Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cutler Bay, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 7:52PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 11:27 AM EDT (15:27 UTC) Moonrise 10:43PMMoonset 10:59AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 1001 Am Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Rest of today..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night and Saturday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night and Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1001 Am Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Synopsis..East/southeasterly winds will prevail throughout the rest of the week. Seas will be generally 2-3 feet in the atlantic, and 2 feet or less in the gulf. Showers and Thunderstorms will be possible each day and night over the local south florida waters. Increased moisture Friday into the weekend will bring elevated precipitation chances. Gusty and erratic winds with locally higher seas are possible in and around any Thunderstorms.
Gulf stream hazards..Lightning, gusty winds, locally higher seas, and waterspouts are possible with showers and Thunderstorms over the gulf stream. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of aug 20, 2019 at 1200 utc... 5 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 8 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 8 nautical miles east of lake worth. 12 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cutler Bay, FL
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location: 25.56, -80.24     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 211222
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
822 am edt Wed aug 21 2019

Update
A quiet start to the morning so far, with only isolated showers
over the atlantic and outer gulf waters. No meaningful changes to
the forecast philosophy from the previous discussion below. Expect
showers and thunderstorms to develop around the east coast by late
morning early afternoon before pushing inland and towards the gulf
coast during the afternoon and evening. Made some minor changes to
precipitation coverage and timing through this afternoon based on
radar satellite trends and the consensus forecast from the latest
convection allowing mesoscale model runs.

Prev discussion issued 747 am edt Wed aug 21 2019
aviation...

quiet early this morning, with showers storms developing around
the eastern terminals by late morning early afternoon. The showers
and storms should then push inland towards the gulf coast by mid
to late afternoon. PrevailingVFR outside of temporary reductions
in thunderstorms. East-southeast winds should prevail, perhaps
turning more southerly at naples by mid afternoon.

Prev discussion... Issued 331 am edt Wed aug 21 2019
discussion...

today and tonight: early this morning showers and thunderstorms have
remained mostly over the florida straits and the gulf waters.

Atlantic high pressure will allow east southeasterly flow across the
region. Plenty of moisture remains behind the departing trough
with the 00z mfl sounding having a pwat of 1.89 inches. Satellite
derived precipitable water values show an area of 1.8-1.9 across
the region. As activity begins to increase over the atlantic
waters this morning, some of these isolated to scattered showers
and storms will move over the east coast metro. Best rain chances
for the east coast will be this morning through late morning,
maybe lingering into early afternoon. Latest hi-res models keep
the east coast mostly dry from mid- afternoon through the
evening. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will shift over the
interior and gulf coast this afternoon and evening. Temperatures
today will be in the upper 80s to right around 90 degrees along
the east coast with easterly flow, to low 90s across the interior
and gulf.

After sunset, convection will begin to move offshore and focus over
the waters. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 70s to near
80 along the coast.

Thursday: a little bit of drier air tries works into the region on
Thursday. A diurnally driven typical summertime afternoon with sea
breeze driven convection bringing isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms across the region.

Friday into the weekend: Friday into the weekend there will be another
moisture surge into the region. As a tropical wave works across
the carribean the northern portion will break off into a surface
trough and approach south florida. This will lead to an increase
in rain chances beginning Friday through the weekend. While it
does not look like a complete washout, as convection will still be
diurnally driven, showers and thunderstorms chances will increase.

Rain chances will remain elevated through the weekend.

Early next week: the moisture will linger across the area as a
high pressure develops in the gulf with winds becoming more
southerly continuing the moisture increase as we end the weekend
and move into next week. Sea breezes will be the focus of
convection but with southerly flow, highest chances will be over
the interior, lake okeechobee and palm beach region.

Marine...

east southeasterly winds will prevail throughout the rest of
the week. Seas will be generally 2-3 feet in the atlantic, and 2
feet or less in the gulf. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible
each day and night over the local south florida waters. Increased
moisture Friday into the weekend will bring elevated precipitation
chances. Gusty and erratic winds with locally higher seas are
possible in and around any convection.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 89 79 88 78 20 20 40 30
fort lauderdale 89 80 86 78 20 30 60 30
miami 90 79 87 77 20 20 50 40
naples 89 76 89 76 40 40 70 30

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 34 spm
discussion... 33 kelly
marine... 33 kelly
aviation... 34 spm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 8 mi28 min E 9.9 G 11 83°F 86°F1019.4 hPa (+1.2)
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 13 mi64 min NE 8 G 8.9 85°F 88°F1018.8 hPa
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 24 mi88 min 85°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 25 mi88 min 87°F
THRF1 26 mi148 min 87°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 26 mi148 min 86°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 28 mi148 min 85°F
JBYF1 28 mi88 min 87°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 29 mi148 min 85°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 29 mi148 min 85°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 32 mi88 min 85°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 34 mi88 min 87°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 36 mi88 min 86°F
PEGF1 37 mi64 min E 6 G 8 84°F 1019.5 hPa
TBYF1 38 mi88 min 88°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 38 mi88 min 85°F
NRRF1 39 mi88 min 87°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 40 mi88 min 86°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 40 mi148 min 85°F
LRIF1 40 mi88 min 86°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 40 mi88 min 86°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 43 mi88 min 84°F
WRBF1 - Whipray Basin, FL 43 mi88 min ENE 7 86°F
WWEF1 43 mi148 min 86°F
BKYF1 44 mi88 min 84°F
HREF1 44 mi88 min 85°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 44 mi88 min 86°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 44 mi88 min 85°F
CWAF1 45 mi148 min 85°F
SREF1 48 mi88 min 87°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 49 mi88 min 84°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 49 mi88 min 87°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL9 mi92 minE 910.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F74°F71%1018.9 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL12 mi35 minSSW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F73°F70%1019.1 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL18 mi35 minE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy89°F69°F52%1019.1 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL24 mi35 minESE 910.00 miA Few Clouds89°F72°F57%1019.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHST

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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E8E5E5E6E5------E4--CalmCalmCalm------E8
1 day agoE8--E8NE10--E9E13E7E9E6E6----------S4Calm--E6E5--E7E10
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2 days agoE7E7E9E8E8E8E9NE6NE4NE4NE8--E7----E7----E6E7E9--E12
G15
--

Tide / Current Tables for Boca Chita Key, Biscayne Bay, Florida
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Boca Chita Key
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:42 AM EDT     1.60 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:17 AM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:15 PM EDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:38 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.51.61.51.20.90.60.40.20.30.50.81.21.41.61.51.41.10.80.60.40.40.50.8

Tide / Current Tables for Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current
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Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:48 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:23 AM EDT     -1.76 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:00 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:30 AM EDT     1.06 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 11:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:38 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:53 PM EDT     -1.50 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:29 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:44 PM EDT     0.79 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.4-0.1-0.7-1.3-1.7-1.7-1.3-0.7-00.6110.70.3-0.2-0.8-1.3-1.5-1.3-0.8-0.30.30.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.