Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Eden, TX
May 20, 2024 3:06 AM CDT (08:06 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:40 AM Sunset 8:36 PM Moonrise 5:07 PM Moonset 3:47 AM |
Area Discussion for - San Angelo, TX
HIDE HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS64 KSJT 200741 AFDSJT
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 241 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024
New SHORT TERM
SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 241 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024
The heat and dry weather will continue across west central Texas today. Highs will again climb into the upper 90s to around 102 degrees. Records aren't expected to be broken with both Abilene and San Angelo records at 105. Winds will continue to be out of the south and gusty today, but shouldn't be quite as breezy as they were yesterday. We could see a few low clouds this morning, mainly east of a Brownwood to Brady to Junction line, but even if these clouds do develop, they should scatter out by mid morning at the latest.
Lows will also continue to be warm, dropping only into the low to mid 70s.
LONG TERM
(Monday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Upper level troughing will begin to make its way into the area early on Tuesday, which should provide in increase in upper level moisture. While we may see an increase in high clouds, this will likely do little to curb the temperatures at the surface with highs reaching anywhere from the mid 90s to around 104 (primarily in the Concho Valley and along the I-10 corridor). The 850 mb thermal ridge will strengthen even further on Tuesday to near 30 deg C across our southwestern counties with gusty winds out of the southwest, shifting to the west behind an eastward-mixing dryline. There remains a highly conditional threat for severe weather across our northern and eastern counties on Tuesday, ahead of the dryline where significant daytime heating and moisture will co-exist. Forcing overall will be weak and a capping inversion may hinder any development. Overall chances remain very low with PoPs staying below the mentionable category for now but if we get just enough low- level convergence along the dryline, a strong storm or two could develop. As such, SPC has portions of our area in a Day 3 Marginal Risk. A frontal boundary will begin to sag south into the area during the day on Wednesday. Shower and storm development along and ahead of the boundary looks to begin Wednesday afternoon with a potential for strong to severe storms.
Rain chances continue into Thursday as this frontal boundary is expected to stall out and begin to lift back north as a warm front. Temperatures Wednesday and Thursday will vary from the mid 80s in the Big Country and Heartland (where overall greater chances of rain exist) to the mid and upper 90s as one moves south and west.
Unfortunately, the cooler temperatures for portions of the area will be short lived as highs by Friday climb back into the 90s areawide. A slight chance for storms exists late Friday night in the Northwest Hill Country but overall little impact is expected from this. Temperatures begin to climb back well above normal for the holiday weekend with temperatures reaching back over 100 degrees to around 103 by Sunday as upper level zonal flow returns to the area. Some guidance is indicating a potential cold front around Memorial Day but given how far out this is, confidence is low overall so it may be best to start planning for the potential of a toasty Memorial Day.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1254 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024
VFR conditions are currently affecting all sites with south to southeast winds. Winds are gusting to 20 to 25 knots at KSJT and KABI, so will keep gusts in the forecast tonight for those sites.
MVFR ceilings are expected to move north and affect at least KJCT for a couple hours tomorrow morning, and could also affect KSOA and KBBD temporarily. By mid morning, low clouds should scatter out, with only some upper level clouds possible after that.
South/southwest winds will pick up and become gusty at all sites again during the afternoon hours.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Abilene 97 73 96 73 / 0 0 10 10 San Angelo 102 73 100 71 / 0 0 0 10 Junction 100 72 101 74 / 0 0 0 10 Brownwood 93 71 93 72 / 0 0 10 10 Sweetwater 100 74 98 72 / 0 0 0 10 Ozona 97 72 97 72 / 0 0 0 10 Brady 94 71 95 72 / 0 0 10 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 241 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024
New SHORT TERM
SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 241 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024
The heat and dry weather will continue across west central Texas today. Highs will again climb into the upper 90s to around 102 degrees. Records aren't expected to be broken with both Abilene and San Angelo records at 105. Winds will continue to be out of the south and gusty today, but shouldn't be quite as breezy as they were yesterday. We could see a few low clouds this morning, mainly east of a Brownwood to Brady to Junction line, but even if these clouds do develop, they should scatter out by mid morning at the latest.
Lows will also continue to be warm, dropping only into the low to mid 70s.
LONG TERM
(Monday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Upper level troughing will begin to make its way into the area early on Tuesday, which should provide in increase in upper level moisture. While we may see an increase in high clouds, this will likely do little to curb the temperatures at the surface with highs reaching anywhere from the mid 90s to around 104 (primarily in the Concho Valley and along the I-10 corridor). The 850 mb thermal ridge will strengthen even further on Tuesday to near 30 deg C across our southwestern counties with gusty winds out of the southwest, shifting to the west behind an eastward-mixing dryline. There remains a highly conditional threat for severe weather across our northern and eastern counties on Tuesday, ahead of the dryline where significant daytime heating and moisture will co-exist. Forcing overall will be weak and a capping inversion may hinder any development. Overall chances remain very low with PoPs staying below the mentionable category for now but if we get just enough low- level convergence along the dryline, a strong storm or two could develop. As such, SPC has portions of our area in a Day 3 Marginal Risk. A frontal boundary will begin to sag south into the area during the day on Wednesday. Shower and storm development along and ahead of the boundary looks to begin Wednesday afternoon with a potential for strong to severe storms.
Rain chances continue into Thursday as this frontal boundary is expected to stall out and begin to lift back north as a warm front. Temperatures Wednesday and Thursday will vary from the mid 80s in the Big Country and Heartland (where overall greater chances of rain exist) to the mid and upper 90s as one moves south and west.
Unfortunately, the cooler temperatures for portions of the area will be short lived as highs by Friday climb back into the 90s areawide. A slight chance for storms exists late Friday night in the Northwest Hill Country but overall little impact is expected from this. Temperatures begin to climb back well above normal for the holiday weekend with temperatures reaching back over 100 degrees to around 103 by Sunday as upper level zonal flow returns to the area. Some guidance is indicating a potential cold front around Memorial Day but given how far out this is, confidence is low overall so it may be best to start planning for the potential of a toasty Memorial Day.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1254 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024
VFR conditions are currently affecting all sites with south to southeast winds. Winds are gusting to 20 to 25 knots at KSJT and KABI, so will keep gusts in the forecast tonight for those sites.
MVFR ceilings are expected to move north and affect at least KJCT for a couple hours tomorrow morning, and could also affect KSOA and KBBD temporarily. By mid morning, low clouds should scatter out, with only some upper level clouds possible after that.
South/southwest winds will pick up and become gusty at all sites again during the afternoon hours.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Abilene 97 73 96 73 / 0 0 10 10 San Angelo 102 73 100 71 / 0 0 0 10 Junction 100 72 101 74 / 0 0 0 10 Brownwood 93 71 93 72 / 0 0 10 10 Sweetwater 100 74 98 72 / 0 0 0 10 Ozona 97 72 97 72 / 0 0 0 10 Brady 94 71 95 72 / 0 0 10 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
San Angelo, TX,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE