Thursday, May23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Glendale, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:42AMSunset 8:37PM Thursday May 23, 2019 4:52 PM PDT (23:52 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 8:52AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ310 Coos bay bar- coastal waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca out 10 nm- waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca from 10 to 60 nm- 134 pm pdt Wed may 29 2013 a long-duration moderate to strong north wind event is expected to last from this weekend into early next week. Winds should begin to increase Friday into Saturday...peaking Sunday with storm force wind gusts possible. Very steep and hazardous waves will accompany this wind event and mariners should prepare for dangerous conditions at sea. The strongest winds and highest seas will occur beyond 5 nm from shore.
PZZ300 217 Pm Pdt Thu May 23 2019
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..Gusty north winds and steep to very steep wind-driven seas will continue across the waters through this evening. Strongest winds are expected from gold beach south and steepest seas are expected south of brookings beyond 5 nm from shore. Then fresh swell and wind seas will bring continued steep seas across the waters tonight through Saturday morning and areas of gusty north winds will continued south of gold beach. Conditions will improve late Saturday, then north winds are possible again on Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Glendale, OR
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location: 42.72, -123.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 232146
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
246 pm pdt Thu may 23 2019

Discussion We know there are lots of folks planning outdoor
activities this holiday weekend, so we spent a good bit of effort
coordinating our forecast ideas today for the Friday through
Monday time period.

The rest of today will be relatively quiet with a few showers moving
through lake and modoc counties under the continued influence from
the upper low over the great basin. In the umpqua basin and towards
the coast, light rain is possible again due to some weak energy
aloft and continued deep marine layer. That rain chance continues
overnight.

Weather will be mostly dry Friday with afternoon temperatures
similar to Thursday. Low pressure will be moving south towards the
area from washington, but it will be too distant to cause
significant weather impacts to our forecast area with the exception
of the umpqua basin and coast where rain chances will continue. On
Saturday conditions will begin to change. The low to the north will
be closer, and the air mass will cool significantly. Temperatures
Saturday will be about 10 degrees cooler than Friday. Clouds will
increase as the low approaches and rain will move into the area from
north to south. After a mostly dry first part of the day for the
roseburg and the coos county coast, rain should reach there in the
early afternoon. Latest data suggests rain affects the rest of the
forecast area between 5pm and 10pm and then continues overnight.

Snow levels late Saturday into Sunday morning will dip into the
crater lake level (between 6000 and 7000 feet), so those traveling
to the high mountains this weekend should be prepared for some cold
if not wintry conditions.

On Sunday the low will be over central or northern california (model
guidance has some spread), and there will be favorable dynamics and
moisture to support more rain over at least the southeastern half of
the forecast area. This would include areas from medford south and
east towards lake and modoc counties. Gfs20 forecast lifted index
values of near zero along and east of the cascades support a slight
chance of thunderstorms there Sunday afternoon. If the low hangs a
little farther north, like the ec operational model shows, then the
thunderstorm chances could extend westward to valleys west of the
cascades. Keene
Monday through Thursday... Memorial day could start out dry for
most locations west of the cascades in the morning. It could
actually be perceived as a nice day in the morning hours. However
from late morning through the afternoon, we'll see building clouds
with a chance for afternoon showers and a slight chance for
thunderstorms. Not everyone will get showers, but if you have any
outdoor plans, be prepared for changing weather conditions.

East of the cascades, clouds cover could be more extensive and there
is a better chance for showers. This is because the upper low is
expected to set up southeast of our area and there is concern we
could be caught up in some wraparound moisture. It this turns out to
be the case, then we'll have a higher chance for showers pretty much
all day with the highest chance for showers in the afternoon and
evening.

The upper should finally move far enough away where we could end up
with drier and milder conditions next Tuesday, but weak troughing
will remain over the area, so could not rule out isolated showers
mainly east of the cascades Tuesday afternoon.

Wednesday and Thursday should be mostly dry and milder. Any isolated
showers should be confined to northern california Wednesday
afternoon and east of the cascades Thursday afternoon.

-petrucelli

Aviation For the 23 18z tafs... Along the coast and over the
coastal waters... Widespread ifr CIGS will persist through tonight
with patchy drizzle and fog, except south of CAPE blanco and 5-10
miles offshore whereVFR conditions will prevail. Coastal terrain
will become obscured overnight as clouds move further inland.

Inland areas west of the cascades...VFR conditions will prevail
through this evening, except for areas of late night into Friday
morning ifr MVFR cigs, mostly over the umpqua basin. Mountain
obscuration is also expected tonight, especially over northwest-
facing terrain.

From the cascades east... MostlyVFR conditions are expected through
Friday morning, but there will be isolated to scattered showers
mainly over lake and modoc counties. Keene

Marine Updated 200 pm pdt Thursday 23 may 2019... Offshore high
pressure and coastal thermal trough pattern will continue into
Friday evening. Strong north winds are expected through this
evening from gold beach south ,roughly 3 to 5 nm away from shore
today. Strongest winds are expected south of brookings from 5 to 25
nm from shore this afternoon and evening with occasional gusts to 35
kt. Fresh swell and wind waves will combine to bring steep and
choppy hazardous seas across most the waters with very steep
hazardous seas for areas south of brookings between 5 to 25 nm from
shore. North winds and seas will decrease slightly tonight but
expect continued small craft advisory level winds south of gold
beach through Friday evening and steep hazardous seas across most
all the waters.

A cold front will move into the waters Friday night into Saturday,
bringing a steep fresh swell into the area. Wave heights will be
around 9 to 10 feet at 10 seconds when this front moves through.

Seas will gradually lower late Saturday. A period of increased north
winds and steep seas is possible on Sunday. Then as weak high
pressure builds into the region expect light seas to develop Monday.

-cc

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... None.

Ca... None.

Pacific coastal waters... Small craft advisory until 11 am pdt Saturday for
pzz350-356-370-376.

Hazardous seas warning until 11 pm pdt this evening for
pzz356-376.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORO3 - 9431647 - Port Orford, OR 61 mi41 min NW 15 G 22 58°F 52°F1017.2 hPa

Wind History for Port Orford, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sexton Summit, OR7 mi1.9 hrsVar 510.00 miLight Rain59°F48°F67%1013.4 hPa

Wind History from SXT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr333Calm4N8
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1 day agoS6SW6S5Calm--3--Calm3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm35Calm--N74NW4
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S8S7S7S8--S84SW3SE3

Tide / Current Tables for Wedderburn, Rogue River, Oregon
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Wedderburn
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Thu -- 12:28 AM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:46 AM PDT     5.89 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:48 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:57 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 10:06 AM PDT     -0.52 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:00 PM PDT     4.95 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:40 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:09 PM PDT     2.97 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.35.15.75.95.54.63.420.7-0.2-0.5-0.30.51.72.944.754.84.33.73.233.1

Tide / Current Tables for Port Orford, Oregon
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Port Orford
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:29 AM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:44 AM PDT     6.85 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:48 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:57 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 09:59 AM PDT     -0.50 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:01 PM PDT     5.69 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:41 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:58 PM PDT     3.66 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.26.16.76.86.45.33.82.20.8-0.2-0.5-0.20.82.13.54.75.45.75.554.33.83.73.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.