Sunrise 5:17 AM   Sunset 8:23 PM Moonrise 2:45 AM   Moonset 4:11 PM

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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1016 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Tonight - SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sun - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers after midnight. Mon - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming E around 5 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers in the morning. Mon night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 2 seconds. Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wed night - S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Thu - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.Thu night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely.

ANZ300 1016 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure centered along the mid atlantic coast remains overnight and gradually drifts to the southeast and offshore on Sunday. A weakening disturbance moves through late Sunday night and for the first half of Monday. High pressure remains over the waters Tuesday and Wednesday before sliding offshore Wednesday evening. A series of frontal systems then approach by the end of the week.

FXUS61 KALY 020528 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 128 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

SYNOPSIS
Another dry and warm afternoon is expected on Sunday before a weak disturbance brings a shower or two to portions of the area Sunday night. Warm weather continues on Monday and Tuesday with isolated showers and thunderstorms possible each day, mainly across the higher terrain. Rain chances increase mid to late week as a larger system and cold front approach from the west.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
An upper level ridge has crested over the region and will begin to gradually weaken as an upper- level shortwave disturbance approaches from the west, causing the ridge to break. The approach of this disturbance will continue to spread some high clouds across the region through the overnight and much of Sunday but maintain dry weather.

Temperatures widely vary across the region early this morning with values ranging from the lower 40s to the lower 60s. Lows this morning will generally bottom out in the 40s and 50s.
Despite the high clouds, temperatures will still rise into the 70s and 80s by Sunday afternoon with good mixing and 850 hPa temperatures between +12C and +14C.

While the upper- level shortwave will weaken as it moves across our area later Sunday afternoon and Sunday night, enough moisture may be in place for a shower or two to occur, mainly across the western Mohawk Valley and locations south of Albany.
Any showers that do occur should be very light and not amount to much if anything. Otherwise, skies will trend mostly cloudy for Sunday night and will aid in temperatures only falling into the 50s to lower 60s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Upper level ridging will become re-established over the area for Monday into Monday night. With continued warm temps aloft and high heights in place, it will be another warm afternoon with highs well into the 80s on Monday. Dewpoints will be a little higher than the weekend, but still comfortable with values in the mid 50s. Skies should be fairly sunny on Monday with little cloud cover thanks to nearby high pressure. Clear and dry weather will continue into Monday night with the high pressure remaining in place and temps down into the 50s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Warm weather will continue through the long term period with the threat for showers and thunderstorms starting to return.

The long term period should start off dry for Tuesday, but an isolated afternoon shower or t-storm can't be ruled out by Wednesday as moisture starts returning to the region. Forcing should be limited through mid week, which will keep the threat for precip fairly low. Temps will be very warm thanks to the continued warm temps aloft, with mid 80s both days. Tuesday should be mainly sunny, but some clouds will start to increase by Wednesday.

As an upper level disturbance starts approaching from the Great Lakes, there will be a better chance for showers and thunderstorms for Thursday through Saturday. The upper level feature looks to close off over the Great Lakes, making it slowly sit and spin to our west, while a surface boundary makes it way across the area (probably for Thursday, which is when POPs are currently highest). With a warm and humid air mass in place, both showers and t-storms will be possible, especially in the diurnally favored afternoon and evening hours. Too early to say if any storms will be strong at this point due to uncertainty regarding the exact amounts of instability and shear that will be in place. Will go with high chance to likely POPs during this time period. Temps will be warm (although not quite as high as earlier in the week due to the clouds and precip)
with highs in the upper 70s to near 80 and lows in the 50s and 60s.

AVIATION /05Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Through 06z Monday...VFR conditions prevail at all TAF sites this morning which is anticipated to continue throughout the 06z cycle with high pressure remaining in place. Infrared satellite shows patchy high clouds sprawled throughout the region which should increase and lower a bit throughout the morning and into this afternoon ahead of an upper-level disturbance.

Winds throughout the 06z period will be light and variable to start, increasing to speeds of 5-10kt by this afternoon out of the south to southwest.

Outlook...

Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: High Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

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Hyde Park
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Sat -- 02:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:34 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:01 AM EDT     3.31 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:53 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:43 PM EDT     3.64 feet High Tide
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Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

Kingston Point
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Sat -- 02:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:56 AM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:21 AM EDT     3.82 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:15 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:03 PM EDT     4.21 feet High Tide
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Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

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