Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Union Springs, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:27AMSunset 8:51PM Monday June 26, 2017 11:48 PM EDT (03:48 UTC) Moonrise 7:27AMMoonset 10:00PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 1053 Am Edt Mon Jun 26 2017
Rest of today..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of waterspouts overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Tuesday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening... Then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers and Thunderstorms during the day...then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms Thursday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..West winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day...then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms Friday night. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LOZ044 Expires:201706262115;;852391 FZUS51 KBUF 261453 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1053 AM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ044-045-262115-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Union Springs, NY
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location: 42.85, -76.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 270016
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
816 pm edt Mon jun 26 2017

Synopsis
The cool air will continue through tomorrow as an upper low
moves slowly through the great lakes. This will keep a chance of
showers, mainly in the afternoon, into Tuesday. Drier and warmer
weather will return on Wednesday.

Near term through Tuesday night
815 pm update...

shower and thunderstorm activity will slide east and rapidly
diminish over the next 1-2 hours. Patchy river valley fog will
develop late due to partial clearing and light near-surface
winds.

Temperatures fell rapidly into the mid-50s behind the last push
of showers. An additional 5-7 f drop is forecast overnight.

4 pm update...

trough axis will remain west of the area through Tuesday so
increasingly cooler air will advecting in aloft. So, expect
little change in the weather Tuesday with afternoon showers and
thunderstorms tied to heating. Once again, best chance will be
in the northern zones, closer to the cool air aloft, and along
the lake convergence zones.

Tonight, some valley fog seems likely, especially in those areas
that get a late day shower. Skies will clear allowing temps to
drop back back down to around 50f in rural areas.

Short term Wednesday through Thursday night
320 pm edt update...

the upper-lvl trough will be push off to the east and anti-cyclonic
flow will shift over the region. The outer edge of the mid-lvl ridge
will try and build over the region on Monday. A wave will travel
along the outer edge of this mid-lvl ridge and may produce a few
showers along the far northern portions of the cwa. Mainly madison
and oneida counties and the best chance for precip will be the
morning and early afternoon. This weather pattern will bring a brief
break to much of the area with temperatures widespread in the
70s across nepa and central ny. Wed night temps will fall into
the low mid 50s.

However dry weather will be very short lived as the next system
to impact the region will start to move into the area on
Thursday. Showers and thunderstorms could start as early as
Thursday morning. The ECMWF is slightly faster with the start
time of the precip than time than the gfs. But both models have
widespread showers by thurs afternoon. Temps thurs looks to be
more near the seasonal norm. Precip may linger through the
night.

Long term Friday through Monday
320 pm edt update...

sw flow aloft will prevail through most of the forecast period.

Multiple shortwaves are forecast to move across the region
through the period. This type of pattern will lead to an
unsettled weather, thus there is a chance for precip Friday
through Sunday. We may see another break in the pattern on
Monday which may bring us a couple days of dry weather.

It needs to be emphasized that although at least a chance of
showers storms will be in the forecast through this period, any
all-day washouts look highly unlikely, with significant rain-
free periods, and convective chances greater coincident with
peak heating during the afternoon early evening hours.

Friday-Monday, look for highs in the upper 70s-low 80s.

Aviation 00z Tuesday through Saturday
Scattered convection currently across the area will diminish by
02z. Primarily unrestricted showers thunderstorms will be
possible until 02z at ksyr krme kbgm. Late this evening skies
will scatter out with valley fog possible at kelm beginning
around 09z. Confidence on valley fog at kelm not real high so
will call it MVFR for now. Upper level trough and associated
mid level way combined with diurnal heating will lead to more
showers and thunderstorms late Tuesday morning through the
afternoon. Covered this in the TAF by including unrestricted
showers for all sites but kavp.

Light and variable winds becoming southwest Tuesday morning
around 5-10 knots shifting to the west during the afternoon at
8-12 knots.

Outlook...

Tuesday night Wednesday...VFR.

Thursday through Saturday... Restrictions likely in showers and
thunderstorms.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Dgm
near term... Dgm djp
short term... Kah
long term... Kah
aviation... Rrm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 43 mi49 min S 6 G 8 59°F 1014.4 hPa (+0.4)53°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 56 mi49 min SSW 6 G 8 60°F 1014.9 hPa (+0.0)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 57 mi49 min 56°F 1014.1 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Penn Yan, Penn Yan Airport, NY24 mi56 minS 710.00 miFair56°F50°F81%1015.3 hPa

Wind History from PEO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3SW7S7SW5SW6S7S6S7S6W9W11W11W9
G17
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W9S7SW6SW7SW15
G21
SW6S6S5S7
1 day agoSW4S4SW5SW6SW5S7S4S5S5W11W13SW12W7SW8SW11W9W11W7
G15
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2 days agoSW6S6S6W6NW16
G25
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NW8NW10
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W4CalmSW3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.