Sunrise 6:40 AM   Sunset 7:55 PM Moonrise 3:16 AM   Moonset 3:27 PM

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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 401 Am Edt Sat May 4 2024
Today - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning. Tonight - E se winds 15 to 20 kt. Bay waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Sun - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sun night - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight. Mon - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Mon night - E se winds 10 to 15 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of tstms in the evening. A slight chance of showers through the night. Tue - E se winds around 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Tue night and Wed - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Am Edt Sat May 4 2024
Synopsis -
gentle to moderate easterly flow continues to prevail across the atlantic waters with southwesterly flow developing over gulf waters each afternoon. A few occasional isolated showers and Thunderstorms may be possible at times. Easterly winds could increase to near hazardous levels at times over the atlantic waters this weekend as high pressure builds over the western atlantic.
gulf stream hazards: none
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 04, 2024 at 12 utc - .
1 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 13 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 040730 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 330 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES

SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 314 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

A rather benign weather pattern remains in place across South Florida today with continued light to moderate easterly flow with surface high pressure to the east. Southwest Florida has the best opportunity for any isolated showers or weak convection with the sea breeze today and Sunday afternoon.

An upper level disturbance advancing towards and into the Florida panhandle will open a small weakness in the upper level flow across the Florida peninsula from Saturday into Saturday night.
This weak upper level disturbance combined with an increase in the moisture profile between 850 and 700 mb should induce some slightly greater PoPs during Saturday afternoon into the 20 to 40 percent range. With the continued moderate easterly flow, this activity will be most favored across the interior/western portions of South Florida.

Expect for the afternoon highs to top out in the mid 80s to near 90 degrees. The overnight lows will trend in the low to mid 70s along the coast while interior locations dip into the mid to upper 60s.

LONG TERM
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 314 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Surface high pressure stays focused to the east in the Atlantic, maintaining the light to moderate east to east-southeasterly flow across the region. 500 mb heights begin to increase into mid to late week as upper level ridging will build into the region from the west.

A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day next week with eastern areas more likely to see any weak activity during the early afternoon hours with the inland progression of the sea breeze. The east coast breeze will continue to push further inland with slightly better chances for isolated showers or storms across Southwest Florida. The PoPs then look to diminish even more into late next week as the upper level ridge strengthens.

The temperatures also respond as afternoon highs could reach the mid to even upper 90s across interior locations by Wednesday and Thursday of next week.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 314 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

VFR prevail at all terminals during the next 24 hours. Generally easterly flow around 8 kts will increase to around 12 kts with higher gusts after 16Z. KAPF will again see a W-SW wind shift during the afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 314 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Besides occasional times of gusty easterly winds, anticipate for marine conditions to stay rather benign through the weekend and entering into early next week. Isolated to scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms are possible each day, which could bring brief periods of rough seas and gusty winds.

Seas will generally remain at 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic waters and 2 feet or less across the Gulf waters. Winds are likely to peak in the 13-18 kts range out of the east and likely induce periods of Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions.

BEACHES
Issued at 314 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Breezy easterly flow will lead to a high risk for rip currents along the Atlantic beaches through the remainder of this weekend.
The risk may remain elevated early next week, especially across the Palm Beach County beaches.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 84 74 84 74 / 20 20 40 20 West Kendall 86 71 85 71 / 20 20 40 20 Opa-Locka 86 72 85 73 / 20 20 40 20 Homestead 83 73 84 74 / 20 20 40 30 Fort Lauderdale 83 74 83 75 / 20 20 40 20 N Ft Lauderdale 83 74 83 74 / 20 20 40 20 Pembroke Pines 86 73 86 74 / 20 20 40 20 West Palm Beach 84 72 84 72 / 20 20 40 10 Boca Raton 85 73 85 73 / 20 20 40 20 Naples 88 71 88 71 / 30 30 40 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Boca Chita Key
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:09 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:00 AM EDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:35 PM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:36 PM EDT     1.80 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Boca Chita Key, Biscayne Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:22 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:14 AM EDT     1.27 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:50 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 11:11 AM EDT     -2.13 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 02:39 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:44 PM EDT     1.64 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:32 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 11:46 PM EDT     -2.11 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current, knots

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