Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Halibut Cove, AK
March 28, 2024 3:35 AM AKDT (11:35 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:29 AM Sunset 8:38 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 6:02 AM |
PKZ741 Kachemak Bay- 327 Am Akdt Thu Mar 28 2024
.small craft advisory Friday - .
Today - W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Tonight - S wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Fri - E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
Fri night - W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Sat - S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
Sun through Mon - W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
PKZ700
No data
No data
Area Discussion for - Anchorage, AK
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FXAK68 PAFC 280035 AFDAFC
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 435 PM AKDT Wed Mar 27 2024
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight through Sunday)...
Today's snow, rain and fog have continued into this afternoon across the Mat-Su Borough, Anchorage area and Kenai Peninsula.
Current web cameras and radar show light precipitation over most of the area with higher elevations receiving accumulating snow of a trace to an inch through late this afternoon. These conditions will continue through the evening hours. Isolated showers are possible tomorrow in coastal areas but most places will remain dry through the afternoon after morning patchy fog lifts.
A low pressure system moving through Bristol Bay will bring a warm front through Southcentral Alaska the end of this week.
Temperatures warming through the day as southerly to southeasterly air pushes northward with the warm front will bring rain and snow showers for Kodiak Island and the coastal areas of the Kenai Peninsula and Prince William Sound. QPF amounts ranging from 1.5 inches along coastal areas to less than 0.10 inch at lower elevation inland areas are expected with this late week storm. Winds will turn easterly through coastal areas of Kenai Peninsula, Whittier and Turnagain Arm with gusts ranging from 55 to 65 mph Friday afternoon and evening before diminishing.
Overnight temperatures tomorrow morning in the 20s/30s warm into the upper 30s and lower 40s. Highs in the lower 40s across most of Southcentral and the Copper River Basin are expected Friday.
Another storm is possible over the weekend in Southcentral.
-DJ
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA, the BERING SEA and the ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Tonight through Sunday)...
The unsettled pattern across Southwest Alaska and the Aleutian Chain continues toward the weekend as an upper-level low pressure system over the central Bering Sea and its associated surface low in the vicinity of St Matthew Island produce light,scattered snow and gusty conditions along the Pribilofs through tonight. This surface low continues to push cooler air into coastal Southwest.
This will allow further over night cooling and reduce the presence of showers across Southwest Alaska. Overnight low temperatures will likely dip into the low teens, with the coldest temperatures observed in the Kuskokwim Delta and Lower Kuskokwim Valley.
Thursday morning a north Pacific low will increase winds across the Aleutians as it crosses into the Bering. A brief period of heavy snow and strong winds are possible before temperatures quickly warm above freezing. This low is expected to bring widespread gales (>34 kts) and areas of storm-force (>48 kts)
gusts to the Aleutians and Southern Bering. This front on the leading side of the approaching low will likely be fairly progressive, sweeping across the Aleutian Chain into the Pribilofs Thursday, and into Southwest Alaska by Thursday night. The Central and Eastern Aleutians will likely see a quick shot of moderate to heavy rain/snow showers as the front sweeps across with the precipitation either coming down as rain, or melting fairly quickly once on the ground.
The latest model runs suggest a low track northeast across Atka to the Pribilofs by Thursday night with the associated front and widespread southeasterly winds across southwest Alaska. The Pribilofs will likely see up to 4 inches of snow accumulation through the day on Thursday, with gusts up to 30 mph. Given the elongated shape of the low, it is difficult to determine when the period of strongest winds may be. Periods of blowing snow may be possible through Friday. The low is then expected to continue toward Nunivak Island and the Kuskokwim Delta on Friday. Some areas across southern Bristol Bay into the AK Peninsula may see a transition to rain, but elsewhere across southwest Alaska precipitation should stay as snow given colder air in place. This system has the potential to produce blowing snow and blizzard conditions for most of the Southwest coast Friday night into Saturday. Snow accumulation of 2-3 inches is anticipated for most interior areas, with the highest amounts of 5-6 inches for the northern side of Bristol Bay from Dillingham to Togiak, and the Kuskokwim Delta coast, including Kipnuk, Kwigillingok, and Nunivak Island. Some uncertainty remains concerning how high the freezing level will lift across this region, which would reduce both the accumulation of snow on the ground, and the ability for gusty winds to loft snow. As such, a Winter Storm Watch has been issued for both Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Delta, with a focus near the coastal areas of those regions.
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Sunday through Wednesday)...
