Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Irvington, VA
March 29, 2024 8:47 AM EDT (12:47 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:52 AM Sunset 7:26 PM Moonrise 11:04 PM Moonset 7:53 AM |
ANZ635 Rappahannock River From Urbanna To Windmill Point- 700 Am Edt Fri Mar 29 2024
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 pm edt this afternoon through this evening - .
Today - NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves building to 2 ft.
Tonight - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft, diminishing to around 1 foot after midnight.
Sat - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
Sat night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
Sun - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot.
Sun night - E winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Mon - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Mon night - E winds 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Waves around 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Tue - S winds 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Tue night - SW winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely.
ANZ600 700 Am Edt Fri Mar 29 2024
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
coastal low pressure deepens well off the mid atlantic coast early this morning, bringing elevated northwest winds through today. High pressure builds over the waters Saturday, with a weak backdoor cold front dropping south on Sunday. A strong cold front is expected to cross the region during the mid to late portion of next week.
coastal low pressure deepens well off the mid atlantic coast early this morning, bringing elevated northwest winds through today. High pressure builds over the waters Saturday, with a weak backdoor cold front dropping south on Sunday. A strong cold front is expected to cross the region during the mid to late portion of next week.
Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
  (hide/show)  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KAKQ 291112 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 712 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
Winds will become gusty today as high pressure slowly builds in from the deep south. Northwesterly flow will allow weak disturbances to pass through this weekend and into early next week, so expect the unsettled pattern to continue. Temperatures will warm well above normal for Easter weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 325 AM EDT Friday...
Latest sfc analysis shows yesterday's cold front already well offshore. Low pressure that formed along the front is now tracking NE well off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Meanwhile, a large area of strong high pressure located over the Gulf Coast is building toward the local area. Aloft, NW flow is in place as the trough axis pushes offshore. Skies have cleared out and temps have dropped as low as the mid 30s in a few rural locations. Otherwise, temps are in the upper 30s-low 40s. Lows this morning are expected to reach the mid- upper 30s across the FA.
The pressure gradient between the departing low pressure and the high pressure building in will allow for gusty conditions. WNW winds will be ~15mph today with gusts of 20-30mph. Skies will start out sunny this morning, then scattered cloud cover builds in as weak shortwave energy and moisture aloft travel through the region. Temps will be seasonably mild with highs in the mid 60s in the piedmont and around 60/low 60s in the east. Winds diminish tonight as the high builds in further and the pressure gradient slackens. Winds will become southwesterly overnight and high clouds will build in from the west. Thus, temps will not be quite as cold with lows in the mid 40s S of I-64 and upper 30s-low 40s N.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 345 AM EDT Friday...
The southern surface high will slide off the southeast coast for Saturday, with NW flow aloft continuing behind the departing east coast trough. This will allow for numerous disturbances to cross into the region from the Ohio Valley, resulting in periods of increasing clouds and eventually some scattered showers by late in the Easter weekend. 00z models continue to keep Saturday almost completely dry. Extreme northern portions of the FA could see a shower or two Saturday afternoon. PoPs in these spots are <20%. There will, however, still be increased cloud cover. Expecting mostly cloudy skies N of I-64 and partly cloudy skies to the S. Mild again on Saturday with highs in the low 70s W of the Ches Bay and low-mid 60s on the Eastern Shore.
Northwesterly flow persists to begin Easter Sunday, ahead of slight ridging building into the MS River Valley area. However, the next disturbance/moisture riding along the northern periphery of the upper ridge crosses into the Ohio River Valley and into the Mid- Atlantic on Sunday. Models are consistent with showing some rain making it into our CWA late in the day Sunday into Monday, as a weak backdoor front drops across the area. There is a SChc for showers Sunday afternoon, increasing to a Chc PoP across the northern half of the FA late in the evening. There is some uncertainty regarding temperatures still, since this will depend on how far the front drops. Current forecast has highs in the mid-upper 70s S of I-64 and upper 60s-mid 70s N of I-64 and on the Eastern Shore.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 345 AM EDT Friday...
