Monday, June1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Florida City, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:29AMSunset 8:10PM Monday June 1, 2020 10:38 PM EDT (02:38 UTC) Moonrise 2:59PMMoonset 2:29AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ657 Expires:202006021430;;611343 Fzus52 Kmfl 020141 Cwfmfl Coastal Waters Forecast For South Florida National Weather Service Miami Fl 941 Pm Edt Mon Jun 1 2020 Atlantic Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Out To 60 Nm And Gulf Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Out 20 Nm And Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Out 60 Nm...including The Waters Of Biscayne Bay And Lake Okeechobee. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 10 Percent Of The Waves. Gmz656-657-021430- Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 941 Pm Edt Mon Jun 1 2020
.small craft should exercise caution...
Rest of tonight..East winds 5 to 15 knots nearshore and east 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms late in the evening.
Tuesday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night.
Wednesday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms. Showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots nearshore and east southeast 10 to 15 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Showers
chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Thunderstorms likely in the evening. Showers likely through the night. Chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Showers. Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Friday night and Saturday..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 329 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 1 2020
Synopsis..Light to occasionally moderate easterly winds will continue to turn southeasterly tonight. Seas will slowly build this week with continued southeasterly flow. Showers and Thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon. Seas will continue to rise into the weekend as a tropical disturbance moves north into the central gulf. We will have to closely Monitor this system for any potential marine impacts.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Florida City, FL
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location: 25.32, -81.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 012344 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 744 PM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

Aviation.

TSRA should diminish along the Gulf coast over the next few hours. Thereafter prevailing VFR tonight, although brief MVFR ceilings are possible. A few showers may impact the east coast terminals later tonight into Monday morning, but confidence in impacts is limited so stuck with VCSH for the moment. Breezy easterly flow continues with gusts to around 20 to 25 kt possible tomorrow after 15z.

Prev Discussion. /issued 247 PM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020/

..HEAVY RAINFALL AND A FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA MID TO LATE WEEK .

Short Term .

This afternoon into Tuesday .

A weak cold front over Central Florida will continue to move southward towards South Florida through tonight before stalling out over the Lake Okeechobee region on Tuesday. This will keep the wind flow in an easterly direction through Tuesday allowing for the east coast sea breeze to push inland this afternoon and again on Tuesday, while keeping the west coast sea breeze over the west coast metro areas. Therefore, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop along the sea breezes this afternoon and again on Tuesday with the best coverage over the western areas of South Florida. The east coast metro areas could see isolated showers late tonight into Tuesday morning on the easterly wind flow.

Wednesday and Wednesday night .

The frontal boundary will remain nearly stationary over the Lake Okeechobee region, as a disturbance over the Yucatan Peninsula moves slowly to the west northwest in the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico. As the disturbance moves slowly west northwest, a low level trough will develop eastward into the western Caribbean sea and into the Florida Straits before moving slowly northward towards South Florida Wednesday night. This will allow for deeper tropical moisture to work into South Florida from the South with PWAT values getting up into the 1.9 to 2.0 inch range by Wednesday night. This will allow for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop on Wednesday and lasting into Wednesday night over South Florida with some heavy rainfall.

Thursday and Thursday night .

The disturbance is forecast by the short range models to slowly move northward through the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico allowing for the low level trough to move slowly northward through South Florida. This will keep the deep tropical moisture in place with PWAT values in the 1.9 to 2.1 inch range along with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms and heavy rainfall.

The short range models are also showing that Storm Relative Helicity will also be increasing across South Florida Wednesday night into Thursday as the low level trough moves through the area. This may help to generate a few strong rotating storms over South Florida during this time frame.

More on the heavy rainfall potential in the hydro section below.

NHC is also giving this disturbance an 90 percent chance of development into a tropical system in the next 2 to 5 days.

Long Term .

Friday through Monday .

All eyes turn towards the Gulf of Mexico for the end of the week and this weekend, as global models continue to suggest that an area of low pressure will lift north into the Gulf of Mexico and western Carribean Sea during this period. Confidence remains rather low at this time with considerable differences still displayed between the GFS and ECMWF regarding the strength and location of this feature. These disparities in the strength and location will play a crucial role in the overall forecast.

Currently, the GFS is the slightly faster and more eastern solution. The latest run depicts the low emerging a bit closer to the western coast of South Florida and dragging a deeper pool of moisture (PWATS approx 2.5 inches) northward across the peninsula, whereas, the ECMWF has the center of the low further west into the Gulf of Mexico, along with a few drier pockets across South Florida. Regardless of these differences, guidance still hints at sufficient moisture remaining in place for the potential for heavy rainfall and localized flooding. This is could become problematic given the (very wet) antecedent conditions from the event earlier in the week. Therefore, with the high uncertainty in place, forecast changes will likely continue. So stay tuned for updates as we monitor how this event unfolds.

