Sunday, May31, 2020
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L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Tamiami, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 8:09PM Sunday May 31, 2020 2:45 PM EDT (18:45 UTC) Moonrise 1:54PMMoonset 1:49AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 927 Am Edt Sun May 31 2020
Rest of today..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..East southeast winds around 5 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Monday..East northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..East winds around 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers.
Tuesday..East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Bay waters choppy. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers. Chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..East winds around 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday and Wednesday night..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 927 Am Edt Sun May 31 2020
Synopsis.. Surface high pressure will keep the easterly or southeasterly flow across the region today. Favorable boating conditions expected through Monday morning. A backdoor cold front is expected to push southwest toward the region by Monday evening. Behind the front, a northeasterly flow is expected to set up. At this time cautionary headlines are expected for the atlantic, however, sca conditions will be possible. Conditions are forecast to improve by Wednesday with favorable boating conditions expected through the remainder of the forecast period.
Gulf stream hazards..None the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 30, 2020 at 1200 utc... 5 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 6 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 9 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tamiami, FL
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location: 25.8, -80.47     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 311405 AAB AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL 1005 AM EDT Sun May 31 2020

. Late Morning Update .

. Update . Overall forecast seems to mostly be on track. Upped high temperatures across the land zones this afternoon as guidance has been under performing for the most part. Think that less and later developing convection will allow temperatures to climb into the middle 90s across interior sections. Otherwise, still think the best convection will be across the west coast and interior like the last several days. CAMs shows isolated development around 18z. Both HRRR and ARW are showing this and based on recent verification I don't have a case to go against this solution.

Prev Discussion. /issued 725 AM EDT Sun May 31 2020/

.12z Aviation Update.

Aviation . VFR conditions will prevail today for the south Florida terminals. There may be a rogue shower or two on the Atlantic coast, however, the better rain chances will be across interior south Florida this afternoon. APF is the exception. Today looks a bit drier than previous days around or near APF, however, late afternoon or early evening TSRA still can't be ruled out. Went with VCs for now. Convection clears overnight and winds lighten.

Prev Discussion . /issued 313 AM EDT Sun May 31 2020/

Short Term (Today through Monday) . Latest sfc analyses and model representations depict a large high pressure system sprawling across much of the east CONUS, and pushing a trough/low complex into the eastern seaboard. The low will depart the NE CONUS today, while an associated, trailing sfc frontal boundary migrates southward into the northern half of the Florida peninsula. Satellite representation of this boundary remains poorly defined, but still remaining organized enough to bring some deep convection just north of the CWA this afternoon. Meanwhile, weak sfc ridging will remain in place today over Soflo with persisting SE flow, while model soundings still depict steep lapse rates at the mid levels along with PWATs near 2 inches.

The overall synoptic scenario will again result in another day of sea breeze-driven convection with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorm activity favoring interior and western areas as sea breezes push inland. However, outflow boundary collisions may again help in triggering additional storms in areas with the lowest forecast POPs, especially towards the late afternoon hours.

For Monday, models show better consensus in pushing the remnants of the sfc boundary past the FL Keys, and bring ENE flow in its wake. Despite the return of high pressure behind the FROPA, abundant moisture between the Bahamas and the FL east coast will continue to advect towards SoFlo, and bringing even higher POPs than Sunday. Or at least that's what model solutions are depicting. Still, higher pops remain in the interior and west areas, but with slightly better chances of having showers and a few storms over the Atlantic metro areas. As in previous days, expect temperatures to continue hitting the upper 80s to low 90s each afternoon with moist/muggy periods at times.