The low amplitude ridge aloft translates over the southeast coast, its axis crossing into the local area Monday night. Meanwhile at the sfc, large high pressure pushes off to sea to the southeast as strong low pressure approaches the Ohio valley/Great Lakes Monday into Tuesday. The presence of a warm front in the Mid-Atlantic leads to some uncertainty in temperatures and precip. South of the front, temps will approach 80 on Mon/Tues with temps 10-20F degrees cooler on the N side. Current forecast has the front setting up roughly along the I-64 corridor Mon, then pressing slightly N for Tues.
Overnight lows for Mon and Tues night will be in the 50s. Highest chance for showers will be along and N of the front. Keeping PoPs mostly below 55%, except along the far northern fringes Monday night and Tues where PoPs are 55-65%. Sfc low pressure presses into the Northeast Tuesday night into Wednesday, dragging a cold front along behind it. Global models do have some slight disagreements on the strength/orientation of the trough aloft supporting it, but looks to be decently strong regardless. A line of showers will cross the region Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Also, introduced a slight chance of thunder given the LREF mean CAPE has 300-400 J/KG.
Strong high pressure builds in front the W behind the front and a strong ridge sets up over the central CONUS, leading to dry conditions for Wednesday afternoon through the end of the week.
Highs on Wed will range through the 60s, then cooler on Thurs with highs in the upper 50s. Returning to colder overnight temps for Wed/Thurs night with lows in the upper 30s-low 40s.
AVIATION /11Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 635 AM EDT Friday...
VFR prevails through the 12z/29 TAF period. SCT to occasionally BKN mid to high clouds are expected through the day today that will clear out this evening. Westerly winds increase today, becoming gusty for the late morning and early afternoon period.
Winds then diminish to light or calm overnight.
Outlook: Generally VFR conditions are expected through the weekend, though with increased cloud cover. A warm front sets up across northern portions of the FA late in the weekend and into early next week, bringing the potential for showers and occasional flight restrictions.
MARINE
As of 700 AM EDT Friday...
Headline Changes this cycle: Small Craft Advisories ended for the rivers/sound but will go back into effect this aftn.
Elsewhere, Small Craft Advisories remain in effect into this aftn or early evening.
Sfc low pressure is now well off the mid-Atlantic coast and rapidly pushing NE away from the region, with high pressure centered along the Gulf coast. NW winds have been gusting to 25-30kt early this morning, and should stay in this range for a few more hrs before diminishing later in the morning. As noted, will have SCAs all areas to start and will then see a period of lower winds for much of the rest of the day. Seas are generally 4-6 ft and will slowly subside later today into tonight. The main concern for winds this aftn will be over the rivers with deeper mixing over land areas with a very dry airmass potentially spreading across the rivers with frequent gusts to around 25kt.
Have issued a new round of SCAs to start in the aftn for these areas.
High pressure builds into the region Saturday, with sub- SCA conditions and SW winds. A front drops southward and stalls into early next week, likely shifting the winds to the NE across much of the area later Sunday into Monday, but winds/waves/seas are expected to remain below SCA thresholds. A strong cold front is expected by the mid to late portion of the week, with NW winds and at least SCA conditions likely.
HYDROLOGY
As of 815 PM EDT Thursday...
Flood Warning now in effect for Meherrin River at Lawrenceville. With lighter rainfall amounts over the headwaters, forecasts have accordingly come down a bit with this latest model cycle. That said, we continue to monitor river levels, with greatest concern for Meherrin River at Emporia, Blackwater near Franklin, and locations along the Nottoway River (mainly at Sebrell by this weekend). Northern forecast points briefly bump into action stage tonight into Friday along the Appomattox River from Farmville to Matoaca. See water.noaa.gov for site-specific details.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ630>632-634.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EDT this evening for ANZ633-635>638.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for ANZ650- 652-654-656-658.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 712 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
Winds will become gusty today as high pressure slowly builds in from the deep south. Northwesterly flow will allow weak disturbances to pass through this weekend and into early next week, so expect the unsettled pattern to continue. Temperatures will warm well above normal for Easter weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 325 AM EDT Friday...
Latest sfc analysis shows yesterday's cold front already well offshore. Low pressure that formed along the front is now tracking NE well off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Meanwhile, a large area of strong high pressure located over the Gulf Coast is building toward the local area. Aloft, NW flow is in place as the trough axis pushes offshore. Skies have cleared out and temps have dropped as low as the mid 30s in a few rural locations. Otherwise, temps are in the upper 30s-low 40s. Lows this morning are expected to reach the mid- upper 30s across the FA.
