Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Oneonta, NY
March 19, 2024 5:35 AM EDT (09:35 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:03 AM Sunset 7:13 PM Moonrise 12:37 PM Moonset 3:47 AM |
Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 190817 AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 417 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
Lake effect snow showers will continue on and off through tonight as the pattern remains unsettled. A strong cold front will cross on Wednesday and bring a chance for more widespread snow showers to the region. Behind this front, lake effect snow is expected once again through Thursday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
330 PM Update...
The winds shift back SWerly by early this afternoon as a ridge builds into the region from the SW. Lake effect showers will push northward, however, this ridge will not hang around for long as a shortwave moves across the region from the Great Lakes this evening and snow showers will redevelop, with the best chances across the Finger Lakes to northern Oneida. Not expecting much in the way of impacts with this round of snow as the high March sun angle will make it very hard for anything to stick. Snow showers will continue through the overnight hours as the shortwave rotates through the region, with the best chance of snow north of the Southern Tier. Another 1-3 inches of snow is forecast across the eastern Finger Lakes into northern Oneida, with the best chance for higher numbers across the higher elevations. Temps will fall into the mid 20s to low 30s overnight.
A potent short wave and associated surface cold front will push into the region on Wednesday and bring more widespread snow showers to the area. Definitely looking like precipitation on Wednesday will be convective in nature with steep lapse rates with upper trough over NY state. WOuldn't be surprise to possibly see a lightning strike or two with heavy snow/graupel showers. Although high temperatures will reach the low 40s for a large portion of the area, with the temperatures so cold aloft, any precipitation will likely fall as snow/graupel. Once again, with the warm surface temperatures, thinking that any snow showers or even squalls will have little impact during the daytime hours, but higher elevations may see a quick inch or two of accumulation. Late in the day, much colder air will filter in and some lake effect snow may start getting going before 0Z, but much of the accumulations from these will occur overnight and after this forecast period.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
A strong upper level trough, nearly a closed low, will be centered near Ottawa Wednesday evening. One embedded vort max will be pulling east of the area, as another approaches from Lake Huron. Meanwhile, the broader region will be in the left-front quad of a 125 knot jet stream. The result will be scattered snow showers transitioning into lake effect snow, with a primary band taking shape SE of Lake Ontario. Cold advection, with 850 temps dropping from around -12 C to -18 C, and a long multi-lake fetch will promote briefly heavy snowfall rates in the main band, which looks to focus on southern Onondaga, southern Cayuga, and northern Cortland Counties late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Max snowfall amounts may exceed 5 inches in places, with 2-4 inches possibly stretching into southern Madison, northern Chenango, and Otsego Counties as low level winds look to favor bands stretching far inland. The band could waver a bit, which would reduce max snowfall totals. Still, advisory-level snowfall is a possibility.
Snow will taper off Thursday morning as drier air moves in aloft.
Colder temperatures will prevail through the day, however, with highs struggling to get out of the 20s over a good chunk of CNY, with 30s across the Twin Tiers and NEPA.
High pressure building in Thursday night will bring ideal conditions for strong radiational cooling, and temperatures look to drop deep into the 10s, perhaps single digits in snow covered areas (and far northern Oneida County) by dawn Friday. 10s and 20s look common further south into NEPA as well.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Friday looks to start off dry, but considerable uncertainty remains in the picture for Friday afternoon and through Saturday as a southern stream trough moves off the Carolinas, and a sharp northern stream wave pushes into the eastern Great Lakes. The GFS continues to phase the systems, with a poorly-organized coastal low developing off the Jersey Shore Saturday, but it is preceded by warmer air, with cooler temps filtering in as precipitation tapers off.
The ECMWF remains weaker, with no phasing, but this allows cooler air to persist, and the end result is a clipper-like system with light rain and snow moving through Friday night into Saturday.
For now, stayed close to the NBM and previous forecast. Overall pattern doesn't look to favor freezing rain, so pulled any mention of ZR introduced by the NBM.
Drier conditions look likely on Sunday and Monday, with a slight warm-up early next week (highs 40s and 50s).
AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Lake effect snow showers will continue through the early morning hours and bring brief IFR restrictions to Central NY terminals, but predominant conditions will be MVFR. Conditions will turn VFR later this morning, however more MVFR to brief IFR restrictions will be possible at all sites again late this afternoon as a weak upper level disturbance pushes through.
Outlook...
Wednesday into Thursday...Another frontal system is expected to bring restrictions with snow showers and possible squalls.
Thursday evening into Friday...Mainly VFR under weak high pressure.
Friday night and Saturday...Chance of snow and rain with another stronger low pressure system. Associated restrictions possible.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 417 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
Lake effect snow showers will continue on and off through tonight as the pattern remains unsettled. A strong cold front will cross on Wednesday and bring a chance for more widespread snow showers to the region. Behind this front, lake effect snow is expected once again through Thursday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
330 PM Update...
The winds shift back SWerly by early this afternoon as a ridge builds into the region from the SW. Lake effect showers will push northward, however, this ridge will not hang around for long as a shortwave moves across the region from the Great Lakes this evening and snow showers will redevelop, with the best chances across the Finger Lakes to northern Oneida. Not expecting much in the way of impacts with this round of snow as the high March sun angle will make it very hard for anything to stick. Snow showers will continue through the overnight hours as the shortwave rotates through the region, with the best chance of snow north of the Southern Tier. Another 1-3 inches of snow is forecast across the eastern Finger Lakes into northern Oneida, with the best chance for higher numbers across the higher elevations. Temps will fall into the mid 20s to low 30s overnight.
