Tuesday, April23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Shorewood, MN

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 8:10PM Tuesday April 23, 2019 5:09 AM CDT (10:09 UTC) Moonrise 11:58PMMoonset 8:17AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shorewood, MN
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location: 44.94, -93.55     debug


Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN
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Fxus63 kmpx 230855
afdmpx
area forecast discussion
national weather service twin cities chanhassen mn
355 am cdt Tue apr 23 2019

Short term (today through Wednesday)
issued at 349 am cdt Tue apr 23 2019
surface analysis early this morning shows the low pressure center
responsible for yesterday's rain now over lake michigan with its
trailing cold front extending southwest across illinois and
missouri. High pressure takes up much of south-central canada
through the northern and central plains. Aloft, a shortwave trough
is accompanying the surface low, with wnw flow aloft in the wake
of the trough.

The wnw flow aloft, the weaker northern portion of split flow
whereas the southern portion is much more active, will maintain
itself through tonight then take on a more direct zonal west-east
flow Wednesday. This will allow the surface high pressure area to
be the dominant feature through midday tomorrow with very little
cloud cover to speak of until tomorrow afternoon. An approaching
shortwave disturbance aloft and associated weak frontal system
will remain to the north through tomorrow afternoon, thus have
maintained a dry forecast through the short-term portion of the
forecast.

Plenty of sunshine today along with a more southwesterly low level
flow by this afternoon will result in a strong warming of
temperatures from the cool 30s of this morning. Highs will climb
into the 60s throughout the WFO mpx coverage area. The warming
trend will continue through tomorrow as a warm front will push
across northern mn tonight, allowing for lows in the 40s tonight
followed by highs reaching the 70s area-wide on Wednesday.

Long term (Wednesday night through Monday)
issued at 349 am cdt Tue apr 23 2019
a weak front passes through the region Wednesday night into
Thursday, with just enough divergence aloft to kick off at least
some scattered showers along the front. Forecast soundings show
quite a bit of dry air below 700 mb for precipitation to overcome,
so expect precipitation amounts to remain fairly light, generally
around a tenth of an inch. Will keep pops in the 30% range given
the dry air to overcome and likely scattered nature of any showers
that develop,
models continue to agree on a more organized system approaching on
Saturday, as the jet becomes more active along the us canada
border. A shortwave along with divergence aloft ahead of an
approaching jetstreak will develop a surface low over the central
plains and track it to our south across iowa. The GFS has now come
into agreement with other models on depicting a colder system
with keeping the low to our south. Our string of pleasant weekends
looks to come to an end, with Saturday likely featuring a cold
and steady rain with temperatures possible struggling to get out
of the 40s. Can't totally rule out a few snowflakes mixing in with
the rain across central minnesota and northwest wisconsin
Saturday morning if guidance continues to trend towards the colder
ecmwf solution. Lapse rates look to remain too weak across our
area for convection which will help limit the heavy rain
potential, but another possible half inch to an inch of steady
rainfall will only add to the already saturated soils and swollen
rivers in some areas.

The active pattern continues into early next week with the strong
jet residing overhead, although models begin to diverge on the
timing of impulses and associated precipitation chances. Will
mention low chances of precipitation Sunday through Tuesday until
these details can be more refined. Temperatures will be on a
cooling trend through the period, with above normal temperatures
ahead of the front on Thursday giving way to temperatures 5-10
degrees below normal by the weekend.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Tuesday night)
issued at 1046 pm cdt Mon apr 22 2019
MVFR CIGS are dissipating quickly from west to east and the back
edge is now near eau. Some fog patches may develop overnight, but
vfr conditions are likely at all the TAF sites.

Kmsp... No additional concerns.

Outlook for kmsp
wed...VFR. Wind SW 10-15g25 kts.

Thu...VFR. Chance -ra early a.M. Wind bcmg NW 10-15 kts.

Fri...VFR. Wind W 5-10 kts becoming SW late.

Mpx watches warnings advisories
Wi... None.

Mn... None.

Short term... Jpc
long term... Eta
aviation... Borghoff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Minneapolis - Flying Cloud Airport, MN8 mi16 minNNW 510.00 miFair37°F34°F89%1020.4 hPa
Minneapolis, Crystal Airport, MN13 mi16 minNNW 510.00 miFair35°F34°F96%1020.7 hPa
Minneapolis, Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, MN18 mi16 minNNW 510.00 miFair37°F34°F89%1020.8 hPa
South St. Paul Municipal-Richard E. Flemi, MN22 mi14 minNNW 410.00 miFair37°F36°F99%1020 hPa
Buffalo, Buffalo Municipal Airport, MN22 mi14 minno data10.00 miFair35°F32°F91%1020.7 hPa
Minneapolis / Blaine, MN23 mi14 minNNW 310.00 miFair34°F33°F100%1020.3 hPa

Wind History from FCM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN9N12
G23
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G26
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NE9NE11
G18
N12N12
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G32
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N10N7N5N6N7NW4N5
1 day agoN4NW4NE8NE12SE11SE11NE8SE7SE6E7N13
G19
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N14
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N9N10N10NE8
2 days agoS7S5S8S11S16
G21
SW16
G23
S12
G20
S13SW14S16
G21
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S14
G21
S14S10S6SE4SE6S8S7S10SW7SW7S3S8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Twin Cities, MN (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Minneapolis, MN
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.