The pressure gradient between the departing low pressure and the high pressure building in will allow for gusty conditions. WNW winds will be ~15mph today with gusts of 20-30mph. Skies will start out sunny this morning, then scattered cloud cover builds in as weak shortwave energy and moisture aloft travel through the region. Temps will be seasonably mild with highs in the mid 60s in the piedmont and around 60/low 60s in the east. Winds diminish tonight as the high builds in further and the pressure gradient slackens. Winds will become southwesterly overnight and high clouds will build in from the west. Thus, temps will not be quite as cold with lows in the mid 40s S of I-64 and upper 30s-low 40s N.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 345 AM EDT Friday...
The southern surface high will slide off the southeast coast for Saturday, with NW flow aloft continuing behind the departing east coast trough. This will allow for numerous disturbances to cross into the region from the Ohio Valley, resulting in periods of increasing clouds and eventually some scattered showers by late in the Easter weekend. 00z models continue to keep Saturday almost completely dry. Extreme northern portions of the FA could see a shower or two Saturday afternoon. PoPs in these spots are <20%. There will, however, still be increased cloud cover. Expecting mostly cloudy skies N of I-64 and partly cloudy skies to the S. Mild again on Saturday with highs in the low 70s W of the Ches Bay and low-mid 60s on the Eastern Shore.
Northwesterly flow persists to begin Easter Sunday, ahead of slight ridging building into the MS River Valley area. However, the next disturbance/moisture riding along the northern periphery of the upper ridge crosses into the Ohio River Valley and into the Mid- Atlantic on Sunday. Models are consistent with showing some rain making it into our CWA late in the day Sunday into Monday, as a weak backdoor front drops across the area. There is a SChc for showers Sunday afternoon, increasing to a Chc PoP across the northern half of the FA late in the evening. There is some uncertainty regarding temperatures still, since this will depend on how far the front drops. Current forecast has highs in the mid-upper 70s S of I-64 and upper 60s-mid 70s N of I-64 and on the Eastern Shore.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 345 AM EDT Friday...
The low amplitude ridge aloft translates over the southeast coast, its axis crossing into the local area Monday night. Meanwhile at the sfc, large high pressure pushes off to sea to the southeast as strong low pressure approaches the Ohio valley/Great Lakes Monday into Tuesday. The presence of a warm front in the Mid-Atlantic leads to some uncertainty in temperatures and precip. South of the front, temps will approach 80 on Mon/Tues with temps 10-20F degrees cooler on the N side. Current forecast has the front setting up roughly along the I-64 corridor Mon, then pressing slightly N for Tues.
Overnight lows for Mon and Tues night will be in the 50s. Highest chance for showers will be along and N of the front. Keeping PoPs mostly below 55%, except along the far northern fringes Monday night and Tues where PoPs are 55-65%. Sfc low pressure presses into the Northeast Tuesday night into Wednesday, dragging a cold front along behind it. Global models do have some slight disagreements on the strength/orientation of the trough aloft supporting it, but looks to be decently strong regardless. A line of showers will cross the region Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Also, introduced a slight chance of thunder given the LREF mean CAPE has 300-400 J/KG.
Strong high pressure builds in front the W behind the front and a strong ridge sets up over the central CONUS, leading to dry conditions for Wednesday afternoon through the end of the week.
Highs on Wed will range through the 60s, then cooler on Thurs with highs in the upper 50s. Returning to colder overnight temps for Wed/Thurs night with lows in the upper 30s-low 40s.
AVIATION /11Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 635 AM EDT Friday...
VFR prevails through the 12z/29 TAF period. SCT to occasionally BKN mid to high clouds are expected through the day today that will clear out this evening. Westerly winds increase today, becoming gusty for the late morning and early afternoon period.
Winds then diminish to light or calm overnight.
Outlook: Generally VFR conditions are expected through the weekend, though with increased cloud cover. A warm front sets up across northern portions of the FA late in the weekend and into early next week, bringing the potential for showers and occasional flight restrictions.
MARINE
As of 700 AM EDT Friday...
Headline Changes this cycle: Small Craft Advisories ended for the rivers/sound but will go back into effect this aftn.
