particularly south of the Kankakee River Valley. The combination of the factors above warrants the issuance of an SPS today for an elevated risk of the spread of brush fires.
Continued CAA tonight will usher in a period of seasonably cold conditions Wednesday and Thursday, with daytime highs generally in the upper 30s and low 40s. After mostly sunny skies on Wednesday, mid-level clouds will expand across the region in response to a low-level f-gen circulation to the southwest.
Given a fairly dry airmass and recent guidance favoring any potential precip to remain safely southwest of the CWA, will not include any PoPs at this time.
Kluber
Thursday Night through Monday:
Attention turns to our next weather maker which arrives during the Thursday night into Friday morning period. This is associated with a shortwave expected to dive southeast across the Northern Plains toward the region during this period. In response to this wave, a weak surface low develops in western NE/SD. Out ahead of the surface low, modest warm advection sets up, aided by a 40-50kt low level jet, which results in precipitation developing to its northeast. As the surface low weakens and translates eastward this area of precipitation expands across the area. There is strong lift within the saturated layer with this system, peaking Friday morning.
Questions remain as to what the vertical temperature profiles will look like and where the rain/snow line ultimately sets up.
While there continues to be a fair amount of variability in the operational runs (including a signal for a narrow swath of locally higher amounts), global ensembles have remained fairly consistent.
There is still some time to hone in on the details given the energy for this system is still nearly 1000 mi west of California over the Pacific. Accordingly, plan to maintain the potential (60%) for minor slushy accumulations for areas mainly along and north of I-88 (highest toward the WI/IL state line).
The only notable change has been for a slower arrival, with the highest QPF (and accordingly snow amounts) occurring Friday morning. This could result in a slowed and slippery travel for the Friday morning commute.
Surface high pressure settles into the region to start the upcoming weekend bringing dry and continued cool conditions with high temperatures struggling to get out of the 30s.
Sunday onward favors a more active weather pattern as a deep western CONUS upper trough begins to eject east of the Rockies.
There continues to be ensemble support for a potent system (or systems) to develop to the lee of the Rockies which, depending on the timing of these features, would bring periods of inclement weather to the region. Still plenty to watch for over the coming days, though at this range it looks like we are leaning toward the warmer side.
Petr
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
The only aviation weather concern remains a period of strong southwest winds developing early this morning and continuing through the afternoon, gradually turning west and then northwest through they day. Did nudge up gusts for the morning hours with this update when 30-35+ kt gusts appear likely as a strong low-level jet moves overhead. Gusts diminish into the upper 20kt range late morning/early afternoon but may increase again above 30 kt by mid-late afternoon with deeper mixing.
VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period.
Petr
MARINE
Issued at 315 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
A 50-60 knot low-level jet shifting southeast across southern Lake Michigan this morning combined with a well-mixed low-level environment will support a period of frequent WSW gales to 35 knots through this morning. Some of these gales may briefly reach 40+ knots mid to late morning, especially for any higher platforms closer to the shore. While winds will diminish this afternoon behind the passage of a cold front, sporadic WNW gale gusts may continue into the evening.
Kluber
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 315 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
There is an elevated fire danger today across all of northern IL and northwest IN.
SW winds are expected to gust as high as 40 mph mid to late morning before gradually becoming WNW with gusts of 30-35 mph behind a cold front this afternoon. Dewpoints in the teens early this morning will slowly increase through the day, though there remains uncertainty for how fast dewpoints increase. Current forecast RH values this afternoon will fall into the 30 to 35 percent range, which is above local Red Flag Warning criteria of 25 percent. 10hr fuel moisture values slightly below 10 percent this afternoon combined with the gusty winds and RH values noted above supports the issuance of a Special Weather Statement for elevated fire danger conditions today. At this time, it is not expected that Red Flag Criteria will be met.
Kluber
LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...None.
IN...None.
LM...Gale Warning until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for the IL and IN nearshore waters.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 4 PM CDT Wednesday for Winthrop Harbor IL to Gary IN.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 AM CDT Thursday for Gary to Burns Harbor IN-Burns Harbor to Michigan City IN.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
OKSI2 | 3 mi | 101 min | W 6G | 33°F | ||||
CHII2 - Chicago, IL | 4 mi | 41 min | WSW 17G | 32°F | 17°F | |||
CNII2 | 7 mi | 26 min | WSW 8.9G | 31°F | 15°F | |||
CMTI2 - 9087044 - Calumet, IL | 16 mi | 53 min | N 7G | 31°F | 29.88 | 17°F | ||
WHRI2 - Waukegan Harbor, IL | 30 mi | 101 min | SSW 8G | 31°F | ||||
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN | 33 mi | 61 min | SW 8G | 31°F | 29.95 | |||
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN | 41 mi | 41 min | SSW 15G | 30°F | 29.93 | 16°F | ||
KNSW3 - Kenosha, WI | 45 mi | 41 min | SW 7G | 31°F | 29.82 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KMDW CHICAGO MIDWAY INTL,IL | 13 sm | 47 min | SW 13G24 | 10 sm | Overcast | 30°F | 16°F | 55% | 29.89 | |
KORD CHICAGO O'HARE INTL,IL | 15 sm | 49 min | SW 12G27 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 30°F | 14°F | 50% | 29.87 | |
KPWK CHICAGO EXECUTIVE,IL | 18 sm | 48 min | SW 08G17 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 30°F | 14°F | 50% | 29.88 |
Chicago, IL,
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