Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Rochester, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:11AMSunset 8:39PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 1:26 AM EDT (05:26 UTC) Moonrise 10:26AMMoonset 11:59PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rochester, VT
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location: 43.93, -72.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 280245
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
1045 pm edt Tue jun 27 2017

Synopsis
The showers and thunderstorms end tonight and much of the area
will be dry on Wednesday with just the possibility of some
showers up along the international border. Below normal
temperatures will continue through midweek but a warmer and
wetter pattern sets up for the rest of the week and into the
weekend.

Near term until 11 am Wednesday morning
As of 1026 pm edt Tuesday... Most of the showers have now moved
out of the area, no significant precipitation is expected with
chance for showers dropping off through the overnight. Will
probably see some fog around, especially in areas which had rain
today. Previous discussion follows.

The radar continues to see scattered showers and thunderstorms
across the north country. The lack of much surface instability
has limited how tall the storms have been capable of growing
however with low freezing levels and advancing cold pool aloft
anticipate a continued small hail threat through the evening
hours.

The showers will end this evening as we lose what little diurnal
driven heat warmed the area to the upper 60s. High pressure will
build in behind the upper level shortwave as it exits the
region this evening and Wednesday. There may be some residual
energy that holds on along the international border so I could
see some isolated showers that develop in the afternoon but
otherwise it should be a pleasant day tomorrow with highs in the
lower 70s.

Short term 11 am Wednesday morning through Thursday night
As of 233 pm edt Tuesday... As the weak ridge continues
to build into region anticipate any residual showers to come to
an end. With high pressure aloft it should be a relatively
quiet night. Unfortunately that quiet weather will end as we
start to see a return towards a more active period. Low pressure
moving through the great lakes will push a west east oriented
warm front over the region. Showers develop along the boundary
across northern new york during the morning, and become
widespread across the entire forecast area through the afternoon
and into Thursday night. Composites charts indicate that the
combination of forcing lift shear instability isn't quite
aligned so we may or may not see much widespread thunder.

However given continuity I went ahead and continued to include
mention of isolated thunderstorms on Thursday generally along
the southern tier where instability will be highest.

Long term Friday through Tuesday
As of 233 pm edt Tuesday... As we head into the weekend the
biggest threat will be the continued active weather. We are
currently already an 1.5 inches above normal for the month and
nearly 6 inches above normal of precip for the year. With
continued active weather and more rain on the way hydro impacts
come straight to my mind. Friday night and Saturday will see
several waves of low pressure riding along a stalled frontal
boundary to our west will provide ample instability for showers
and thunderstorms along with additional moisture and pwats
surging to 1.5-2". While the exact timing of each individual
wave is difficult at this time, confidence is high we'll see
periods of heavy rain with rainfall amounts in the 1-2" range
on top of the 1" we're likely to see on Thursday. Considering
how wet area soils are already, this could be the tipping point
to realize flash flood potential and bears watching through the
week.

Sunday remains showery, especially across northern areas as the
parent upper trough and surface cold front look to swings through
the region, with quieter and drier conditions expected Monday post
fropa.

Aviation 03z Wednesday through Sunday
Through 00z Thursday... Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
continue moving southwest to northeast across the entire area
until 02z. These storms will have the potential for gusty winds,
generally up to 20-30kts and small hail. Visibilities in the
strongest storms will drop to 3-4sm and have mainly covered this
with tempos. So i've continued the previous forecasters idea
using a tempo group to handle the storms with vicinity showers
elsewhere and amendments for TS when needed. Any showers and
storms will quickly be ending between 00z and 04z. ExpectVFR
conditions through the period... With localized MVFR ifr
conditions near the showers and storms and possibly some br at
slk tonight. Winds will generally be from the south and
southwest through the period.

Outlook...

Wednesday night:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Thursday:VFR. Likely shra.

Thursday night: MVFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Friday:VFR MVFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Friday night:VFR MVFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Saturday:VFR MVFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Saturday night:VFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Sunday:VFR. Chance shra... Slight chance tsra.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Deal
near term... Deal neiles
short term... Deal
long term... Deal
aviation... Deal neiles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Barre / Montpelier, Knapp State Airport, VT26 mi35 minSW 410.00 miOvercast50°F50°F100%1016 hPa

Wind History from MPV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmSW4CalmS7S11SE5S9S7SE11S4S10S10S10
G20
W4SW5N3CalmS4SE4E3S3SW4
1 day agoW7
G15
CalmCalmS4S4Calm5NW10NW5N6--NW5NW75W4N5CalmCalmS4SW6SW6CalmW3E4
2 days agoS4SW4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmN45NW7SW5N3W45N5SE5E3NW10E3S43S3N4SW8
G15

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Wed -- 03:26 AM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:08 AM EDT     5.43 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:04 PM EDT     -0.54 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:37 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:49 PM EDT     4.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.31.50.80.10.11.32.94.255.45.14.12.9210-0.5-01.32.73.74.44.74.2

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:16 AM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:00 AM EDT     5.27 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:54 PM EDT     -0.70 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:41 PM EDT     4.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
21.30.5-0.20.11.434.255.34.93.82.61.70.7-0.3-0.7-01.42.73.74.44.53.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.