There is a large spread of uncertainty even at the beginning of the long term period on Sunday, with a roughly 980 mb low moving northward into Interior Alaska. The deterministic EC continues to depict the furthest west solution, driving the low through the Kuskokwim Valley, while the deterministic GFS and GDPS are further east, tracking the low up through Cook Inlet and across the Alaska Range. However, ensemble guidance continues to be located further west, with the vast majority of members of each ensemble tracking the low over Southwest Alaska. Though low confidence, this seems to slightly favor the warmer, western solution. This would likely limit precipitation amounts in the lee of the coastal mountains, but would bring strong winds to Anchorage, Palmer, and interior Bristol Bay, with heavy precipitation along the north Gulf coast and widespread light snow across much of Southwest Alaska. As the low exits to the north on Sunday, colder air rushes in behind on southwesterly flow, leading to upslope snow along the Talkeetna Mountains and the coastal mountains preferentially around eastern Prince William Sound through Sunday night.
At the same time, there is good confidence that a deep trough dives south from the Bering Strait Sunday night and reaches the Gulf of Alaska by Monday as it phases with another series of shortwave troughs lifting out of the North Pacific. This combination of features will draw cold, dry air across the Aleutian Range, producing likely gale force gap winds south of the Alaska Peninsula and into the western Gulf. While snow comes to an end from west to east for Southwest Alaska with the increasing dry air, the focus of precipitation shifts eastward as moisture is drawn north through Cook Inlet, leading to the potential for snow from Kenai to Talkeetna Monday evening into Tuesday. As the colder, drier air filters into Southcentral on Tuesday night, precipitation begins to clear out.
Out west, there is good confidence that another large low pushes into the Bering Sea for mid-week, though timing of this feature is uncertain. Tuesday morning, its strong front looks to lift across the Aleutian Chain. Its front will be associated with a strong push of warm air, meaning this precipitation will likely fall as all rain. The front pushes to the Southwest coast by Wednesday, bringing copious moisture, with precipitable water values of 1 to 2 standard deviations above normal for this time of year streaming across the Alaska Peninsula. With a pre-existing cold air mass in place, there is a significant chance that the above freezing air moving in aloft over Southwest Alaska with the warm front causes potential for freezing rain.
-CQ
AVIATION
PANC...IFR conditions will likely persist through the evening and overnight hours as one trough pivots back over Anchorage from the east and a second trough lifts north from Kodiak tonight. The result will be a continuation of low cloud cover through the TAF package along with pockets of very light precipitation in the form of a rain/snow mix through this evening. The fog that advected over the terminal from Cook Inlet this morning has since dissipated; however, fog may return late tonight or early Thursday morning as precipitation comes to an end a weak south to southwesterly flow off Cook Inlet returns. Even if fog does not return to the terminal, any lingering stratus could lower resulting in a return to LIFR cigs.
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 435 PM AKDT Wed Mar 27 2024
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight through Sunday)...
Today's snow, rain and fog have continued into this afternoon across the Mat-Su Borough, Anchorage area and Kenai Peninsula.
Current web cameras and radar show light precipitation over most of the area with higher elevations receiving accumulating snow of a trace to an inch through late this afternoon. These conditions will continue through the evening hours. Isolated showers are possible tomorrow in coastal areas but most places will remain dry through the afternoon after morning patchy fog lifts.
A low pressure system moving through Bristol Bay will bring a warm front through Southcentral Alaska the end of this week.
Temperatures warming through the day as southerly to southeasterly air pushes northward with the warm front will bring rain and snow showers for Kodiak Island and the coastal areas of the Kenai Peninsula and Prince William Sound. QPF amounts ranging from 1.5 inches along coastal areas to less than 0.10 inch at lower elevation inland areas are expected with this late week storm. Winds will turn easterly through coastal areas of Kenai Peninsula, Whittier and Turnagain Arm with gusts ranging from 55 to 65 mph Friday afternoon and evening before diminishing.
Overnight temperatures tomorrow morning in the 20s/30s warm into the upper 30s and lower 40s. Highs in the lower 40s across most of Southcentral and the Copper River Basin are expected Friday.
Another storm is possible over the weekend in Southcentral.
-DJ
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA, the BERING SEA and the ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Tonight through Sunday)...
The unsettled pattern across Southwest Alaska and the Aleutian Chain continues toward the weekend as an upper-level low pressure system over the central Bering Sea and its associated surface low in the vicinity of St Matthew Island produce light,scattered snow and gusty conditions along the Pribilofs through tonight. This surface low continues to push cooler air into coastal Southwest.
