Sunrise 5:59 AM   Sunset 7:48 PM Moonrise 8:53 PM   Moonset 6:05 AM

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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1227 Am Edt Wed Apr 24 2024
Overnight - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wed - SW winds around 10 kt, becoming W with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Chance of showers, mainly in the morning. Wed night - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers in the evening. Thu - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming S around 5 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Thu night - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Fri - NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sat - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers. Sun - SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

ANZ300 1227 Am Edt Wed Apr 24 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - A frontal system will work across the area overnight into Wednesday. Strong high pressure then builds in Wednesday night through the end of the week. Strong high pressure centered over the region on Friday gradually shifts offshore into Saturday then pushes farther south on Sunday as a low from the western great lakes moves into canada. This low brings a warm front into the area Saturday night into Sunday.

FXUS61 KALY 240541 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 141 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

SYNOPSIS
A low pressure system will bring some showers to the region into this afternoon before colder air returns for tonight behind a strong cold front. High pressure will bring a return to dry weather to end the week. Thursday will be on the cool side with a warmup expected into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/

UPDATE
As of 140 AM EDT, clouds and rain showers are beginning to push into the region as a positively tilted upper- level trough and low pressure system approach from the west. The strong cold front remains well to the north and west over southern Ontario. Shower coverage will be greatest across areas north and west of the Capital District which is where we included likely and categorical pops through the overnight.
Elsewhere, spotty light rain showers are expected so kept pops in the slight chance to chance range. The southerly breeze from yesterday afternoon and evening will continue to wane overnight.
The clouds and showers will keep temperatures in the 40s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
The aforementioned surface low will make its nearest approach Wednesday morning, passing over the Adirondacks and continuing to the northeast through the day. Rain shower coverage will likely be higher in the vicinity of the low, with more scattered coverage elsewhere, particularly to the south and east of the Capital District, where there may be some breaks of sun into the afternoon. These breaks may allow for enough additional surface heating to result in sufficient destabilization for a few rumbles of thunder within any convective rain shower, although confidence in any occurrences of thunder remains low.

Precipitation will taper from west to east through the afternoon, although it may linger longer in favored upslope areas as surface flow turns out of the west. Much of the region will see gusts reaching 20-25 mph behind the cold frontal passage, while the arrival of cooler air may yield some wet snow in the highest terrain of the southern Greens and Adirondacks, however little to no accumulation is expected.

As surface high pressure quickly builds in behind the cold front, dry weather, clear skies, and cooler temperatures will persist Wednesday night through Thursday night. Afternoon highs each day may only reach the 40s in high terrain, with 50s at lower elevations. Cold overnight lows in the upper 10s to upper 20s on Wednesday night will moderate slightly by Thursday night, when temperatures will reach the mid 20s to low 30s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Low level ridging builds into the region Friday with sunny weather.
Highs Friday in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Warm advection begins later Friday as high pressure builds east and south.

Upper ridging builds into our region from the west Saturday through Monday and as the upper ridge axis shifts east of our region Monday and beyond, increasing warm advection and moisture advection will support increasing clouds and eventually chances for showers.

Clouds and showers will gradually build into our region from the west and north each day, with scattered showers reaching western and northern areas Saturday as weak upper energy tries to track around the northern periphery of the upper ridging. More clouds than sun by Saturday afternoon and that trend will continue through Monday but there will be some periods of sun along with increasing warm advection to help temperatures warm each day, especially Monday.
Highs Saturday in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs Sunday in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Highs Monday in the 70s to around 80.

By Tuesday, the upper ridge axis shifts well to the east and southwest boundary layer winds increase along with low level forcing/convergence, instability and moisture, supporting better chances for showers. An isolated thunderstorm is possible, with the warm airmass in the region and associated instability. Highs Tuesday in the 70s with some mid 60s to around 70 higher terrain.

AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Through 06z Thursday...A cold front approaching from the north/west will move across the TAF sites from late this morning into early afternoon. Mainly scattered -SHRA will accompany the front. Prevailing conditions should mainly be VFR, although a period of MVFR is possible after 12z as the front pushes through. Highest confidence in MVFR is at KGFL, with somewhat lower confidence at KALB/KPSF where TEMPO groups have mention of MVFR. VFR should prevail at KPOU. Isolated -TSRA are possible this afternoon after the cold front passes through with a potent upper level disturbance moves across the region.
Coverage too sparse to mention in TAFs for now, but will continue to monitor trends.

VFR conditions with clearing skies expected from late afternoon through the end of the period as strong area of high pressure builds in from the north/west.

Winds will be mainly southerly around 5-15 kt with some gusts to around 20 kt through the overnight hours. Winds will shift to the west-northwest behind the cold front by early afternoon at 10-15 kt with gusts of 20-25 kt expected. Winds will shift to a more northerly direction by early evening.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Saturday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Sunday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.

FIRE WEATHER
A period of rainfall is expected tonight through Wednesday and may mix with or end as a brief period of snow across portions of the Adirondacks and southern Greens before ending. Dry weather then returns for Thursday and Friday with winds generally 5 to 15 mph both days.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

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Catskill
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Wed -- 03:43 AM EDT     4.39 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:32 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:04 PM EDT     3.74 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:35 PM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
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Coxsackie
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Wed -- 05:14 AM EDT     5.06 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:20 AM EDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:22 PM EDT     4.11 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:27 PM EDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
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Coxsackie, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

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