Sunrise 5:58 AM   Sunset 7:25 PM Moonrise 11:31 PM   Moonset 8:08 AM

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FXUS64 KBMX 270558 AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1258 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

New SHORT TERM, AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 1258 AM CDT SAT APR 27 2024

High pressure remains the predominant weather across the region with most of the activity develop along the edges of the high and remaining to our south and west. There will be plenty of clouds, mainly high clouds with some cumulus during the afternoon, as abundant moisture is in place. By Sunday afternoon the wedge that is in place in the east will retreat and the rain will get closer.
Right now the trends keep most of the activity to our west but very close to the state border with Mississippi. Will continue to keep the forecast dry but there is a minimal chance for our far western counties to see a brief shower during the afternoon on Sunday. Otherwise, dry and warm temperatures with readings in the upper 70s to mid 80s each day, with lows dropping into the 60s.

16

LONG TERM
(Through next Thursday)
Issued at 207 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2024

A rather robust line of convection will be near the MS River Monday morning. However, the line will likely weaken as it tracks eastward towards Alabama as the upper support wanes. Even though the upper support will be weakening, there should still be enough forcing for scattered to numerous showers and storms Monday night, mainly across north Alabama. Once the upper short wave trough passes east of Alabama on Tuesday, an upper ridge will build back into Alabama Wednesday and Thursday, with small rain chances confined to the far northern counties. Above normal temperatures expected with lows in the 60s and highs in the 80s.

58/rose

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1258 AM CDT SAT APR 27 2024

Overall VFR conditions for the period. With the wedge in place across the east, there is a small chance at seeing some brief MVFR clouds in at ASN and ANB right around sunrise, so included a tempo here. There will also be some mid-level cumulus between 4 and 6 kft this afternoon with the heating of the day. Winds will be southerly and breezy at times with 8 to 12 kts sustained and gusts up to 18 kts this afternoon.

16

FIRE WEATHER

Southerly low level flow will keep afternoon RH values well above critical values. No wetting rain through Monday morning, with increasing rain chances across north Alabama Monday afternoon and Monday night.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 82 60 83 59 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 82 61 82 59 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 83 64 83 62 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 85 64 84 62 / 10 0 10 0 Calera 82 63 82 61 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 81 62 81 61 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 85 64 85 62 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 84 64 84 61 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

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