Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for "Islamorada, Village of Islands ", FL
April 27, 2024 2:47 AM EDT (06:47 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:46 AM Sunset 7:52 PM Moonrise 10:40 PM Moonset 8:11 AM |
GMZ042 Hawk Channel From Ocean Reef To Craig Key Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To The Reef- 1028 Pm Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
.small craft advisory in effect - .
Overnight - East winds near 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, except 4 to 5 feet west of cosgrove shoal light. NEarshore waters rough.
Saturday - East winds near 20 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, building to 4 to 6 feet. NEarshore waters rough, becoming very rough. Isolated showers.
Saturday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. NEarshore waters very rough. Isolated showers.
Sunday - East winds near 20 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. NEarshore waters rough. Isolated showers.
Sunday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots, decreasing to near 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. NEarshore waters very rough, becoming rough. Isolated showers.
Monday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers.
Monday night - East to southeast winds near 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. NEarshore waters rough. Isolated showers.
Tuesday - East to southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers.
Tuesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers.
Wednesday - East winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers.
Wednesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers.
GMZ005 Synopsis For Keys Coastal Waters From Ocean Reef To Dry Tortugas 1028 Pm Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
Synopsis - High pressure centered over new england will dive southeastward into the western north atlantic through the weekend. Easterly breezes will continue to freshen overnight, with strong breezes expected through at least Sunday. As the high weakens somewhat south of bermuda early next week, breezes will modestly slacken, although occasionally fresh breezes will continue through at least Wednesday.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream is currently unavailable.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream is currently unavailable.
Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 270509 AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 109 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 702 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
Bumped up PoPs slightly for Saturday across the east coast for some spotty showers off the Atlantic and also along and off the Gulf coast later in the day where some convergence will likely kick off some showers over there. Otherwise, the rest of the near term forecast remains on track.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 318 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
An upper-level ridge is situated across the FL Big Bend and NE Gulf region as a sprawling surface high remains situated off the NE Atlantic coast. The 12mb gradient from the center of this feature to S FL is driving a breezy easterly flow across the region. However, the overall atmospheric profile remains on the dry side. Daytime heating has created a shallow well-mixed layer, and there is enough low-level moisture to continue supporting a low-level Cu field.
However, there is no sufficient depth to this layer. Throughout the column, ACARS soundings are only showing a PWAT value of 0.5in currently. Even the 12Z sounding only had a PWAT value of 0.9inches.
This is right on the border of the lowest 10th percentile.
Warm, breezy conditions will continue today and tonight in response.
Winds over the waters are likely to increase overnight as well as the gradient tightens even further. Overall, though, there is very little change in conditions for the next few days. A dry, stable airmass persists with a strong upper-level ridge locked in through early next week.
Throughout this time-frame, the surface high will gradually sink south, eventually settling off the FL coast. The prevailing easterly flow should veer more ESE at that point, and a slight increase in moisture is expected. A few more shallow showers are possible across Atlantic waters, perhaps making it into the east coast. However, the overall synoptic pattern will continue to support a mostly dry and stable airmass through the entirety of the period.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 107 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
VFR prevails for the next 24 hours. Steady easterly winds will be in place with gusts up to the 25-30kt range for all sites. There is no threat for rain.
MARINE
Issued at 318 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
Winds and seas are expected to continue increasing across Atlantic and Gulf waters this afternoon and evening, with hazardous conditions expected for small craft. This is expected to last through the weekend and potentially into early next week, especially across Atlantic waters. A few isolated showers are also possible across Atlantic waters, especially closer to the Gulf Stream.
BEACHES
Issued at 318 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
A gusty easterly flow continues to favor a high risk of rip currents at beaches along the Atlantic Coastline through the weekend.
Remember, if caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 318 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
Dry weather continues into next week as a breezy easterly flow prevails. While soils are drying out, RH values are expected to remain above critical thresholds. There are no significant rain chances for the next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 81 72 80 72 / 10 10 10 10 West Kendall 82 69 81 69 / 10 0 10 10 Opa-Locka 82 71 82 71 / 10 10 10 10 Homestead 81 71 80 71 / 10 10 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 80 72 79 72 / 10 10 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 81 72 80 72 / 10 10 10 10 Pembroke Pines 83 71 82 71 / 10 10 10 10 West Palm Beach 81 70 80 69 / 0 0 0 10 Boca Raton 81 70 81 71 / 10 10 10 10 Naples 87 69 87 67 / 10 0 10 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168-172-173.
High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for FLZ168-172.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ630-650-651- 670-671.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 109 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 702 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
Bumped up PoPs slightly for Saturday across the east coast for some spotty showers off the Atlantic and also along and off the Gulf coast later in the day where some convergence will likely kick off some showers over there. Otherwise, the rest of the near term forecast remains on track.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 318 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
An upper-level ridge is situated across the FL Big Bend and NE Gulf region as a sprawling surface high remains situated off the NE Atlantic coast. The 12mb gradient from the center of this feature to S FL is driving a breezy easterly flow across the region. However, the overall atmospheric profile remains on the dry side. Daytime heating has created a shallow well-mixed layer, and there is enough low-level moisture to continue supporting a low-level Cu field.