This will allow further over night cooling and reduce the presence of showers across Southwest Alaska. Overnight low temperatures will likely dip into the low teens, with the coldest temperatures observed in the Kuskokwim Delta and Lower Kuskokwim Valley.
Thursday morning a north Pacific low will increase winds across the Aleutians as it crosses into the Bering. A brief period of heavy snow and strong winds are possible before temperatures quickly warm above freezing. This low is expected to bring widespread gales (>34 kts) and areas of storm-force (>48 kts)
gusts to the Aleutians and Southern Bering. This front on the leading side of the approaching low will likely be fairly progressive, sweeping across the Aleutian Chain into the Pribilofs Thursday, and into Southwest Alaska by Thursday night. The Central and Eastern Aleutians will likely see a quick shot of moderate to heavy rain/snow showers as the front sweeps across with the precipitation either coming down as rain, or melting fairly quickly once on the ground.
The latest model runs suggest a low track northeast across Atka to the Pribilofs by Thursday night with the associated front and widespread southeasterly winds across southwest Alaska. The Pribilofs will likely see up to 4 inches of snow accumulation through the day on Thursday, with gusts up to 30 mph. Given the elongated shape of the low, it is difficult to determine when the period of strongest winds may be. Periods of blowing snow may be possible through Friday. The low is then expected to continue toward Nunivak Island and the Kuskokwim Delta on Friday. Some areas across southern Bristol Bay into the AK Peninsula may see a transition to rain, but elsewhere across southwest Alaska precipitation should stay as snow given colder air in place. This system has the potential to produce blowing snow and blizzard conditions for most of the Southwest coast Friday night into Saturday. Snow accumulation of 2-3 inches is anticipated for most interior areas, with the highest amounts of 5-6 inches for the northern side of Bristol Bay from Dillingham to Togiak, and the Kuskokwim Delta coast, including Kipnuk, Kwigillingok, and Nunivak Island. Some uncertainty remains concerning how high the freezing level will lift across this region, which would reduce both the accumulation of snow on the ground, and the ability for gusty winds to loft snow. As such, a Winter Storm Watch has been issued for both Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Delta, with a focus near the coastal areas of those regions.
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Sunday through Wednesday)...
There is a large spread of uncertainty even at the beginning of the long term period on Sunday, with a roughly 980 mb low moving northward into Interior Alaska. The deterministic EC continues to depict the furthest west solution, driving the low through the Kuskokwim Valley, while the deterministic GFS and GDPS are further east, tracking the low up through Cook Inlet and across the Alaska Range. However, ensemble guidance continues to be located further west, with the vast majority of members of each ensemble tracking the low over Southwest Alaska. Though low confidence, this seems to slightly favor the warmer, western solution. This would likely limit precipitation amounts in the lee of the coastal mountains, but would bring strong winds to Anchorage, Palmer, and interior Bristol Bay, with heavy precipitation along the north Gulf coast and widespread light snow across much of Southwest Alaska. As the low exits to the north on Sunday, colder air rushes in behind on southwesterly flow, leading to upslope snow along the Talkeetna Mountains and the coastal mountains preferentially around eastern Prince William Sound through Sunday night.
At the same time, there is good confidence that a deep trough dives south from the Bering Strait Sunday night and reaches the Gulf of Alaska by Monday as it phases with another series of shortwave troughs lifting out of the North Pacific. This combination of features will draw cold, dry air across the Aleutian Range, producing likely gale force gap winds south of the Alaska Peninsula and into the western Gulf. While snow comes to an end from west to east for Southwest Alaska with the increasing dry air, the focus of precipitation shifts eastward as moisture is drawn north through Cook Inlet, leading to the potential for snow from Kenai to Talkeetna Monday evening into Tuesday. As the colder, drier air filters into Southcentral on Tuesday night, precipitation begins to clear out.
Out west, there is good confidence that another large low pushes into the Bering Sea for mid-week, though timing of this feature is uncertain. Tuesday morning, its strong front looks to lift across the Aleutian Chain. Its front will be associated with a strong push of warm air, meaning this precipitation will likely fall as all rain. The front pushes to the Southwest coast by Wednesday, bringing copious moisture, with precipitable water values of 1 to 2 standard deviations above normal for this time of year streaming across the Alaska Peninsula. With a pre-existing cold air mass in place, there is a significant chance that the above freezing air moving in aloft over Southwest Alaska with the warm front causes potential for freezing rain.
