Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Glendale, OR
March 18, 2024 8:02 PM PDT (03:02 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:16 AM Sunset 7:25 PM Moonrise 11:53 AM Moonset 3:25 AM |
PZZ356 Coastal Waters From Cape Blanco Or To Pt. St. George Ca Out 10 Nm- 201 Pm Pdt Mon Mar 18 2024
Tonight - Northern portion, N wind 10 kt until early morning. Wind variable less than 5 kt late tonight. Brookings southward, sw wind 5 kt - .veering to nw early in the evening, then - . Becoming nw 5 kt late in the evening - .veering to ne after midnight. Wind waves nw 2 ft at 5 seconds. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 13 seconds. SWell and W 3 ft after midnight. Patchy dense fog.
Tue - Wind variable less than 5 kt - .becoming S 10 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Wind waves less than 2 ft. SWell W 5 to 6 ft at 14 seconds. Patchy dense fog in the morning.
Tue night - S wind 10 to 15 kt northern portion and S 5 to 15 kt brookings southward. Wind waves less than 2 ft - .becoming S 2 ft at 3 seconds after midnight. SWell W 5 to 6 ft at 14 seconds.
Wed - S wind 15 to 20 kt northern portion and S 10 to 20 kt brookings southward. Wind waves S 2 ft at 4 seconds. SWell W 4 to 5 ft at 13 seconds. Chance of showers through the day.
Wed night - S wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves sw 3 ft at 5 seconds. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 13 seconds. Chance of showers.
Thu - S wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves sw 2 ft at 4 seconds. SWell nw 4 ft at 12 seconds and W 2 to 3 ft at 17 seconds. Chance of showers.
Thu night - S wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves sw 2 ft at 4 seconds. SWell W 3 to 4 ft at 16 seconds and nw 3 ft at 12 seconds. Showers likely.
Fri - S wind 15 to 20 kt. Wind waves S 3 ft at 5 seconds. SWell W 4 ft at 15 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds.
Sat - S wind 15 to 20 kt - .veering to sw. Wind waves sw 3 ft at 5 seconds. W swell 3 ft at 13 seconds - .building to 5 ft at 12 seconds.
PZZ300 201 Pm Pdt Mon Mar 18 2024
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - .light winds and low swell will allow for calm seas to continue through the first half of the week. Active weather may return to marine waters with light showers as early as Wednesday, and a stronger system may build steep seas at the end of the week.
Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 182136 AFDMFR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 236 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
DISCUSSION
Southern Oregon and northern California will remain under the influence of high pressure through Tuesday. This generally means that the weather pattern will be a repeat of what was seen for the past few days: cool nights and warm and dry afternoons. The sky should remain cloud-free except for the marine stratus that arrives at night for the coast before burning off during the morning. Monday will likely be the warmest day of the bunch, with temperatures 10-15 degrees above normal for this time of year. Still records are not likely to be reached.
The pattern will begin to change on Wednesday with a weak pre- frontal disturbance trying to work its way though the area.
Ensembles and some of the deterministic models try to bring in some increased rain chances especially to the coast, and weirdly to the Mt. Shasta area. The Mt. Shasta area precipitation chances are largely convective based (showers). However, would expect this pattern more for the summer than mid March. Have decided to keep NBM PoPs which are less than 10%, as that is the most likely scenario here. Otherwise, some breezy winds can be expected with more moderated temperatures across the area.
This weak frontal disturbance will work to push the ridge of high pressure eastward allowing for a stronger parent low and attached frontal boundaries to arrive by the end of the week. Ensembles have increased precipitation amounts, especially Friday into the weekend. Snow levels will start around 5000 feet and hover between 4000 and 5000 feet through Saturday. Additional fronts brought by this parent low will eventually cause snow levels to fall to around 3000 feet by Sunday. With the high sun angle, am not as concerned about low elevation snow sticking to low passes, but the Cascades could see an abundance of snow at this point. In addition, these systems will bring breezy winds to southern Oregon and northern California, but the winds are not expected to be overly impactful at this point. Will need to continue monitoring things to see how the ensembles evolve, and have gone with the NBM for this cycle. -Schaaf
AVIATION
18/18Z TAFs...Atmospheric stability continues to support mostly VFR conditions across northern California and southern Oregon this morning. Marine stratus has settled over most of the Oregon coast, including at North Bend, with LIFR ceilings and visibilities.
Model guidance suggests that the stratus will break up enough for a short window of VFR conditions this afternoon, and breaks the stratus can already be seen on satellite as north winds pick up.
-Miles
MARINE
Updated 200 PM Monday, March 18, 2024...Light north winds and gentle west swell will continue today and as winds turn southerly Tuesday into Wednesday, low seas should remain. A weak front bringing that change back to southerly winds on Wednesday, may not produce steep seas, but some rain showers over the marine waters have a 30-50% chance of producing some light rain.
A more impactful system looks to arrive on Friday. The forecast is trending towards conditions conducive to steep seas, as southerly winds increase again. There remains a large amount of uncertainty for how big of swell train could follow this front. It will also remain rainy along the coast and the marine waters into, if not through, the weekend.
-Miles
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...None.
CA...None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 236 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
DISCUSSION
Southern Oregon and northern California will remain under the influence of high pressure through Tuesday. This generally means that the weather pattern will be a repeat of what was seen for the past few days: cool nights and warm and dry afternoons. The sky should remain cloud-free except for the marine stratus that arrives at night for the coast before burning off during the morning. Monday will likely be the warmest day of the bunch, with temperatures 10-15 degrees above normal for this time of year. Still records are not likely to be reached.
