Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Eden, TX
April 27, 2024 3:07 AM CDT (08:07 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:58 AM Sunset 8:20 PM Moonrise 11:20 PM Moonset 8:13 AM |
Area Discussion for - San Angelo, TX
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FXUS64 KSJT 270601 AFDSJT
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 101 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024
Currently, we have a few sub-severe storms affecting parts of Mason and San Saba counties. These are expected to move northeast and out of the area in the next few hours. We may continue to see a few storms develop in our far southeastern counties over the next couple hours. Once these storms end this evening, expect a relatively quiet night.
The next upper level low to affect the area is digging southeast into northern Arizona this afternoon, and will induce lee troughing tonight, turning winds to the south in our area, and quickly returning moisture to our CWA Dewpoint values west of a Junction to Coleman to Throckmorton line range from around 25F degrees to 40F. As south to southeasterly flow picks up tonight, dewpoint values will rise back into the 60s for most of the area.
A few of the high resolution CAMs are showing some storms developing in the northwestern Concho Valley and western Big Country tomorrow morning along the retreating dryline. Some of these storms could be strong enough to produce large hail and damaging wind gusts as they affect portions of the western and northern Big Country. Additional storm development may occur tomorrow afternoon mainly north of a Sterling City to Brownwood line, and with afternoon heating and destabilization, deep layer shear greater than 40 knots, and increasing mid level lapse rates, any of these storms could produce large hail, damaging winds, and possibly a tornado.
Saturday night, as the upper level trough approaches from the west, we will have a good chance for a line of thunderstorms to develop in our western counties late in the evening, then move east through the area during the overnight hours. A Pacific cold front/dryline will move into the area providing lift. A moist air mass with dewpoints in the low to mid 60sF, will yield CAPE values in the 2000 J/kg to 3000 J/kg range, and deep layer shear is expected to range from 40 to 55 knots. Should the front/dryline, along with lift from the upper level trough be enough to initiate storms, they will likely be capable of large hail, gusty winds to around 60 mph. In addition, a few tornadoes will also be possible as the storms likely evolve into a QLCS as the move east through the area.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 212 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024
Showers and thunderstorms will continue across our southeastern counties through the mid morning hours on Sunday before exiting out of the area by the afternoon. Skies will clear out quickly in the the wake of the Pacific front with highs in the mid to upper 90s. Monday and Tuesday will be relatively quiet. Showers and thunderstorm chances come back into the forecast by the middle of the week we go into west-southwest flow aloft and multiple shortwave troughs track across the region. Temperatures will remain steady in the mid 80s to lower 90s each afternoon.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1254 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
MVFR ceilings will develop from south to north overnight, with ceilings scattering out across the northern terminals by late morning, but lingering into early afternoon across the southern terminals. Some brief showers and thunderstorms are possible at from mid morning through noon, but coverage should be limited.
Thunderstorm will be possible at KABI by late afternoon and will include VCTS after 23Z. Thunderstorm chances are expected to increase at all TAF sites tomorrow evening into the overnight hours. Expect gusty south to southeast winds through the period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Abilene 56 82 57 88 / 70 0 0 0 San Angelo 55 85 55 91 / 70 0 0 0 Junction 61 87 59 92 / 90 10 0 10 Brownwood 58 82 57 87 / 90 10 0 10 Sweetwater 56 83 58 88 / 50 0 0 0 Ozona 55 85 57 89 / 60 0 0 0 Brady 59 82 60 87 / 90 20 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 101 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024
Currently, we have a few sub-severe storms affecting parts of Mason and San Saba counties. These are expected to move northeast and out of the area in the next few hours. We may continue to see a few storms develop in our far southeastern counties over the next couple hours. Once these storms end this evening, expect a relatively quiet night.
The next upper level low to affect the area is digging southeast into northern Arizona this afternoon, and will induce lee troughing tonight, turning winds to the south in our area, and quickly returning moisture to our CWA Dewpoint values west of a Junction to Coleman to Throckmorton line range from around 25F degrees to 40F. As south to southeasterly flow picks up tonight, dewpoint values will rise back into the 60s for most of the area.
A few of the high resolution CAMs are showing some storms developing in the northwestern Concho Valley and western Big Country tomorrow morning along the retreating dryline. Some of these storms could be strong enough to produce large hail and damaging wind gusts as they affect portions of the western and northern Big Country. Additional storm development may occur tomorrow afternoon mainly north of a Sterling City to Brownwood line, and with afternoon heating and destabilization, deep layer shear greater than 40 knots, and increasing mid level lapse rates, any of these storms could produce large hail, damaging winds, and possibly a tornado.
Saturday night, as the upper level trough approaches from the west, we will have a good chance for a line of thunderstorms to develop in our western counties late in the evening, then move east through the area during the overnight hours. A Pacific cold front/dryline will move into the area providing lift. A moist air mass with dewpoints in the low to mid 60sF, will yield CAPE values in the 2000 J/kg to 3000 J/kg range, and deep layer shear is expected to range from 40 to 55 knots. Should the front/dryline, along with lift from the upper level trough be enough to initiate storms, they will likely be capable of large hail, gusty winds to around 60 mph. In addition, a few tornadoes will also be possible as the storms likely evolve into a QLCS as the move east through the area.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 212 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024
Showers and thunderstorms will continue across our southeastern counties through the mid morning hours on Sunday before exiting out of the area by the afternoon. Skies will clear out quickly in the the wake of the Pacific front with highs in the mid to upper 90s. Monday and Tuesday will be relatively quiet. Showers and thunderstorm chances come back into the forecast by the middle of the week we go into west-southwest flow aloft and multiple shortwave troughs track across the region. Temperatures will remain steady in the mid 80s to lower 90s each afternoon.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1254 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
MVFR ceilings will develop from south to north overnight, with ceilings scattering out across the northern terminals by late morning, but lingering into early afternoon across the southern terminals. Some brief showers and thunderstorms are possible at from mid morning through noon, but coverage should be limited.
Thunderstorm will be possible at KABI by late afternoon and will include VCTS after 23Z. Thunderstorm chances are expected to increase at all TAF sites tomorrow evening into the overnight hours. Expect gusty south to southeast winds through the period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Abilene 56 82 57 88 / 70 0 0 0 San Angelo 55 85 55 91 / 70 0 0 0 Junction 61 87 59 92 / 90 10 0 10 Brownwood 58 82 57 87 / 90 10 0 10 Sweetwater 56 83 58 88 / 50 0 0 0 Ozona 55 85 57 89 / 60 0 0 0 Brady 59 82 60 87 / 90 20 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Airport Reports
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San Angelo, TX,
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