Sunrise 5:32 AM   Sunset 8:20 PM Moonrise 2:09 PM   Moonset 4:59 AM

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PKZ034 Frederick Sound- 258 Pm Akdt Thu Apr 18 2024
Tonight - NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Fri - NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fri night - NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Sat - SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Sat night - SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Sun - S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Mon - SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Tue - N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.

PKZ005
No data

FXAK67 PAJK 182301 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 301 PM AKDT Thu Apr 18 2024

SHORT TERM

The nice spring weather continues for SE AK today as clear skies and warm temperatures continue. Little changes were made to the short term forecast today. Biggest changes that were made was to reduce the winds in the latter half of the short term period as well as raise high temperatures for Friday with the persistent weather continuing for the end of the week.

LONG TERM
/Saturday through Thursday/...Dry weather for SE AK lasts a bit longer into Saturday as the approaching front has slowed down. As high pressure ridge shifts east a trough from a 500 mb low over the Western AK Gulf extends over the SE Gulf then rotates over the Panhandle from S to N Saturday night into Sunday.
Cloud cover increases and temps return to seasonable normals with a narrower diurnal range. The front will shear apart as it loses upper level support so not expecting much in the way of rainfall amounts.
Operational models still have some spread on if this front will produce widespread precip but ensembles have been consistent keeping in some light precip over entire area. GFS/NAM/Canadian show good agreement so leaned towards those. As the front rides over the ridge another short break in precip looks to occur Monday as another low moves in from the west. "Active" weather continues into next week but again ensembles show higher probability of precip than the operational models, mainly due to uncertainty from blocking ridge break down, large model spread, and likely leaning on climatology.
Northerly winds diminish as pressure gradient weakens with a directional shift occurring through Saturday into Sunday. Marine winds generally less than 20 kts. So overall lower confidence in forecast details for the mid range.

AVIATION
VFR conditions will persist across the panhandle with clear skies and localized afternoon sea breezes through the TAF period. Winds go near calm and variable overnight. Winds increase during the afternoon, but should remain less than 15 kt with an isolated gusts up to 20 kt possible.

MARINE
High pressure over the region keeps a stalled front over the gulf through Saturday. Strong to near gale southeasterly winds will persist over the central gulf through Saturday night before high pressure moves E of the region. Over the inner channels, generally light to gentle winds prevail with moderate to fresh NE to E outflow winds out of Taku Inlet, back side of Douglas Island and S Lynn through Cross Sound.



AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-053-641>644-651-652-661>664-671- 672.

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Cannery Cove
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Thu -- 04:34 AM AKDT     5.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:59 AM AKDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:37 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:31 AM AKDT     11.52 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:08 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:51 PM AKDT     2.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:14 PM AKDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:23 PM AKDT     12.30 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cannery Cove, Pybus Bay, Alaska, Tide feet

Eliza Harbor
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Thu -- 04:36 AM AKDT     4.90 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:59 AM AKDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:38 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:33 AM AKDT     11.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:09 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:53 PM AKDT     1.99 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:15 PM AKDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:25 PM AKDT     11.89 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Eliza Harbor, Admiralty Island, Alaska, Tide feet

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