Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for St. Joseph, MI
March 19, 2024 12:25 AM CDT (05:25 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:53 AM Sunset 7:04 PM Moonrise 1:26 PM Moonset 4:36 AM |
LMZ878 Expires:202403190930;;980869 Fzus63 Kmkx 190151 Glflm
open lake forecast for lake michigan national weather service milwaukee/sullivan wi 851 pm cdt Mon mar 18 2024
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan.
waves are provided as a range of significant wave heights, which is the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave, along with the average height of the highest 10% of the waves which will occasionally be encountered.
Synopsis -
westerly winds will continue overnight, becoming more southwesterly by Tuesday morning as high pressure of 30.3 inches builds across the southeastern united states and low pressure of 29.4 inches moves eastward across southern ontario. Winds will accelerate overnight with gale force gusts expected across the southern third of lake michigan throughout Tuesday morning. Winds will then begin to decelerate and turn northwesterly Tuesday afternoon and evening as a cold front associated with the low pressure sinks southeast across the lake. Winds will remain northwesterly on Wednesday, with gale force winds possible across the northern portions of lake michigan as high pressure builds across canada and the northern great plains. Winds will then decelerate Wednesday night into Thursday as the high pressure builds into the great lakes region.
lmz080-673-675-777-779-874-876-878-190930- lake michigan from michigan city in to st. Joseph mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from north point light to wind point wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from wind point wi to winthrop harbor il 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from winthrop harbor to wilmette harbor il 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from wilmette harbor il to michigan city in 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from holland to grand haven mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from south haven to holland mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from st. Joseph to south haven mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- 851 pm cdt Mon mar 18 2024
north point light wi to grand haven mi south - .
.gale warning in effect from 4 am cdt Tuesday through Tuesday afternoon - .
Rest of tonight - West winds 10 to 20 kt becoming southwest to 30 kt. Waves 3 to 5 ft building to 4 to 7 ft occasionally to 9 ft.
Tuesday - Southwest gales to 35 kt becoming west to 30 kt early in the afternoon, then diminishing to 15 to 25 kt late. Waves 6 to 9 ft occasionally to 12 ft building to 8 to 11 ft occasionally to 14 ft, then subsiding to 5 to 8 ft occasionally to 10 ft.
Tuesday night - Northwest winds 15 to 25 kt increasing to 30 kt. Waves 4 to 6 ft occasionally to 8 ft building to 5 to 8 ft occasionally to 10 ft.
Wednesday - Northwest winds to 30 kt. Waves 8 to 12 ft occasionally to 16 ft.
Wednesday night - Northwest winds 15 to 25 kt becoming north 10 to 20 kt. Waves 6 to 9 ft occasionally to 12 ft subsiding to 4 to 6 ft occasionally to 8 ft.
Thursday - North winds 10 to 15 kt becoming northeast. Waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft.
Thursday night - East winds 10 to 20 kt. Chance of snow. Waves 1 to 3 ft.
Friday - Southeast winds 10 to 20 kt becoming east. Chance of rain and snow. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Saturday - North winds 15 to 25 kt diminishing to 10 to 20 kt. Waves 3 to 5 ft.
open lake forecast for lake michigan national weather service milwaukee/sullivan wi 851 pm cdt Mon mar 18 2024
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan.
waves are provided as a range of significant wave heights, which is the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave, along with the average height of the highest 10% of the waves which will occasionally be encountered.
westerly winds will continue overnight, becoming more southwesterly by Tuesday morning as high pressure of 30.3 inches builds across the southeastern united states and low pressure of 29.4 inches moves eastward across southern ontario. Winds will accelerate overnight with gale force gusts expected across the southern third of lake michigan throughout Tuesday morning. Winds will then begin to decelerate and turn northwesterly Tuesday afternoon and evening as a cold front associated with the low pressure sinks southeast across the lake. Winds will remain northwesterly on Wednesday, with gale force winds possible across the northern portions of lake michigan as high pressure builds across canada and the northern great plains. Winds will then decelerate Wednesday night into Thursday as the high pressure builds into the great lakes region.
lmz080-673-675-777-779-874-876-878-190930- lake michigan from michigan city in to st. Joseph mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from north point light to wind point wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from wind point wi to winthrop harbor il 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from winthrop harbor to wilmette harbor il 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from wilmette harbor il to michigan city in 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from holland to grand haven mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from south haven to holland mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from st. Joseph to south haven mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- 851 pm cdt Mon mar 18 2024
north point light wi to grand haven mi south - .
LMZ800
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Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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FXUS63 KIWX 190435 AFDIWX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1235 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Several hard freezes likely this week, especially on Wednesday night. Lows Wednesday night will be in the upper teens to low 20s.
- Next chance for snow and rain late Thursday night into Friday ahead of a cold front. Dry but cold this weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 254 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
A post-frontal trough is moving through the area today, with scattered off and on lake effect snow showers continuing throughout the evening. Slick spots are possible on roads, especially overpasses and bridges. Visibilities have pulsed up and down at many ASOS sites today, with visibilities as low as a quarter of a mile possible in any heavier bursts of snow. As lake effect snow continues into the evening, I would expect Benton Harbor, Cassopolis, Three Rivers [MI], South Bend, and Elkhart [IN] to have the greatest chances at seeing these potential impacts.
Accumulations in the next few hours should be a tenth or two at most as most locations have temperatures above freezing this afternoon.
All lake effect snow showers will diminish and come to an end around 00Z. Overnight, clouds will decrease and allow for temperatures to drop into the mid to upper 20s for lows.
Tonight will be the first of several hard freezes across the Midwest and Great Lakes region as high pressure settles in. On Wednesday, a hard freeze is certain as lows drop down to the upper teens to low 20s. Thursday night through Saturday night, the counties with the best chances for several hard freezes in a row will be southern Lower Michigan and far northern Indiana (mainly along and north of I- 80/I-90). Flowers and fruit trees have started to bloom this week as a result of recent early spring warmth. Be sure to cover up or bring any sensitive vegetation indoors, if possible, as it may be susceptible to the cold nights ahead.
Cold air advection continues midweek as winds remain out of the north/northwest. A brief warmup is possible Tuesday as a warm front lifts north, but temperatures only make it to the upper 40s to low 50s for highs. There will be intermittent sun and clouds around, as dry conditions prevail through at least Thursday. Temperatures will be near normal for this time of year Wednesday and Thursday in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Low to moderate chances (20-50%) for rain chances Thursday night and into Friday ahead of a cold front. Long range model guidance, especially the GFS, has started to trend colder for the weekend. The weekend looks to be dry. Will stick with the NBM blend for now regarding temperatures over the weekend, which has with highs in the low to mid 40s. Mild on Monday with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s with chances for rain/storms.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1235 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR this period. Fast moving clipper skirting the nrn lakes will yield a period of intense warm advection today with deep mixing developing quickly this morning. Expect swrly winds will escalate quickly after sunrise with peak gusts to 40kts or better this aftn.
IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT Tuesday for LMZ043-046.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1235 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Several hard freezes likely this week, especially on Wednesday night. Lows Wednesday night will be in the upper teens to low 20s.
- Next chance for snow and rain late Thursday night into Friday ahead of a cold front. Dry but cold this weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 254 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
A post-frontal trough is moving through the area today, with scattered off and on lake effect snow showers continuing throughout the evening. Slick spots are possible on roads, especially overpasses and bridges. Visibilities have pulsed up and down at many ASOS sites today, with visibilities as low as a quarter of a mile possible in any heavier bursts of snow. As lake effect snow continues into the evening, I would expect Benton Harbor, Cassopolis, Three Rivers [MI], South Bend, and Elkhart [IN] to have the greatest chances at seeing these potential impacts.
Accumulations in the next few hours should be a tenth or two at most as most locations have temperatures above freezing this afternoon.
All lake effect snow showers will diminish and come to an end around 00Z. Overnight, clouds will decrease and allow for temperatures to drop into the mid to upper 20s for lows.
Tonight will be the first of several hard freezes across the Midwest and Great Lakes region as high pressure settles in. On Wednesday, a hard freeze is certain as lows drop down to the upper teens to low 20s. Thursday night through Saturday night, the counties with the best chances for several hard freezes in a row will be southern Lower Michigan and far northern Indiana (mainly along and north of I- 80/I-90). Flowers and fruit trees have started to bloom this week as a result of recent early spring warmth. Be sure to cover up or bring any sensitive vegetation indoors, if possible, as it may be susceptible to the cold nights ahead.
Cold air advection continues midweek as winds remain out of the north/northwest. A brief warmup is possible Tuesday as a warm front lifts north, but temperatures only make it to the upper 40s to low 50s for highs. There will be intermittent sun and clouds around, as dry conditions prevail through at least Thursday. Temperatures will be near normal for this time of year Wednesday and Thursday in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Low to moderate chances (20-50%) for rain chances Thursday night and into Friday ahead of a cold front. Long range model guidance, especially the GFS, has started to trend colder for the weekend. The weekend looks to be dry. Will stick with the NBM blend for now regarding temperatures over the weekend, which has with highs in the low to mid 40s. Mild on Monday with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s with chances for rain/storms.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1235 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR this period. Fast moving clipper skirting the nrn lakes will yield a period of intense warm advection today with deep mixing developing quickly this morning. Expect swrly winds will escalate quickly after sunrise with peak gusts to 40kts or better this aftn.
IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT Tuesday for LMZ043-046.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
45214 | 16 mi | 56 min | 40°F | 4 ft | ||||
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI | 34 mi | 46 min | SW 20G | 35°F | ||||
HLNM4 - 9087031 - Holland, MI | 44 mi | 56 min | WSW 19G | 35°F | 40°F | 29.94 | 19°F | |
WHRI2 - Waukegan Harbor, IL | 47 mi | 86 min | SSW 5.1G | 31°F | ||||
KNSW3 - Kenosha, WI | 48 mi | 86 min | SW 5.1G | 32°F | 30.00 |
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Airport Reports
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