The pattern will begin to change on Wednesday with a weak pre- frontal disturbance trying to work its way though the area.
Ensembles and some of the deterministic models try to bring in some increased rain chances especially to the coast, and weirdly to the Mt. Shasta area. The Mt. Shasta area precipitation chances are largely convective based (showers). However, would expect this pattern more for the summer than mid March. Have decided to keep NBM PoPs which are less than 10%, as that is the most likely scenario here. Otherwise, some breezy winds can be expected with more moderated temperatures across the area.
This weak frontal disturbance will work to push the ridge of high pressure eastward allowing for a stronger parent low and attached frontal boundaries to arrive by the end of the week. Ensembles have increased precipitation amounts, especially Friday into the weekend. Snow levels will start around 5000 feet and hover between 4000 and 5000 feet through Saturday. Additional fronts brought by this parent low will eventually cause snow levels to fall to around 3000 feet by Sunday. With the high sun angle, am not as concerned about low elevation snow sticking to low passes, but the Cascades could see an abundance of snow at this point. In addition, these systems will bring breezy winds to southern Oregon and northern California, but the winds are not expected to be overly impactful at this point. Will need to continue monitoring things to see how the ensembles evolve, and have gone with the NBM for this cycle. -Schaaf
AVIATION
18/18Z TAFs...Atmospheric stability continues to support mostly VFR conditions across northern California and southern Oregon this morning. Marine stratus has settled over most of the Oregon coast, including at North Bend, with LIFR ceilings and visibilities.
Model guidance suggests that the stratus will break up enough for a short window of VFR conditions this afternoon, and breaks the stratus can already be seen on satellite as north winds pick up.
-Miles
MARINE
Updated 200 PM Monday, March 18, 2024...Light north winds and gentle west swell will continue today and as winds turn southerly Tuesday into Wednesday, low seas should remain. A weak front bringing that change back to southerly winds on Wednesday, may not produce steep seas, but some rain showers over the marine waters have a 30-50% chance of producing some light rain.
A more impactful system looks to arrive on Friday. The forecast is trending towards conditions conducive to steep seas, as southerly winds increase again. There remains a large amount of uncertainty for how big of swell train could follow this front. It will also remain rainy along the coast and the marine waters into, if not through, the weekend.
-Miles
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...None.
CA...None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...None.
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Wedderburn
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:01 AM PDT 3.51 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:28 AM PDT Moonset
Mon -- 06:50 AM PDT 5.80 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:23 AM PDT Sunrise
Mon -- 12:58 PM PDT Moonrise
Mon -- 02:37 PM PDT 0.34 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:28 PM PDT Sunset
Mon -- 09:44 PM PDT 4.77 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:01 AM PDT 3.51 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:28 AM PDT Moonset
Mon -- 06:50 AM PDT 5.80 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:23 AM PDT Sunrise
Mon -- 12:58 PM PDT Moonrise
Mon -- 02:37 PM PDT 0.34 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:28 PM PDT Sunset
Mon -- 09:44 PM PDT 4.77 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Wedderburn, Rogue River, Oregon, Tide feet
12 am |
3.6 |
1 am |
3.5 |
2 am |
3.6 |
3 am |
4 |
4 am |
4.6 |
5 am |
5.2 |
6 am |
5.7 |
7 am |
5.8 |
8 am |
5.5 |
9 am |
4.9 |
10 am |
4 |
11 am |
2.9 |
12 pm |
1.8 |
1 pm |
0.9 |
2 pm |
0.4 |
3 pm |
0.4 |
4 pm |
0.8 |
5 pm |
1.6 |
6 pm |
2.5 |
7 pm |
3.5 |
8 pm |
4.2 |
9 pm |
4.7 |
10 pm |
4.8 |
11 pm |
4.5 |
Port Orford
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:44 AM PDT 4.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:30 AM PDT Moonset
Mon -- 06:43 AM PDT 6.65 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:23 AM PDT Sunrise
Mon -- 12:57 PM PDT Moonrise
Mon -- 02:30 PM PDT 0.49 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:28 PM PDT Sunset
Mon -- 09:50 PM PDT 5.38 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:44 AM PDT 4.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:30 AM PDT Moonset
Mon -- 06:43 AM PDT 6.65 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:23 AM PDT Sunrise
Mon -- 12:57 PM PDT Moonrise
Mon -- 02:30 PM PDT 0.49 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:28 PM PDT Sunset
Mon -- 09:50 PM PDT 5.38 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Port Orford, Oregon, Tide feet
12 am |
4.4 |
1 am |
4.3 |
2 am |
4.5 |
3 am |
5 |
4 am |
5.5 |
5 am |
6.1 |
6 am |
6.5 |
7 am |
6.6 |
8 am |
6.3 |
9 am |
5.5 |
10 am |
4.5 |
11 am |
3.2 |
12 pm |
2 |
1 pm |
1.1 |
2 pm |
0.6 |
3 pm |
0.6 |
4 pm |
1 |
5 pm |
1.9 |
6 pm |
2.9 |
7 pm |
4 |
8 pm |
4.8 |
9 pm |
5.3 |
10 pm |
5.4 |
11 pm |
5.2 |
Medford, OR,
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