Sunrise 5:52 AM   Sunset 8:05 PM Moonrise 1:49 AM   Moonset 11:09 AM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall

LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 431 Am Edt Wed May 1 2024
Today - North winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Patchy fog this morning. Waves 1 foot or less. Tonight - Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. Thursday - West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet. Thursday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less. Friday - East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of showers Friday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Saturday - Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then showers likely Saturday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Sunday - South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely during the day, then a chance of showers Sunday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

LOZ005
No data

FXUS61 KBGM 011958 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 358 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dry weather has returned thru Friday. Temperatures will remain above average for early May.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
200 PM Update...

Clouds are slowly dissipating early this afternoon as drier air mixes into the boundary layer from aloft. Clear to mostly clear skies are expected tonight as a surface high slides off to the east. Southerly winds will pick up overnight and with dry air mixing in, decided to keep fog out of the grids for the overnight hours. A cold front moving through as a weak low passes through to the north early tomorrow morning with sprinkles added to much of CNY as the front should be mostly dry but a few isolated showers can not be ruled out.

Ridging begins to build in tomorrow with NW flow advecting in cooler air so highs will be a little cooler than today. Dry weather will continue through Thursday night with the ridge axis approaching.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
350 PM Update...

Quiet weather will remain in place Friday with upper level ridging in place. Light southerly flow and warm advection will lead to a warmer day for most in the afternoon with highs in the 70s. Surface high pressure will be shifting to the east during the afternoon and evening giving way to a front approaching from the west. This will bring a chance of showers to the area Saturday, with showers becoming more likely (55-70%) Saturday afternoon and night. With the increase in clouds and showers, it will turn cooler Saturday with highs in the 60s. Lows Saturday night will be largely in the 40s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
350 PM Update...

Showers remain likely into Sunday, especially through early afternoon, as the front mentioned above continues to slowly press eastward. This will keep conditions cool with highs in the 50s and 60s. Another front approaching from the west will keep a slight chance of showers around into Sunday night. However, the main upper support with this feature is expected to pass by off to our north leading to more isolated activity.

Temperatures will be back on the rise again Monday through midweek, making a return to the 70s. Weak surface high pressure does work its way back into the area Monday leading to a largely dry day. A warm front looks to move in from the south and west and into our area Tuesday into Wednesday bringing a chance of showers and perhaps some rumbles of thunder.

AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Ceilings have largely scattered out with SYR and RME trying to hold on to them but given dry air mixing in, the MVFR cigs will likely scatter out by 19Z. High pressure in place will keep VFR conditions at all terminals through the rest of the afternoon and overnight hours. ELM has a low chance of fog tonight with a cold front approaches and helps keep the low levels mixed. There is not much moisture with the frontal passage so cigs will stay high and little to no precipitation keeps vis above 6 miles.

Outlook...

Thursday...VFR Likely.

Friday...Mainly VFR, but late day showers/t'storms possible.

Saturday into Monday...Restrictions possible in showers and thunderstorms.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Montague, NY,