Thursday, January18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Union Springs, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:30AMSunset 5:03PM Thursday January 18, 2018 8:29 AM EST (13:29 UTC) Moonrise 8:27AMMoonset 6:42PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 341 Am Est Thu Jan 18 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through late Saturday night...
Today..West winds 15 to 25 knots. A chance of snow showers from late morning on. Waves 5 to 9 feet subsiding to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Tonight..West winds 15 to 25 knots. Snow showers likely. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Friday..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. A chance of snow showers in the morning. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Saturday..Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west 15 to 25 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 5 to 9 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Sunday..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain and snow Sunday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Monday..Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest. Rain likely. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. The water temperature off rochester is 35 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201801181615;;623156 FZUS51 KBUF 180841 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 341 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-181615-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Union Springs, NY
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location: 42.85, -76.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 181151
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
651 am est Thu jan 18 2018

Synopsis
A mainly dry period is forecast through the weekend along with
moderating temperatures. This weekend, high temperatures will
be in the lower to middle 40s.

Near term through Friday
2 am update...

mostly benign weather this period with only some light lake
effect in the far north. Slow moderating temperatures.

Clear skies, fresh snow, and light to calm winds have allowed
much of the area to drop into the single digits early this
morning.

Today westerly flow across lake ontario has set up a band of low
clouds extending south into northern oneida county. This will
shift south further into syracuse and utica. For now little
precipitation with this band. Weak PVA comes through this
afternoon setting off some light snow showers mostly in northern
oneida county. A better short wave drops through quickly this
evening. Moisture is only up to 5k feet today to Friday. Into
this evening the dendrite zone is in this layer enhancing snow
amounts, but with little lift snow amounts will only be an inch
or two. Low level flow will continue to be from the west and
northwest late tonight and Friday but the dendrite zone is well
above the shallow moisture and warm air advection starts. Bottom
line is flurries and clouds Friday despite another short wave.

Late Friday upper level heights rise and low level flow shifts
to the southwest shifting the clouds and flurries north out of
the cwa.

As with typical lake effect nepa and elmira will be sunnier,
drier, and warmer. Much of this area will be partly cloudy or
mostly sunny. Highs today here in the mid and upper 20s but low
20s syracuse to catskills. Tonight's lows in the teens with more
clouds. Friday highs low 30s syracuse to catskills and mid 30s
elmira to wilkes-barre.

Short term Friday night
3 am update...

fairly quiet weather conditions expected this weekend with a
weak area of high pressure in place within a relatively mild air
mass. Temperatures Saturday and Sunday will be well above normal
with highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s... And overnight lows
in the 20s. The next system to watch will be encroaching from
the west later in the day Sunday with increasing cloud cover and
potentially a few rain and or snow showers in the finger lakes.

Long term Saturday through Wednesday
3 am update...

a strong low pressure system will be developing in the mid ms
valley region Sunday night and Monday morning with a warm front
extending ewd through the SRN great lakes into parts of ny pa.

May see a few rain snow showers into Monday morning, but at this
time a limited amt of moisture will keep precip amts on the
light side. There are some timing differences among model
guidance with the GFS being the fastest and the cmc and ecmwf
being about 6-12 hrs slower with the sfc low track E newd
through the great lakes into quebec Tuesday and tues night.

However, there is some consensus that a warm air mass will lift
nwd ahead of the system, which will allow temperatures to climb
into the lower to mid 40s Mon and tue. This will allow the
precip to change to all rain during the day and possibly mix
with a bit of snow at night. The timing of the cold front
associated with the low will be the main question as to when the
rain changes back to snow and temperatures fall back to normal.

The latest GFS pushes the cold air in Tue morning, but the
non-u.S. Models bring it in during the afternoon evening hours
tue. Tuesday night much of the area will be cold air advecting
with some lake enhanced snow showers and temperatures back into
the 20s. Wednesday will be more like winter with highs in the
upper 20s and lower 30s... Gusty NW winds and lake effect snow
showers.

Aviation 12z Thursday through Monday
630 am update...

vfr conditions nepa and south central ny. Lake effect clouds
just north of rme will shift back south late morning with MVFR
cigs starting around 15z. No movement yet with flurries in the
st lawrence valley. It might fall to fuel alternate MVFR this
afternoon into tonight but confidence not high so left out.

Flurries are possible but not expected to drop the vsbys. Syr
will also get into the MVFR CIGS around 17z but could be later.

Tonight some lowVFR CIGS possible at bgm ith.

Light southwest winds early this morning will become west at 10
kts during the day then fall pack to 5 to 10 kts this evening,
then light and variable late tonight.

Outlook...

Friday... GenerallyVFR conditions expected. Some localized
restrictions in snow showers possible rme syr.

Saturday Sunday Monday... PrimarilyVFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Tac
near term... Tac
short term... Bjt
long term... Bjt
aviation... Tac


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 43 mi41 min S 14 G 18 17°F 1017.2 hPa6°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 56 mi29 min WSW 11 G 17 19°F 1018.6 hPa (+0.0)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 57 mi41 min 19°F 1018.2 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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G32
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G39
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Penn Yan, Penn Yan Airport, NY24 mi36 minSW 1010.00 miFair15°F1°F53%1018.7 hPa

Wind History from PEO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW10SW10SW8W7W7W7W6W7W8SW7SW6SW10SW8S9S9S9SW9SW10S7S7SW4SW8SW8SW10
1 day agoSW9SW10SW7SW6S4S5S33CalmCalmCalmNW3NE3NE3CalmNW6NW10NW4NW5W9SW8SW10SW7SW7
2 days agoCalmW3SE11Calm3SE6SE10SE7SE9SE6S8S8S3S3SW5S9S10S8S8S8S7SW8S9S9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.