-CQ
AVIATION
PANC...IFR conditions will likely persist through the evening and overnight hours as one trough pivots back over Anchorage from the east and a second trough lifts north from Kodiak tonight. The result will be a continuation of low cloud cover through the TAF package along with pockets of very light precipitation in the form of a rain/snow mix through this evening. The fog that advected over the terminal from Cook Inlet this morning has since dissipated; however, fog may return late tonight or early Thursday morning as precipitation comes to an end a weak south to southwesterly flow off Cook Inlet returns. Even if fog does not return to the terminal, any lingering stratus could lower resulting in a return to LIFR cigs.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
HMSA2 | 11 mi | 21 min | SW 6G | 35°F | 28°F | |||
OVIA2 - 9455500 - Seldovia, AK | 29 mi | 48 min | 41°F | 29.89 | ||||
46108 - Central Cook Inlet - 175 | 32 mi | 66 min | 40°F | 3 ft | ||||
APXA2 | 36 mi | 51 min | ESE 4.1 | 31°F | 29.86 | 29°F | ||
FILA2 - Flat Island Light, AK | 45 mi | 36 min | WSW 8.9G | 33°F | 29.88 | 27°F |
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No data
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
PAHO HOMER,AK | 15 sm | 42 min | WSW 04 | 10 sm | Overcast | 36°F | 28°F | 75% | 29.88 |
Tide / Current for Halibut Cove, Kachemak Bay, Alaska
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Halibut Cove
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:26 AM AKDT Moonrise
Thu -- 04:42 AM AKDT 19.92 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:40 AM AKDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:02 AM AKDT Moonset
Thu -- 11:00 AM AKDT -0.57 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:23 PM AKDT 17.76 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:40 PM AKDT Sunset
Thu -- 11:07 PM AKDT 2.83 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:26 AM AKDT Moonrise
Thu -- 04:42 AM AKDT 19.92 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:40 AM AKDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:02 AM AKDT Moonset
Thu -- 11:00 AM AKDT -0.57 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:23 PM AKDT 17.76 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:40 PM AKDT Sunset
Thu -- 11:07 PM AKDT 2.83 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Halibut Cove, Kachemak Bay, Alaska, Tide feet
12 am |
4.1 |
1 am |
8 |
2 am |
12.6 |
3 am |
16.7 |
4 am |
19.3 |
5 am |
19.8 |
6 am |
17.9 |
7 am |
14 |
8 am |
9.1 |
9 am |
4.3 |
10 am |
0.8 |
11 am |
-0.6 |
12 pm |
0.6 |
1 pm |
3.9 |
2 pm |
8.1 |
3 pm |
12.4 |
4 pm |
15.8 |
5 pm |
17.6 |
6 pm |
17.3 |
7 pm |
15.1 |
8 pm |
11.5 |
9 pm |
7.5 |
10 pm |
4.3 |
11 pm |
2.9 |
Sadie Cove
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:25 AM AKDT Moonrise
Thu -- 04:41 AM AKDT 19.32 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:40 AM AKDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:04 AM AKDT Moonset
Thu -- 11:01 AM AKDT -0.67 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:22 PM AKDT 17.16 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:41 PM AKDT Sunset
Thu -- 11:08 PM AKDT 2.73 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:25 AM AKDT Moonrise
Thu -- 04:41 AM AKDT 19.32 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:40 AM AKDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:04 AM AKDT Moonset
Thu -- 11:01 AM AKDT -0.67 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:22 PM AKDT 17.16 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:41 PM AKDT Sunset
Thu -- 11:08 PM AKDT 2.73 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sadie Cove, Kachemak Bay, Alaska, Tide feet
12 am |
3.9 |
1 am |
7.8 |
2 am |
12.2 |
3 am |
16.2 |
4 am |
18.8 |
5 am |
19.2 |
6 am |
17.3 |
7 am |
13.5 |
8 am |
8.7 |
9 am |
4.1 |
10 am |
0.7 |
11 am |
-0.7 |
12 pm |
0.5 |
1 pm |
3.6 |
2 pm |
7.8 |
3 pm |
11.9 |
4 pm |
15.3 |
5 pm |
17 |
6 pm |
16.7 |
7 pm |
14.5 |
8 pm |
11.1 |
9 pm |
7.3 |
10 pm |
4.2 |
11 pm |
2.8 |
Anchorage/Kenai,AK
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