Thursday, March23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Constableville, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 7:19PM Thursday March 23, 2017 2:07 AM EDT (06:07 UTC) Moonrise 3:26AMMoonset 1:34PM Illumination 20% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 138 Am Edt Thu Mar 23 2017
Overnight..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday night..South winds 5 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..South winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Rain with possible sleet with snow and freezing rain likely in the morning...then rain in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet...then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Rain. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Rain likely with a chance of freezing rain during the day...then a chance of rain and freezing rain Saturday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Rain with a chance of freezing rain. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Rain likely with a chance of freezing rain during the day...then a chance of rain Monday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
LOZ045 Expires:201703230915;;935950 FZUS51 KBUF 230538 NSHBUF NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 138 AM EDT THU MAR 23 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LOZ045-230915-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Constableville, NY
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location: 43.54, -75.64     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 230529
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
129 am edt Thu mar 23 2017

Synopsis
High pressure building eastward will cause very cold conditions
overnight yet also somewhat milder temperatures Thursday. A
storm system over the central plains will bring a wintry mix
Friday morning and rain showers for the remainder of the
weekend.

Near term /through today/
730 pm update...

forecast on track. Adjusted minimum temperatures a touch lower
for our typical radiational cooling spots where decoupling of
wind will occur, based on trend of latest guidance, but very
little change overall. Though still a few to several degrees
away from records for syracuse and avoca, the comparatively
shorter climatology period for binghamton also leads to easier-
to-achieve daily records as is the case tonight. Daily record
low for march 23 is 9 degrees set in 1959; we may tie or barely
break it tonight for binghamton.

Previous discussion...

at 155 pm, the last of the lake effect flurries is drying up at
this time as high pressure builds eastward and winds shift.

Winds will diminish overnight, allowing temperatures to fall
into the single digits, especially east of i-81.

A sizable change in temperature is forecast for Thursday, as
925mb temps rise from -13c to -4c between sunrise and sunset.

Given the day length and strong march sun, mid-30s seems awfully
cold. We edged above super blend guidance again to account for
potential temperature upside.

Warm air surging above the colder surface early Friday will
cause pockets of freezing rain. With surface temperatures likely
rising after midnight, we believe any freezing rain will be
light and short-lived.

Short term /tonight through Saturday/
A complex system and tricky forecast in the short term as warm
air and moisture push up into the area behind a blocking high
over new england. Upper confluent flow helps build the surface
high off the coast keeping the cold air in place. This allows
for the chance of some freezing rain into Friday morning before
a big push later in the day pushes the cold air to the east.

Warm front becomes stationary somewhere over central new york
into Saturday before it stops dropping south as a back door
cold front. This makes the temperature and precipitation
forecast difficult as the exact position of the front and
temperatures that go with it difficult pinpoint. In any case.

Looks like a rain event in the west and south through the
period, with a chance of freezing rain at times to the north and
east.

Long term /Saturday night through Wednesday/
Old frontal boundary begins to lift north once again Saturday
night and Sunday as the surface low pushes into the central
lakes. This will continue the chance of showers in the area with
slowly rising temperatures. Upper ridge is slow to move so the
result will be a continuing period of light rain into Monday as
the low advances into western new york.

Timing is tricky bit some drying possible late Monday into early
Tuesday before another short wave swings into western new york
late in the day Tuesday.

Aviation /06z Thursday through Monday/
Vfr conditions will prevail over the region for the next 24
hours as high pressure controls the weather. Winds will be
light and variable through the period with mostly clear skies
through 00z Friday. After 00z Friday, surface high pressure
will start to shift to the southeast and mid-lvl clouds will
start to move into the region from the west.

Outlook...

Friday... Restrictions likely in rain, possibly starting as
brief freezing rain in the morning.

Saturday through Monday... Restrictions likely in rain. Some
freezing rain also possible Saturday night ksyr-krme, and
Sunday night for krme.

Bgm watches/warnings/advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Djp/mdp
near term... Djp/mdp
short term... Dgm
long term... Dgm
aviation... Kah


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 46 mi49 min NNW 16 G 22 26°F 1032.9 hPa6°F
OBGN6 - 8311030 - Ogdensburg, NY 81 mi49 min 19°F 1032.6 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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N21
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N14
G20
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S5
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W24
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W8
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G10
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G11
W8
W3
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N2
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NE1
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY24 mi14 minNNW 410.00 miFair9°F3°F77%1033.7 hPa

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW19
G28
NW17N19
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NW22NW20NW18
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W17NW14W17NW12W7NW7NW5NW5NW4N4
1 day agoE4N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3N4NW4W12
G18
W9W8W6NW6CalmCalmE3W16
G24
W10W10W13W15
G20
2 days agoCalmCalmN4N3CalmCalmE4SE4W3W3W5W7W7W6W4SW5W7W5NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.