A potent short wave and associated surface cold front will push into the region on Wednesday and bring more widespread snow showers to the area. Definitely looking like precipitation on Wednesday will be convective in nature with steep lapse rates with upper trough over NY state. WOuldn't be surprise to possibly see a lightning strike or two with heavy snow/graupel showers. Although high temperatures will reach the low 40s for a large portion of the area, with the temperatures so cold aloft, any precipitation will likely fall as snow/graupel. Once again, with the warm surface temperatures, thinking that any snow showers or even squalls will have little impact during the daytime hours, but higher elevations may see a quick inch or two of accumulation. Late in the day, much colder air will filter in and some lake effect snow may start getting going before 0Z, but much of the accumulations from these will occur overnight and after this forecast period.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
A strong upper level trough, nearly a closed low, will be centered near Ottawa Wednesday evening. One embedded vort max will be pulling east of the area, as another approaches from Lake Huron. Meanwhile, the broader region will be in the left-front quad of a 125 knot jet stream. The result will be scattered snow showers transitioning into lake effect snow, with a primary band taking shape SE of Lake Ontario. Cold advection, with 850 temps dropping from around -12 C to -18 C, and a long multi-lake fetch will promote briefly heavy snowfall rates in the main band, which looks to focus on southern Onondaga, southern Cayuga, and northern Cortland Counties late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Max snowfall amounts may exceed 5 inches in places, with 2-4 inches possibly stretching into southern Madison, northern Chenango, and Otsego Counties as low level winds look to favor bands stretching far inland. The band could waver a bit, which would reduce max snowfall totals. Still, advisory-level snowfall is a possibility.
Snow will taper off Thursday morning as drier air moves in aloft.
Colder temperatures will prevail through the day, however, with highs struggling to get out of the 20s over a good chunk of CNY, with 30s across the Twin Tiers and NEPA.
High pressure building in Thursday night will bring ideal conditions for strong radiational cooling, and temperatures look to drop deep into the 10s, perhaps single digits in snow covered areas (and far northern Oneida County) by dawn Friday. 10s and 20s look common further south into NEPA as well.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Friday looks to start off dry, but considerable uncertainty remains in the picture for Friday afternoon and through Saturday as a southern stream trough moves off the Carolinas, and a sharp northern stream wave pushes into the eastern Great Lakes. The GFS continues to phase the systems, with a poorly-organized coastal low developing off the Jersey Shore Saturday, but it is preceded by warmer air, with cooler temps filtering in as precipitation tapers off.
The ECMWF remains weaker, with no phasing, but this allows cooler air to persist, and the end result is a clipper-like system with light rain and snow moving through Friday night into Saturday.
For now, stayed close to the NBM and previous forecast. Overall pattern doesn't look to favor freezing rain, so pulled any mention of ZR introduced by the NBM.
Drier conditions look likely on Sunday and Monday, with a slight warm-up early next week (highs 40s and 50s).
AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Lake effect snow showers will continue through the early morning hours and bring brief IFR restrictions to Central NY terminals, but predominant conditions will be MVFR. Conditions will turn VFR later this morning, however more MVFR to brief IFR restrictions will be possible at all sites again late this afternoon as a weak upper level disturbance pushes through.
Outlook...
Wednesday into Thursday...Another frontal system is expected to bring restrictions with snow showers and possible squalls.
Thursday evening into Friday...Mainly VFR under weak high pressure.
Friday night and Saturday...Chance of snow and rain with another stronger low pressure system. Associated restrictions possible.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Tivoli
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:41 AM EDT 0.79 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:41 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:59 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:40 AM EDT 3.62 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:32 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:35 PM EDT 0.52 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:07 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:23 PM EDT 3.23 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:41 AM EDT 0.79 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:41 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:59 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:40 AM EDT 3.62 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:32 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:35 PM EDT 0.52 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:07 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:23 PM EDT 3.23 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Tivoli, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12 am |
2.7 |
1 am |
2.2 |
2 am |
1.7 |
3 am |
1.3 |
4 am |
0.9 |
5 am |
0.8 |
6 am |
1.3 |
7 am |
2 |
8 am |
2.7 |
9 am |
3.2 |
10 am |
3.5 |
11 am |
3.6 |
12 pm |
3.3 |
1 pm |
2.9 |
2 pm |
2.3 |
3 pm |
1.8 |
4 pm |
1.1 |
5 pm |
0.6 |
6 pm |
0.6 |
7 pm |
1 |
8 pm |
1.7 |
9 pm |
2.3 |
10 pm |
2.8 |
11 pm |
3.2 |
Catskill
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:41 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:35 AM EDT 0.84 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:59 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:31 AM EDT 3.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:31 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:29 PM EDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:07 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:41 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:35 AM EDT 0.84 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:59 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:31 AM EDT 3.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:31 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:29 PM EDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:07 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Catskill, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12 am |
2.9 |
1 am |
2.5 |
2 am |
2.1 |
3 am |
1.7 |
4 am |
1.3 |
5 am |
0.9 |
6 am |
0.9 |
7 am |
1.4 |
8 am |
2.1 |
9 am |
2.7 |
10 am |
3.2 |
11 am |
3.5 |
12 pm |
3.5 |
1 pm |
3.2 |
2 pm |
2.7 |
3 pm |
2.3 |
4 pm |
1.7 |
5 pm |
1.1 |
6 pm |
0.6 |
7 pm |
0.6 |
8 pm |
1.1 |
9 pm |
1.7 |
10 pm |
2.3 |
11 pm |
2.9 |
Albany, NY,
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