Marine . The winds will remain east southeast direction through the week, as the speeds will be increasing to 10 to 15 knots over most of the Atlantic waters, except 15 to 20 knots in the Atlantic waters tonight into Tuesday. This will allow for the seas to remain below 3 feet over most of South Florida waters, except for the Atlantic waters where the seas should get up to 2 to 5 feet. Therefore, an SCEC will be issued for the Atlantic waters tonight.

Aviation . Breezy easterly flow will continue through the taf period and become gusty after 15Z tomorrow. A gulf breeze should develop over KAPF by 19Z with vicinity TSRA until 02Z. VFR conditions should prevail for all terminals, with reduced vis and cigs at KAPF with passing SHRA/TSRA. Thereafter, VCSH has been added for the east coast terminals and continuing through the remainder of the period.

Beach Forecast . The threat of rip currents along the east coast beaches will be increasing through the rest of this week, due to the east southeast winds increasing in speed.

Hydrology . As mentioned earlier, the PWAT values will be increasing to 1.9 to 2.1 inches over South Florida for the middle to end of this week. These PWAT values are around the 90th percentile range for this time of year. This usually means heavy rainfall possible across South Florida and the short range models are forecasting about 1 inch over the east coast metro areas to around 3 inches over the west coast metro areas from about Wednesday through Thursday night. However, if any thunderstorms do train over the same area the rainfall amounts will be much higher than forecasted.

The grounds are still very saturated over South Florida due to the heavy rainfall last week over the east coast metro areas and the heavy rainfall over the interior and west coast metro areas over last weekend. Therefore, it will not take much rainfall to cause flooding over South Florida and the Flash Flood Guidance is showing 2 to 3 inches of rainfall in 1 to 3 hours can lead to flooding.

We will continue to closely monitor this developing weather situation for South Florida and residents and visitors of South Florida should keep up with the forecast changes.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 76 83 75 84 / 30 20 30 60 Fort Lauderdale 78 84 77 84 / 30 20 40 60 Miami 77 84 76 85 / 30 20 40 70 Naples 73 88 73 86 / 40 60 50 80

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk from Tuesday morning through Wednesday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM . None. GM . None.

Marine . 54/BNB Aviation . 34/SPM Beach Forecast . 54/BNB Short Term . 54/BNB Long Term . 11/HVN


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CWAF1 2 mi159 min 89°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 4 mi99 min 88°F
SREF1 4 mi99 min 89°F
NRRF1 6 mi99 min 90°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 7 mi159 min 87°F
HREF1 7 mi99 min 87°F
WWEF1 8 mi159 min 89°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 8 mi99 min 86°F
LRIF1 8 mi99 min 90°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 11 mi99 min 88°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 16 mi99 min 90°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 16 mi99 min 88°F
BKYF1 17 mi99 min 90°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 18 mi99 min 87°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 18 mi99 min 89°F
JKYF1 - Johnson Key, FL 20 mi99 min 90°F
TBYF1 20 mi99 min 90°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 21 mi99 min 92°F
WRBF1 - Whipray Basin, FL 23 mi99 min NE 8.9 89°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 23 mi99 min 88°F
LRKF1 - Little Rabbit Key, FL 26 mi159 min 89°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 27 mi99 min 88°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 27 mi159 min 90°F
JBYF1 27 mi99 min 89°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 28 mi99 min 91°F
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 29 mi99 min 90°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 30 mi159 min 89°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 31 mi99 min 92°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 31 mi99 min 90°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 32 mi99 min 88°F
PKYF1 - Peterson Key, FL 32 mi99 min 87°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 33 mi159 min 89°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 33 mi159 min 89°F
MNBF1 33 mi99 min 92°F
MDKF1 34 mi99 min 88°F
THRF1 36 mi159 min 89°F
VCAF1 - 8723970 - Vaca Key, FL 42 mi51 min ESE 8.9 G 13 83°F 89°F1017.8 hPa
SMKF1 - Sombrero Key, FL 48 mi39 min ESE 13 G 15 83°F 77°F

Wind History for Vaca Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL36 mi43 minE 810.00 miFair82°F72°F73%1018.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHST

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4E3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3N3CalmNE3E4E7E7E7E9NE8E9E13NE10E11E8E9E8
1 day agoE5E4E3CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE7E8NE7E6E7E10E8E8E8E8E7--E7E5
2 days agoE4NE7CalmN4CalmE5E5SE4E4E7E7E8E8E9E10E8E9E8E10E5E8E7E4E4

Tide / Current Tables for Shark River entrance, Florida
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Shark River entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:45 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:17 AM EDT     4.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:59 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:37 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:56 PM EDT     3.54 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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32.31.60.90.50.411.933.84.24.23.83.22.31.50.80.40.30.91.82.63.33.5

Tide / Current Tables for Flamingo, Florida Bay, Florida
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Flamingo
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:28 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:27 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:25 PM EDT     2.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:19 PM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.91.71.410.60.40.20.30.71.41.92.32.32.11.81.410.60.30.10.20.71.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.