Elsewhere, Small Craft Advisories remain in effect into this aftn or early evening.
Sfc low pressure is now well off the mid-Atlantic coast and rapidly pushing NE away from the region, with high pressure centered along the Gulf coast. NW winds have been gusting to 25-30kt early this morning, and should stay in this range for a few more hrs before diminishing later in the morning. As noted, will have SCAs all areas to start and will then see a period of lower winds for much of the rest of the day. Seas are generally 4-6 ft and will slowly subside later today into tonight. The main concern for winds this aftn will be over the rivers with deeper mixing over land areas with a very dry airmass potentially spreading across the rivers with frequent gusts to around 25kt.
Have issued a new round of SCAs to start in the aftn for these areas.
High pressure builds into the region Saturday, with sub- SCA conditions and SW winds. A front drops southward and stalls into early next week, likely shifting the winds to the NE across much of the area later Sunday into Monday, but winds/waves/seas are expected to remain below SCA thresholds. A strong cold front is expected by the mid to late portion of the week, with NW winds and at least SCA conditions likely.
HYDROLOGY
As of 815 PM EDT Thursday...
Flood Warning now in effect for Meherrin River at Lawrenceville. With lighter rainfall amounts over the headwaters, forecasts have accordingly come down a bit with this latest model cycle. That said, we continue to monitor river levels, with greatest concern for Meherrin River at Emporia, Blackwater near Franklin, and locations along the Nottoway River (mainly at Sebrell by this weekend). Northern forecast points briefly bump into action stage tonight into Friday along the Appomattox River from Farmville to Matoaca. See water.noaa.gov for site-specific details.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ630>632-634.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EDT this evening for ANZ633-635>638.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for ANZ650- 652-654-656-658.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KFYJ MIDDLE PENINSULA RGNL,VA | 18 sm | 12 min | calm | 10 sm | Overcast | 43°F | 34°F | 70% | 30.00 |
Tide / Current for Millenbeck, Corrotoman River, Rappahannock River, Virginia
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (hide/show)  Help
Millenbeck
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:39 AM EDT 1.46 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:55 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:53 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 09:35 AM EDT 0.16 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:01 PM EDT 1.23 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:26 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 09:27 PM EDT 0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:39 AM EDT 1.46 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:55 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:53 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 09:35 AM EDT 0.16 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:01 PM EDT 1.23 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:26 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 09:27 PM EDT 0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Millenbeck, Corrotoman River, Rappahannock River, Virginia, Tide feet
12 am |
0.9 |
1 am |
1.2 |
2 am |
1.4 |
3 am |
1.5 |
4 am |
1.3 |
5 am |
1.1 |
6 am |
0.8 |
7 am |
0.6 |
8 am |
0.3 |
9 am |
0.2 |
10 am |
0.2 |
11 am |
0.3 |
12 pm |
0.6 |
1 pm |
0.9 |
2 pm |
1.1 |
3 pm |
1.2 |
4 pm |
1.2 |
5 pm |
1 |
6 pm |
0.8 |
7 pm |
0.5 |
8 pm |
0.3 |
9 pm |
0.2 |
10 pm |
0.2 |
11 pm |
0.4 |
Mill Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:30 AM EDT 1.46 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:54 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:53 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 09:12 AM EDT 0.16 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:52 PM EDT 1.23 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:26 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 09:04 PM EDT 0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:30 AM EDT 1.46 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:54 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:53 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 09:12 AM EDT 0.16 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:52 PM EDT 1.23 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:26 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 09:04 PM EDT 0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Mill Creek, Rappahannock River, Virginia, Tide feet
12 am |
1 |
1 am |
1.3 |
2 am |
1.4 |
3 am |
1.4 |
4 am |
1.3 |
5 am |
1.1 |
6 am |
0.8 |
7 am |
0.5 |
8 am |
0.3 |
9 am |
0.2 |
10 am |
0.2 |
11 am |
0.4 |
12 pm |
0.7 |
1 pm |
1 |
2 pm |
1.2 |
3 pm |
1.2 |
4 pm |
1.1 |
5 pm |
0.9 |
6 pm |
0.7 |
7 pm |
0.4 |
8 pm |
0.2 |
9 pm |
0.2 |
10 pm |
0.2 |
11 pm |
0.4 |
Wakefield, VA,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE