Friday, June23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Kingsville, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:45AMSunset 9:08PM Friday June 23, 2017 10:01 AM EDT (14:01 UTC) Moonrise 4:32AMMoonset 7:36PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LEZ168 Lake Erie Open Waters From Ripley To Buffalo Ny- Lake Erie Open Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on-the-lake Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Geneva-on-the-lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 954 Am Edt Fri Jun 23 2017
This afternoon..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
Tonight..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Sunday..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 6 feet...then subsiding to 2 to 3 feet.
Monday..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day...then a chance of showers Monday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ168 Expires:201706232015;;691676 FZUS61 KCLE 231354 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 954 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS...Low pressure of 29.50 inches will pull a cold front east across Lake Erie. A series of weak, reinforcing cold fronts will cross the lake over the weekend and on Monday as a trough averaging 30.00 inches remains across the eastern Great Lakes. High pressure 30.20 inches from the plains states will move to the Ohio Valley by late Tuesday. LEZ061-165>169-232015-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Kingsville, OH
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 42.59, -80.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcle 231339
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
939 am edt Fri jun 23 2017

Synopsis
A cold front will move east through the area from late this
morning through the afternoon. A broad trough of low pressure
will then remain over the region through the weekend. High
pressure at the surface will begin to move in from the west
Monday night into Tuesday. An upper-level ridge will then be
centered over the lower great lakes by Wednesday.

Near term through tonight
So far everything working out for today. Expecting occasional
showers thunderstorms throughout the day especially as the cold
front nears and interacts with the abundant moisture in place.

No plans for any flood watch, but the entire scenario will need
to be closely monitored as rainfall is expected to be efficient
with some training likely to set up across the southern counties.

Original...

showers are affecting southern and western portions of the cwa
and are moving to the east-northeast. Look for these showers
and a few storms to continue to expand in coverage as the march
across the cwa. A period of dry weather for many is expected
behind this initial wave of precipitation, except for perhaps
northwest ohio.

A cold front will move in from the west this afternoon,
triggering additional showers and storms. The front will be
fairly slow moving and storm motion will be just 30 degrees or
so from parallel to the front. This will mean the chance for
some training thunderstorms, which could lead to some flooding.

Additionally, there remains a slight possibility that some
storms that develop along this front during the afternoon could
become strong to severe. This will greatly depend on the amount
of clearing that is present ahead of the cold front. While there
is plenty of moisture, extensive cloud cover and limited
instability are two inhibiting factors. The best chance for any
strong severe storm is across central and eastern parts of the
cwa. Strong winds and hail would be the primary severe threats.

As the cold front moves through, just a few scattered showers
are expected in its wake into the overnight hours. High
temperatures this afternoon should rise to the upper 70s in most
locations. Lows tonight will fall to the upper 50s across
western areas as well as across inland northwest pennsylvania and
the lower 60s elsewhere.

Short term Saturday through Monday night
A broad upper-level trough will hang around the region right on
through Monday. A very weak short-wave ridge embedded within
the large scale trough will move over the area Saturday. With
drier air in place we shouldn't see much in the way of
precipitation, but can't completely rule out a spotty shower
during the afternoon near the lakeshore. Still too much
uncertainty to go any higher than a slight chance across a
limited area, but will have to monitor this for future updates.

A shortwave trough will move in from the west late Saturday
night into Sunday. This will bring a chance for some showers to
far northern areas Sunday morning. As we head into Sunday
afternoon, a second shortwave trough will move in from the
west, bringing the threat for a few showers southward across
much of the cwa.

The main trough will finally begin to move east through the area
Monday. This will mean another shot at some precipitation
throughout the day Monday. High temperatures will cool a bit
each day from Saturday through Monday. Saturday's highs will be
in the middle 70s for most locations, with highs likely not
getting out of the 60s for many areas by Monday.

