Sunrise 5:56 AM   Sunset 7:51 PM Moonrise 11:09 PM   Moonset 7:03 AM

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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1244 Am Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
Overnight - S winds around 5 kt, becoming light and variable. Seas 1 ft or less. Fri - NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sat - S winds around 5 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds. Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Wave detail: sw 1 ft at 2 seconds. Slight chance of showers after midnight. Sun - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: sw 1 ft at 2 seconds. Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Mon - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Mon night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.

ANZ300 1244 Am Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Strong high pressure building in overnight will remain over the region into Saturday. A warm front lifts north of the area Saturday night into Sunday morning followed by high pressure through Monday. A cold front approaches Tuesday and moves across the region Tuesday night. Another cold front may pass through late Wednesday or next Thursday.

FXUS61 KALY 260715 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 315 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure centered over the region this morning will gradually shift east off the New England coast through tonight, bringing continued dry and cool weather. A warm front approaching from the west will move across the area and may bring some showers and a few thunderstorms Saturday night into Sunday. Warmer temperatures are expected early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 315 AM...After a cold start to the day with temperatures in the 20s and 30s, a large area of high pressure centered over our region this morning will gradually south/east into southern New England this afternoon. Subsidence associated with the high will continue to bring abundant sunshine. With a very dry air mass still in place (PWAT anomalies of -1 to -2 STDEV) and strong April sun, temperatures will rebound into the 50s to lower 60s this afternoon. Winds will be light and variable.

With high pressure centered just south/east off the New England coast tonight, a slight southerly flow will develop tonight, with some warming aloft as well. So while temperatures will not be as cold as the previous few nights, it will still be chilly with lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Skies should remain mostly clear, with just some high level cirrus clouds moving in towards early Sat morning.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
An upper level ridge axis will move east across the region on Sat, while surface high pressure remains positioned south/east of New England. Dry conditions are expected to prevail through much of the day. A warm front approaching from the west will bring increasing clouds during the afternoon, and perhaps a few light showers late in the day for areas west of the Hudson Valley. Forecast soundings indicate a significant wedge of dry air in the low levels, so most of any showers aloft should evaporate. High temperatures are expected warm to normal levels (lower/mid 60s in valleys) as the air mass continues to moderate with mostly sunny skies through the morning and at least partial sunshine into the afternoon. Southerly winds will increase with gusts of 15-20 mph developing in the afternoon.

The upper ridge axis will to shift east into New England Sat night, as the surface warm front lifts northeast across the region Sat night. Along with a possible weak disturbance moving through, this should result in scattered to numerous showers developing. Will also mention isolated thunder west of the Hudson Valley, as some there will be some elevated instability present above a developing low-level inversion. With the clouds and showers around, lows will be milder mainly in the 40s.

Milder temperatures are expected on Sunday as the warm front lifts north of the region and upper level heights start to build again. However, some guidance has trended cooler as the upper ridge axis will be positioned to our west and a possible weak disturbance may spill over the ridge with extra cloud cover and a few showers possible. Will mention slightly cooler temperatures compared to the previous forecast, but still relatively mild with 60s to lower 70s for highs. Confidence in precip chances is low at this time, but much of the day could still end up dry.

Upper ridging looks to become better established Sun night, with solid 500 mb height anomalies of +1 to +2 STDEV. As a strong surface high tracks east into northern Quebec, ridging extending southward may push a cold front into at least northern parts of our region. Will monitor trends for possible showers and cooler temperatures associated with this front, but will continue to forecast mainly dry conditions and mild temperatures for now with lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Much milder weather is expected through the long term period.
Our region should be in the warm sector Monday. Have favored the warmer side of the blended guidance for these days, with valley highs into the 70s on Monday. Some southern areas could even be reaching into the low 80s by Monday as well. In addition, a southerly flow will be returning moisture to the region, so dewpoints will be noticeably higher than the past few days with values into the 50s. Most of Monday looks dry at this point, could a few pop up showers can't be ruled out, mainly during times of diurnal heating.

A frontal boundary will be getting close to the area for the mid week. There's still some uncertainty regarding the exact timing, but some showers and possible thunderstorms may develop ahead and along this front between Monday night and Wednesday. Have gone with chance POPs most of the time, although we do have some likely POPs on late Tuesday for northwestern areas based on the latest NBM guidance. Still too early to say if any storms will be strong at this time, as it will depend on just how much instability is available and the exact timing of the boundary.
Daytime temps still look mild for Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the 60s and 70s and overnight lows will be in the 50s.
It may be drier and slightly cooler by Thursday, but still very seasonable with daytime temps in the 60s and dewpoints back down into the 40s.

AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Through 06Z Friday...High pressure remains dominant across the region, making for clear skies. Terminals, therefore, continue to maintain VFR conditions. Such flight rules will remain status quo throughout the 06z TAF period with dry conditions and intermittent light breezes negating the risk of fog formation.

Winds throughout the 06z TAF period will continue to be light and variable at sustained speeds ranging from about 3-6 kt.

Outlook...

Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Saturday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Sunday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

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Hudson
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Fri -- 04:57 AM EDT     4.59 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 12:02 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:28 PM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
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Coxsackie
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Fri -- 12:06 AM EDT     0.89 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:28 AM EDT     5.21 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 12:48 PM EDT     0.87 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:33 PM EDT     3.98 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
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