Long Term (Tuesday through Saturday) . The latest computer model guidance shows what is left of a very week frontal boundary draped just to the north of the region on Tuesday. Both of the GFS and the ECMWF are starting to show deep moisture advection beginning to take place during this time frame as a stronger easterly flow will begin to take shape. The stronger easterly flow will be the result of the building pressure gradient between the weak frontal boundary and the stronger area of high pressure trying to build in from the north. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue to form on Tuesday and Wednesday especially during the afternoon and evening hours as the sea breezes develop and push inland. The greatest chances of showers and thunderstorms will be across the interior areas as an easterly flow will remain in place. There will be enough instability in the area to support a stronger thunderstorm or two during this time frame as the remnants of the weak frontal boundary will remain just to the north.

As the end of the week approaches, the latest GFS and the ECMWF are starting to show more of an increase in moisture as the decaying frontal boundary remains stalled out over the region combined with a ridge of high pressure looking to stay just off to the north. This will allow for enhanced chances of showers and thunderstorms to continue especially across the interior sections during the afternoon hours. With the increase in moisture towards the end of the week, periods of heavy rainfall may be possible across portions of South Florida depending on how the exact pattern sets up. This will continue to be monitored as the week progresses.

Marine . High pressure across the region and its associated sfc ridge will keep southeasterly winds over the coastal waters today. Benign boating conditions continue through early Monday, except in the vicinity of thunderstorms. A cold front is expected to reach South Florida on Tuesday with winds backing to NE, and periods of rough seas and gusty winds, especially over the Atlantic waters. Conditions will begin to quickly subside on Wednesday and remain benign through the end of the work week.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 88 75 86 75 / 20 20 50 40 Fort Lauderdale 88 77 86 77 / 20 10 40 40 Miami 89 76 88 76 / 20 10 40 40 Naples 89 75 89 73 / 20 20 50 40

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Update . 28/Frye Aviation . 28/Frye Short Term . 17/AR Long Term . 55/CWC Marine . 17/AR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 17 mi46 min E 8.9 G 11 83°F 87°F1017.2 hPa (-0.8)
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 24 mi46 min ESE 9.9 G 11 82°F 83°F1017.1 hPa (-0.7)
PEGF1 27 mi46 min 83°F 1016.7 hPa (-0.9)
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 34 mi106 min 83°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 35 mi106 min 86°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 36 mi106 min 85°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 38 mi166 min 86°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 38 mi106 min 87°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 39 mi106 min 87°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 39 mi106 min 89°F
MNBF1 39 mi106 min 91°F
JBYF1 40 mi106 min 87°F
NRRF1 40 mi106 min 87°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 41 mi106 min 94°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 41 mi166 min 86°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 41 mi106 min 85°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 41 mi166 min 87°F
HREF1 41 mi106 min 86°F
LRIF1 42 mi106 min 88°F
THRF1 42 mi166 min 87°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 42 mi106 min 87°F
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 42 mi106 min 87°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 43 mi166 min 86°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 43 mi166 min 87°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 44 mi166 min 87°F
CWAF1 45 mi166 min 88°F
SREF1 46 mi106 min 87°F
WWEF1 46 mi166 min 87°F
TBYF1 47 mi106 min 88°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 47 mi106 min 88°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 49 mi106 min 87°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL10 mi53 minESE 810.00 miMostly Cloudy87°F72°F61%1016.7 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL11 mi53 minE 1110.00 miFair90°F75°F62%1016.5 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL13 mi53 minESE 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy88°F73°F61%1016.8 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL18 mi53 minSE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy0°F0°F%1017 hPa
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL23 mi50 minE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F73°F62%1016.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMIA

Wind History from MIA (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Dinner Key Marina, Florida
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Dinner Key Marina
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:08 AM EDT     1.96 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:02 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:46 PM EDT     2.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.50.91.41.821.91.61.30.80.40.100.20.51.11.61.921.91.51.10.70.3

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:40 AM EDT     1.79 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:23 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:00 AM EDT     -1.40 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:43 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:42 PM EDT     1.87 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:05 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:41 PM EDT     -1.33 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91.71.81.71.30.4-0.6-1.2-1.3-1.4-1.3-0.70.31.41.81.91.71.10.1-0.7-1.1-1.3-1.3-1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.