However, there is no sufficient depth to this layer. Throughout the column, ACARS soundings are only showing a PWAT value of 0.5in currently. Even the 12Z sounding only had a PWAT value of 0.9inches.
This is right on the border of the lowest 10th percentile.
Warm, breezy conditions will continue today and tonight in response.
Winds over the waters are likely to increase overnight as well as the gradient tightens even further. Overall, though, there is very little change in conditions for the next few days. A dry, stable airmass persists with a strong upper-level ridge locked in through early next week.
Throughout this time-frame, the surface high will gradually sink south, eventually settling off the FL coast. The prevailing easterly flow should veer more ESE at that point, and a slight increase in moisture is expected. A few more shallow showers are possible across Atlantic waters, perhaps making it into the east coast. However, the overall synoptic pattern will continue to support a mostly dry and stable airmass through the entirety of the period.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 107 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
VFR prevails for the next 24 hours. Steady easterly winds will be in place with gusts up to the 25-30kt range for all sites. There is no threat for rain.
MARINE
Issued at 318 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
Winds and seas are expected to continue increasing across Atlantic and Gulf waters this afternoon and evening, with hazardous conditions expected for small craft. This is expected to last through the weekend and potentially into early next week, especially across Atlantic waters. A few isolated showers are also possible across Atlantic waters, especially closer to the Gulf Stream.
BEACHES
Issued at 318 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
A gusty easterly flow continues to favor a high risk of rip currents at beaches along the Atlantic Coastline through the weekend.
Remember, if caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 318 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
Dry weather continues into next week as a breezy easterly flow prevails. While soils are drying out, RH values are expected to remain above critical thresholds. There are no significant rain chances for the next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 81 72 80 72 / 10 10 10 10 West Kendall 82 69 81 69 / 10 0 10 10 Opa-Locka 82 71 82 71 / 10 10 10 10 Homestead 81 71 80 71 / 10 10 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 80 72 79 72 / 10 10 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 81 72 80 72 / 10 10 10 10 Pembroke Pines 83 71 82 71 / 10 10 10 10 West Palm Beach 81 70 80 69 / 0 0 0 10 Boca Raton 81 70 81 71 / 10 10 10 10 Naples 87 69 87 67 / 10 0 10 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168-172-173.
High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for FLZ168-172.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ630-650-651- 670-671.
GM...None.
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Tide / Current for Tavernier Creek, Hwy. 1 bridge, Hawk Channel, Florida
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Tavernier Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:21 AM EDT 0.19 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:49 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:22 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 11:04 AM EDT 1.30 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:29 PM EDT -0.06 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:50 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:39 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 11:49 PM EDT 1.42 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:21 AM EDT 0.19 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:49 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:22 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 11:04 AM EDT 1.30 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:29 PM EDT -0.06 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:50 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:39 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 11:49 PM EDT 1.42 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Tavernier Creek, Hwy. 1 bridge, Hawk Channel, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.4 |
| 1 am |
| 1.2 |
| 2 am |
| 0.9 |
| 3 am |
| 0.6 |
| 4 am |
| 0.3 |
| 5 am |
| 0.2 |
| 6 am |
| 0.2 |
| 7 am |
| 0.4 |
| 8 am |
| 0.7 |
| 9 am |
| 1 |
| 10 am |
| 1.2 |
| 11 am |
| 1.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 5 pm |
| -0 |
| 6 pm |
| -0 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.4 |
Long Key
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:19 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:00 AM EDT -1.14 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:09 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:24 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 10:40 AM EDT 0.88 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 01:27 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:57 PM EDT -1.50 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 07:50 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:15 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:40 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 11:19 PM EDT 1.40 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:19 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:00 AM EDT -1.14 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:09 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:24 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 10:40 AM EDT 0.88 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 01:27 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:57 PM EDT -1.50 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 07:50 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:15 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:40 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 11:19 PM EDT 1.40 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Long Key, east of drawbridge, Florida Current, knots
| 12 am |
| 1.2 |
| 1 am |
| 0.8 |
| 2 am |
| 0.2 |
| 3 am |
| -0.4 |
| 4 am |
| -0.9 |
| 5 am |
| -1.1 |
| 6 am |
| -1 |
| 7 am |
| -0.6 |
| 8 am |
| -0.1 |
| 9 am |
| 0.4 |
| 10 am |
| 0.8 |
| 11 am |
| 0.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.8 |
| 4 pm |
| -1.3 |
| 5 pm |
| -1.5 |
| 6 pm |
| -1.3 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.4 |
Miami, FL,
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