Friday, June22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pilgrim, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:06AMSunset 8:39PM Friday June 22, 2018 9:46 PM CDT (02:46 UTC) Moonrise 3:12PMMoonset 2:01AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ366 Lake Michigan From Seul Choix Point To Rock Island Passage 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South Of A Line From Seul Choix Point To The Mackinac Bridge And North Of A Line From Charlevoix Mi To South Fox Island 5 Nm Offshore- Lake Michigan From Charlevoix To Point Betsie Mi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Point Betsie To Manistee Mi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Rock Island Passage To Sturgeon Bay Wi- Lake Michigan From Sturgeon Bay To Two Rivers Wi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Two Rivers To Sheboygan Wi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Pentwater To Manistee Mi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- 825 Pm Cdt Fri Jun 22 2018 Sheboygan Wi To Pentwater Mi North...
Rest of tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft subsiding to 1 to 3 ft.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 3 ft.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 kt becoming north. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sunday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 kt becoming north. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sunday night..North winds 10 to 15 kt becoming northeast. Waves 1 to 3 ft.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 15 to 25 kt. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 4 to 6 ft occasionally to 8 ft.
LMZ366 Expires:201806230930;;960646 FZUS63 KLOT 230125 GLFLM OPEN LAKE FORECAST for Lake Michigan National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL 825 PM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018 FOR WATERS BEYOND FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON Lake Michigan. Waves are provided as a range of significant wave heights, which is the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave, along with the average height of the highest 10% of the waves which will occasionally be encountered. .SYNOPSIS...Low pressure of 29.6 inches over east central Indiana will move to near Detroit by Saturday afternoon, and then slowly east on Sunday. Meanwhile, a ridge of high pressure averaging 29.9 inches will remain stretched from the northern Great Lakes to New England through early Saturday. A cold front will move south across the region Saturday night with high pressure of 30.2 inches moving across the Great Lakes on Monday. LMZ261-362-364-366-563-565-567-868-230930-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pilgrim, MI
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location: 44.69, -86.75     debug


Area Discussion for - Green Bay, WI
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Fxus63 kgrb 222338
afdgrb
area forecast discussion
national weather service green bay wi
638 pm cdt Fri jun 22 2018
updated aviation portion for 00z TAF issuance

Short term Tonight and Saturday
issued at 315 pm cdt Fri jun 22 2018
as the main system of interest stays to our south and east, this
places the main forecast on temperatures over the next 24 hours.

The 19z msas surface analysis showed an area of low pressure over
east-central il west-central in. High pressure stretched from the
northern sections of the great lakes eastward to new england. The
northern extent of rain showers continued to brush southeast wi,
while the northwest half of wi was mostly sunny with only high
clouds.

The low pressure is forecast to move northeast into eastern
sections of the great lakes (vicinity southeast lower mi) tonight.

A large band of spiraling showers will continue to rotate around
the surface low, but remain south of the forecast area. Therefore,
have kept a dry forecast intact with more clouds south less clouds
north. Temperatures aloft appear similar to last night, thus
surface temperatures should be similar for tonight. This would
take readings down into the middle 40s to lower 50s north, lower
to middle 50s south.

Even though the low pressure will continue to move away from
northeast wi on Saturday, there is still a general weak upper
trough left behind with weak shortwaves in our general vicinity.

The atmosphere over wi remains fairly dry (dew points in the 50s),
therefore anticipate only a variety of clouds across the forecast
area including the development of some fair weather cumulus.

Under partly cloudy skies, look for MAX temperatures to range from
around 70 degrees near lake mi, mainly upper 70s to around 80
degrees elsewhere.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
issued at 315 pm cdt Fri jun 22 2018
the main forecast concerns during this part of the forecast
continue to be timing of precipitation chances.

The past couple of days the models were showing chance or slight
chance pops in part of central wisconsin Sunday afternoon and
today's pops are higher and more widespread. This makes sense
given the fact that a cold front is expected to push through the
area and there is some mid level short wave energy.

A significant mid level trough and a surface system approaching
from the plains will bring chances for showers and thunderstorms
starting late Monday and continuing into Wednesday morning as
these features depart the region. There is another chance for
showers and storms late Thursday and Friday but confidence level
is considerably lower with this event since models start to go
their own way by late next week.

The passing cold front will bring cooler than normal highs to the
area for Monday, but a general warming trend is forecast through
the end of the work week. No extreme highs expected at this point,
but next weekend could be quite warm if the ECMWF is correct.

Aviation For 00z TAF issuance
issued at 637 pm cdt Fri jun 22 2018
good flying weather through Saturday with just some
middle and high clouds.

Grb watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... ..Kallas
long term... ... Mg
aviation... ... .Rdm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KWNW3 - 9087069- Kewaunee, WI 42 mi47 min N 7 G 13 61°F 1008.8 hPa (-0.8)
NPDW3 - Northport Pier at Death's Door WI 43 mi67 min NE 2.9 G 4.1 62°F 1009.8 hPa
BSBM4 - Big Sable Point, MI 46 mi67 min NNE 6 G 8 66°F 1008.8 hPa
45002 - N MICHIGAN- Halfway between North Manitou and Washington Islands. 49 mi37 min NNE 7.8 G 9.7 54°F 51°F1009.5 hPa51°F

Wind History for Kewaunee MET, WI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Frankfort, Frankfort Dow Memorial Field Airport, MI29 mi52 minNE 310.00 miFair68°F54°F62%1008.5 hPa

Wind History from FKS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE5E6E6E5E6E8
G14
E6E3E5CalmCalmNE4NE3NE3NE5NE5NE4N4N7N4N6N5NE3NE4
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmE3NE5CalmCalmCalmE4E4E5NE5NE5NE6NE7E6N8N6N7N5NE5NE5NE5
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3W6W7W4W6W7W6W5N6N3N6CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Green Bay, WI (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Green Bay, WI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.