Wednesday, November14, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Van Buren, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 8:51AMSunset 3:30PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 9:34 PM WGT (00:34 UTC) Moonrise 2:56PMMoonset 10:00PM Illumination 44% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Van Buren, ME
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 62.5, -42.96     debug

Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcar 142106
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
406 pm est Wed nov 14 2018

High pressure will build in from the west tonight and crest
over the area Thursday. Low pressure will approach from the
southwest Thursday night into Friday then track into the
canadian maritimes Friday night. Cold with scattered snow
showers this weekend.

Near term through Thursday night
Our plan is to drop the current wind adv for our fa with
the trend of winds xpctd to be gradually, but steadily downward
going into the eve hrs. Otherwise, sc cld cvr and sct flurries
should will gradually diminish across the N into the eve with patchy
blsn across the far N also msly dissipating by mid eve. Even though
winds diminish by late ngt, there should still be enough of a breeze
durg the late ngt hrs to prevent much of radiational cooling xcpt
across most protected NW vlys by daybreak, keeping low temps from
potentially reaching exceptionally low values given the sn pack and
the caliber of the air mass.

Thu should begin fair with much lgtr winds as sfc hi pres crests the
fa from the w, with increasing hi cldnss from ssw to nne late in the
day in advc of the next low pres system from the SE states.

Short term Friday through Saturday night
Storm still on track for Friday with no significant change in
guidance over the last 12 hours. Still enough spread to greatly
impact the sensible weather in regards to total snowfall,
especially on the coast and across the far northern maine.

Essentially if the the further off the coast solution comes in
(gfs) camp, then the downeast coast will get more snow then
forecasted. If the consensus forecast comes in, then still
looks like a mix on the downeast coast cutting down totals with
higher amounts pushing further north into maine. One thing that
is certain is it looks like the first plowable snow for the
bangor region and the majority of downeast with the Friday
morning commute being impacted by snow. Low quickly pushes out
Friday evening, with lingering snow across northern maine until
midnight. Saturday will have weak cyclonic flow aloft over the
area with some light snow shower activity for western areas and
high temps getting into the upper 20s and 30s.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
Forecast confidence looks to be below average late this weekend
leading into thanksgiving week. What we are confident about is
that this period will have well below avg temperatures with a
few shots of cold weather. In general the mean 500mb trough will
stay entrenched across the northeast CONUS with multiple 500mb
shortwaves moving through with weak waves developing on the
surface cold fronts. In general western mountains will keep
light snow shower activity at times through this period. Overall
didn't feel enough confidence on timing of pops, so broad
brushed with some higher pops over the terrain and on Monday as
the potential for another weak storm still exists. Overall we
should run 10 to 15 degrees below average for this period, with
the chance for a slight warm up on Monday.

Aviation 21z Wednesday through Monday
Near term: mainlyVFR, xcpt MVFR vsbys attms with blsn and sct
flurries across NRN most TAF sites until erly eve.

Short term: significant aviation impacts possible on Friday with
snow causing low vis and ceilings to impact all TAF terminals.

Conditions will improve by Friday night with no significant
aviation impacts expected this weekend.

Near term: will cont with gale wrng or all of coastal waters
til just aft mdngt, with a follow-up SCA likely needed late tngt
into erly Thu morn. A pd of less than SCA winds seas will
follow for late Thu morn thru the aftn. Went with a blend of
nwps ww3 guidance for fcst WV hts this update.

Short term: possible gale conditions on Friday as a coastal low
moves up the coast and crosses the gulf of maine during the day
on Friday. Seas will build to 10 feet over the outer coastal
waters on a E to NE wind.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Winter storm watch from late Thursday night through late
Friday night for mez004>006-010-011-015>017-031-032.

Marine... Gale warning until 1 am est Thursday for anz050>052.

Near term... Vjn
short term... Dumont
long term... Dumont
aviation... Vjn dumont
marine... Vjn dumont

Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
Click EDIT to select an airport
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (19,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.