Long term Tuesday through Thursday
Upper level trough finally shifts east of the area on Tuesday with
high pressure building into the ohio valley. Will keep a low chance
of showers in the forecast on Tuesday but removed the mention of
thunderstorms given the shallow moisture depth and fairly stable
conditions by that point. Removed the lingering low pop from Tuesday
night as the flow on lake erie backs around to the southwest and any
lingering showers should be focused out over the lake.

Temperatures will climb back towards normal by mid-week as a weak
ridge builds aloft. Shortwave energy moving through the flow aloft
could bring the next chance of showers and thunderstorms to the area
as early as Thursday.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
Rain will continue to fill in across the area as a cold front
approaches and interacts with a very moist airmass. Ifr ceilings
are in place at all terminals except eri with heavy rain
showers frequently dropping visibilities to around 1 mile.

Thunderstorms are starting to increase in coverage across nw
ohio at 12z and will fill in as they spread east with all
terminals likely to see thunderstorms with periods of heavy rain
into this afternoon. Ceilings will gradually improve to MVFR,
especially on the back side of the rain as early as 20z near
tol, with rain slowly ending from northwest to southeast. Much
drier air will spread in from the northwest tonight with clouds
scattering out in NW ohio and along the lakeshore.

Outlook... Chance of brief MVFR in showers Sunday into Monday
with a cold front and trough aloft.

Marine
Southwest winds of 15 to 20 knots will continue into this afternoon
before shifting to the west as a cold front moves through. The
offshore flow will keep the higher waves of 3 to 5 feet in the open
waters. There is some chance that waves may creep up in the
nearshore waters behind the front on the far east end of the lake
behind the front but winds are expected to drop off as they shift to
the west northwest.

A series of cold fronts will move south across the lake over the
weekend as a slow moving trough sets up across the great lakes.

Unsettled conditions with brisk westerly winds expected at times
into early next week. A small craft advisory may be needed at times,
especially on the east half of the lake on Sunday. High pressure
will finally build into the ohio valley on Tuesday night with winds
shifting offshore.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mottice
near term... Mottice oudeman
short term... Mottice
long term... Kec
aviation... Kec
marine... Kec


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45132 - Port Stanley 16 mi62 min S 14 G 18 68°F 67°F2 ft1002.8 hPa (-1.7)
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 48 mi62 min SSW 8.9 G 14 71°F 1005.4 hPa (-0.7)
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 51 mi62 min SSW 6 G 12 70°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 59 mi44 min S 14 G 21 71°F 1004 hPa69°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
Last
24hr
S13
G16
S10
G13
SW10
SW16
G22
SW11
G14
SW10
G16
SW8
G11
SW15
S6
G9
S9
G13
S8
G11
S8
G13
SW10
G16
S11
G20
SW11
G15
S13
G18
S13
G17
S14
G19
SW12
G16
S9
G13
S7
G14
S11
G17
S13
G16
S13
1 day
ago
NW5
NW6
N5
N5
NW5
N5
G8
N5
N5
NE5
NE4
NE4
E6
E6
SE4
SE5
SE5
SE5
SE4
S8
S9
G12
SE7
S9
G13
S11
2 days
ago
W22
W20
SW22
W25
W19
G24
W19
W16
SW15
SW13
SW12
SW7
G10
SW5
N11
G14
W11
G14
S4
G8
SW7
W14
S7
G10
S6
NW11
N9
N4
N4
NW3

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Erie, Erie International Airport, PA55 mi71 minS 145.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist71°F66°F87%1004.7 hPa

Wind History from ERI (wind in knots)
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
Last 24hrS7S7S10
G19
S9SW11SW10
G18
SW12S13SW9S7S8S10S12S13S12S15S13S12SW11S12S10S14
G18
S12
G21
S14
1 day agoW8NW7W7W7W5NW8NW8NW8NW75NW5CalmCalmCalmS4S3S4S4S3S3S8S6S8S10
2 days agoW13
G19
W13
G23
W11
G24
W18
G23
W12
G23
W14
G24
W16
G22
W11
G18
W9W8SW4S5NW17
G27
CalmS7S6SW4S6S6S5SW5SW4SW3W5

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (10,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.